Next game: at New Mexico State
Liberty’s best edge on New Mexico State is staying on schedule
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Liberty offense against New Mexico State defense
New Mexico State offense against Liberty defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertical Passer · +0.20 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 96 / 152 | 63.2 | 1453 | 9.6 | 10 #72 FBS | 1 | 163.8 | 61 | 49.3 | 9.5 | 6.7 | |
Yards by week → Vertical passerElite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable. Starter — 152 pass attempts and 45 carries in 8 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Purdie pushes it downfield on every look. Gagliano is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Yards / attempt9.5 94th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate0.7% 91th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Deshawn Purdie's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.55 EPA/play | 13 | 6 | 9 / 18 | 50 | 131 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 147.8 | — | 12.3 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Merchant · +0.38 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 87 | 603 #49 FBS | 6.9 | 7 #36 FBS | 56 | 5.7 | 17.2 | |
Yards by week → Speed merchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. Starter — 87 carries, 3 catches and 1 pass attempt in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Davis hits the crease and outruns the angle. Jr. is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Yards / carry6.9 93th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share3.3% bottom 9th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Kam Davis's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · -0.08 EPA/play | 7 | 8 | 72 | 330 | 4.6 | 1 | 20 | 11.3 | 14.1 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 72 carries and 3 catches in 8 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Peyton Jones's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.48 EPA/play | — | 8 | 31 | 280 | 9.0 | 3 | 34 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| +0.21 EPA/play | 11 | 7 | 30 | 154 | 5.1 | 2 | 43 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +1.08 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 29 | 626 #37 FBS | 21.6 | 5 #39 FBS | 65 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 29 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Jackson beats you over the top. Lacy is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception20.5 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.1 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Makai Jackson's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.39 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 17 | 253 | 14.9 | 2 | 34 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jamari Person's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.33 EPA/play | 1 | 7 | 12 | 169 | 14.1 | 1 | 54 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Darius Copeland's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.54 EPA/play | 9 | 7 | 8 | 103 | 12.9 | 1 | 21 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.75 EPA/play | 88 | 6 | 9 | 103 | 11.4 | 1 | 26 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Wimbush shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Perdue is the one who creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Season receipt Yards / reception11.4 55th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume9 bottom 19th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Zeke Wimbush's full player page | ||||||||
| -0.32 EPA/play | 87 | 4 | 5 | 92 | 18.4 | 0 | 37 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 94 | 7 | 21 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 21 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Nathan Pirolli's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 91 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 5.5 | 2 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Michael Floyde's full player pageTFL rate39.3% 98th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 11 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1.5 | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate30.0% 91th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Lorenzo Payne's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 97 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Mike Jarvis's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 15 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate30.0% 91th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Markus Clark's full player page | |||||||
| 88 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 44 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 1 | 8 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 5.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 43 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Derrell Farrar's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 33 | 7 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 38 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Aidan Vaughan's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 9 | 8 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Deuce Spurlock's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 6 | 7 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate11.8% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dillano Glaud's full player page | |||||||||
| 4 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 22 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 8 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 | 3.5 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume26 bottom 34th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Brenton Williams's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 13 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jeremiah Vessel's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 2 | 7 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'4" 99th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jiquavious Marshall's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | — | 8 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate9.1% 57th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View D-Icey Hopkins's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 17 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jayden Davis's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 7 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume18 bottom 15th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Izaiah Guy's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 10 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Ronald Moore Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 5 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Elijah Hopkins's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 21 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Ashton McShane's full player page | |||||||
