Montana
3-0Big Sky · Washington-Grizzly Stadium · 25,217 · 27,540 avg in 2026
LastW 35–14 vs Utah Tech · Sat Sep 12 · Eli Gillman 147 rush yds, 3 TD, 7 rec yds
Nextat Oregon State · Sat Sep 19 · 11 pm ET · Reser Stadium · series 2-12-2, won the last 2 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Home-field advantage · Montana · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Montana is worth +11.8 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile of 133 programs
83% at home, 29% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (5–1 home, 2–5 away). Interval ±8.1.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Montana has beaten the number by +5.3 more at home than away over 54 games — inside the ±8.4 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Washington-Grizzly Stadium seats 25,217 and has averaged 100% full (25,264, 19 games reported). Visitors cover a median 697 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 57 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Havoc & trenches
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Montana
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Conditions
54°F average kickoff temp; 7% of games had measurable precipitation; 4 mph average wind.
Based on 44 home games with weather data.