The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Southern 49%, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 51%, Bethune-Cookman 51%
Win out 13% · expect 1.5 of 3 more wins
Grambling's chance to win each game left, from our model: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 51%, Bethune-Cookman 51%, Southern 49%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Jacobe Robinson 759 · Rushing D'Shaun Ford 230 · Receiving Tyson George 505 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
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| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | Clark Atlanta | W 49-7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | Pass Johnson III 133 · Rush Crews 50 · Rec Bride 72 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | Central State | W 48-26 | 2-0 | 0-0 | Pass Johnson III 258 · Rush Phillips 73 · Rec George 93 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @TCU | L 7-63 122 | 2-1 | 0-0 | Pass Johnson III 190 · Rush Parker 9 · Rec Bride 79 |
| 3 | Bye week | |||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | Prairie View A&M (N) | L 14-21 | 2-2 | 0-1 | Pass Robinson 131 · Rush Ford 31 · Rec George 63 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | Alcorn State | W 63-59 | 3-2 | 1-1 | Pass Frye 203 · Rush Parker 98 · Rec Bride 108 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | Jackson State | W 45-38 | 4-2 | 2-1 | Pass Robinson 212 · Rush Ford 71 · Rec George 93 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @Alabama A&M | L 31-61 | 4-3 | 2-2 | Pass Robinson 131 · Rush Crews 40 · Rec George 93 |
| 8 | Bye week | |||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | @Texas Southern | L 20-23 | 4-4 | 2-3 | Pass Frye 98 · Rush Phillips 61 · Rec Dickerson 61 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 3 pm ET51% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Bethune-Cookman | 1 pm ET51% to win | |||
| 12 | Bye week | |||||
| 13 | Nov 28 | Southern (N) | 2 pm ET49% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Grambling, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @Texas Southern | L 20-23 | — | — | — | −0.004 | 31.4% | 1.21 | One-score loss |
| Oct 17 | @Alabama A&M | L 31-61 | — | — | — | −0.040 | 23.5% | 1.97 | Most explosive |
| Oct 10 | Jackson State | W 45-38 | — | — | — | +0.163 | 51.4% | 1.00 | One-score win |
| Oct 3 | Alcorn State | W 63-59 | — | — | — | +0.487 | 47.1% | 1.76 | One-score win |
| Sep 26 | Prairie View A&M | L 14-21 | — | — | — | −0.030 | 32.1% | 1.76 | One-score loss |
| Sep 12 | @TCU | L 7-63 | 210 | 2 | 30:26 | −0.236 | 20.4% | 1.33 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 5 | Central State | W 48-26 | — | — | — | +0.498 | 56.5% | 1.47 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Aug 29 | Clark Atlanta | W 49-7 | — | — | — | +0.352 | 51.3% | 1.31 | Best defensive stand |
| Season average (8 games) | 210 | 2.0 | +0.149 | 39.2% | 1.48 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Range of outcomes · Grambling · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 12%; 5 wins 37%; 6 wins 38%; 7 wins 13%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-4
Measured from 8 games · ranks are among SWAC teams the same season
A program built on Eddie Robinson's 408 wins and Doug Williams's Super Bowl breakthrough, now working to restore SWAC dominance under Mickey Joseph after nearly three decades without recapturing that standard.
Grambling State is Eddie Robinson's 408 wins over 52 years, Doug Williams becoming the first Black quarterback to start and win a Super Bowl, and the World-Famed Tiger Marching Band's Battle of the Bands at the Bayou Classic -- the program that proved HBCU football could compete with, and change, the highest level of the sport.
Each link was checked against two outside sites.
Range of outcomes · Grambling · 2026