| 3 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ball Hawk | 23 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Myke Gunn's full player pagePD rate30.0% 94th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 16 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.0% bottom 37th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tyrell Gainey's full player page | |||||||
| 95 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1 | |
| 30 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 42 | 8 | 11/11 | 100 | 29/30 | 62 | 49 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.17 EPA/play | 10 | 6 | 7 | 162 | 23.1 | 0 | 40 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +1.08 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 3.5 | 0 | 11 |
Biggest plays from Liberty’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Liberty’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q3, 13:10 · Liberty down 7, ties itDeshawn Purdie finds Makai Jackson for a 33-yard touchdownLiberty at Coastal Carolina, week 4Q3, 13:10 · Liberty 17, Coastal Carolina 17Liberty tied the game in the third quarterLiberty tied the game in the third quarterD.Purdie pass complete deep left to M.Jackson caught at CCU06, for 33 yards to the CCU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 13:00 · Coastal Carolina tiedJeremiah Vessel intercepts Deuce BaileyLiberty at Coastal Carolina, week 4Q1, 13:00 · Coastal Carolina 0, Liberty 03Coastal Carolina’s turnover led to a field goal3Coastal Carolina’s turnover led to a field goalCoastal Carolina’s turnover led to a field goalD.Bailey pass intercepted by J.Vessel at LIB20, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
Q2, 9:29 · Liberty up 7Liberty turns it overLiberty at Coastal Carolina, week 4Q2, 9:29 · Liberty 10, Coastal Carolina 3Liberty turned it over in the red zoneLiberty turned it over in the red zoneD.Purdie sacked for loss of 6 yards to the CCU17 (J.Powell II), fumble by D.Purdie recovered by CCU S.McDowell at CCU17 S.McDowell return 10 yards to the CCU27 (M.Jackson)▶Watch from this play- Q2, 0:24 · Coastal Carolina breaks the tieDeuce Bailey finds Tristian Gardner for a 39-yard touchdownLiberty at Coastal Carolina, week 4Q2, 0:24 · Coastal Carolina 17, Liberty 10Coastal Carolina took the lead in the second quarterCoastal Carolina took the lead in the second quarterD.Bailey pass complete deep left to T.Gardner caught at LIB00, for 39 yards to the LIB00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 7:11 · Liberty tiedKam Davis runs 1 yard for a touchdownLiberty at Kennesaw State, week 8Q1, 7:11 · Liberty 7, Kennesaw State 0Liberty opened the scoringLiberty opened the scoringK.Davis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KENN00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football - Q1, 0:10 · Delaware down 6E. Archield Jr. fumbles and Liberty recoversLiberty at Delaware, week 5Q1, 0:10 · Delaware 0, Liberty 6Delaware turned it over in the red zoneDelaware turned it over in the red zoneE.Archield Jr. rush middle for 12 yards gain to the LIB08 fumbled by E.Archield Jr. at LIB08 forced by E.Hopkins recovered by LIB R.Moore, Jr. at LIB08, End Of Play▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
How scary each game got
Liberty lost 1 of 8 games, none after a real lead; the closest win was against Gardner-Webb, down to 9%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Liberty during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Liberty
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · LibertyMakai Jackson leads Liberty with 626 receiving yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+22 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Liberty fields an elite run-heavy, methodical, ball-control offense behind an elite defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Liberty reads strongest in field position (O) (top 2%) and red-zone defense (top 5%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Liberty sits at the 19th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Liberty is worth +4.5 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 57th percentile of 133 programs
77% at home, 52% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (33-10 home, 25-23 away). Interval ±3.9.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Liberty has beaten the number by −0.2 more at home than away over 101 games. That is inside the ±6.4 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Williams Stadium (VA) seats 25,000 and has averaged 77% full (19,142, 30 games reported). Visitors cover a median 494 miles to get here since 2018 — 53rd-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 9% of the 2026 roster (9 of 105 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 54 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatDonte Lee Jr is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Kam Davis and Peyton Jones split the carries (87/157 vs 70/157) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Kam Davis produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Makai Jackson (WR) and Zeke Wimbush (TE) split the targets (35/45 vs 10/45) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Liberty actually scores
78th percentile quality, 29th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Liberty’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 48th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 29th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Liberty hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
93rd percentile success on standard downs, 78th on passing downs — a 15-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Liberty by half
1st-half offense ranks 86th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 69th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Liberty’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.24; 92nd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.10. The widest gap came in week 10: 0.24 raw vs. 0.10 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Liberty’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.8% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 142-play sample) — mid-pack, 46 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Liberty’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.1% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 189-play sample) — mid-pack, 20 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces haven't gone their way on their own fumbles: 29% recovered, vs. ~52% expected.
2 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Cashing in at a normal clip: 23% of disrupted passes intercepted, close to ~18% league-wide.
8 interceptions of 35 disrupted passes (27 deflected, 8 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The flags haven't favored them: 77 penalties committed vs. 64 drawn on opponents, 107 yards behind.
660 penalty yards committed vs. 553 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Liberty
Most similar programs · LibertyReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, VA
Usual during the game around Nov 14: 51°, between 43° and 60° in about 7 in 10 games (24 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 66°, and 8 in 10 ran between 48° and 82° (40 of 55 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.