Miami
2-0AP #5ACC · Mario Cristobal, year 5 (37-19) · Hard Rock Stadium · 64,767 · 63,618 avg in 2026
LastW 77–7 vs Florida A&M · Thu Sep 10 · Javian Mallory 142 rush yds, 2 TD
Nextat Wake Forest · Fri Sep 18 · 7:30 pm ET · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Miami by 21 · series 9-3, won the last 8 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
All 76 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.11 EPA/play | 10 | 2 | 41 / 45 | 91.1 | 653 #12 FBS | 14.5 | 8 #3 FBS | 0 | 271.7 | — | 97.9 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 11 / 13 | 84.6 | 171 | 13.2 | 3 #60 FBS | 1 | 255.9 | — | 78.2 | — | — | ||
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.26 EPA/play | 4 | 2 | 20 | 145 #72 FBS | 7.2 | 2 #43 FBS | 46 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +1.42 EPA/play | 1 | 2 | 16 | 330 #3 FBS | 20.6 | 4 #5 FBS | 52 | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. National watch / fringe All-American — on the edge of a 1st-team nod. 11 of 58 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception20.1 95th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.4 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Malachi Toney's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.89 EPA/play | 18 | 2 | 6 | 83 | 13.8 | 2 #24 FBS | 34 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 8 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 12 of 27 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate9.1% bottom 31th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Marquise Lightfoot's full player page | |||||||
| 18 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 30 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 25 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2 | 1/1 | 100 | 11/11 | 14 | 46 |
2026 stat leaders · Miami
through 2 games
2026 stat leaders · MiamiMalachi Toney leads Miami with 330 receiving yards through 2 games.
How They Play · 2025Miami fields a strong methodical, ball-control offense behind an elite defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Miami reads strongest in epa allowed (top 7%) and success rate allowed (top 9%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Miami sits at the 9th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · Miami · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Miami has had no measurable home edge — +0.9 points, home against road.
No measurable home edge, 4th percentile of 133 programs
69% at home, 59% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (31–14 home, 24–17 away). Interval ±4.1.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Miami has beaten the number by −3.3 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±7.2 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Hard Rock Stadium seats 64,767 and has averaged 88% full (57,209, 28 games reported). Visitors face the 11th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 698 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads no measurable home edge. 23% of the 2026 roster (25 of 110 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 53 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
Tendency drift
Season by season
How Miami’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Miami
Most similar programs · MiamiReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
Historical echo
Miami’s breakout has happened before — and 2 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.
Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Conditions
81°F average kickoff temp; 26% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 80 home games with weather data.