Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Grambling

Away
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
5-3 Won 2 straight
Home
Grambling
4-4 Lost 2 straight
Sat, Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ET · Eddie Robinson StadiumAdd to calendar: Google · other

Grambling (4‑4) hosts Arkansas-Pine Bluff (5‑3). No market line yet; the model calls it close to even.

How they got here

Last three games

Arkansas-Pine Bluff · 5-3

Rated 248th in our preseason ratings, 168th now, up 80 spots.

2-1 in its last three, including a 3-point win over Florida A&M as a 3-point underdog.

W 63-21 vs Bethune-Cookman No. 204 of 668 teams

won by 42 as a 1.5-point favorite

W 31-28 @ Florida A&M No. 206 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 3-point underdog

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won 31-28 at Florida A&M. Chance to win started at 31%, low 12%, high 90%.

L 15-21 vs Alabama State No. 160 of 668 teams

lost by 6 as a 3.5-point underdog

Arkansas-Pine Bluff lost 15-21 vs Alabama State. Chance to win started at 44%, low under 1%, high 69%.

W 41-10 @ Southern No. 248 of 668 teams

won by 31 as a 3-point underdog

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won 41-10 at Southern. Chance to win started at 36%, low 18%, high better than 99%.

W 41-35 vs Central State No. 358 of 668 teams

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won 41-35 vs Central State. Chance to win started at 60%, low 51%, high better than 99%.

L 51-53 @ Alcorn State No. 173 of 668 teams

lost by 2 as an 8.5-point underdog

L 14-54 @ MissouriTop 25 No. 42 of 668 teams

lost by 40 as a 55.5-point underdog

Arkansas-Pine Bluff lost 14-54 at Missouri. Never had a real chance.

W 35-15 vs Morehouse No. 402 of 668 teams

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won 35-15 vs Morehouse. Chance to win started at 50%, low 46%, high better than 99%.

Last three games

Grambling · 4-4

Rated 172nd in our preseason ratings, 205th now.

1-2 in its last three, including a 7-point win over Jackson State as an 8.5-point underdog.

L 20-23 @ Texas Southern No. 235 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as a 4.5-point favorite

Grambling lost 20-23 at Texas Southern. Chance to win started at 52%, low under 1%, high 87%.

L 31-61 @ Alabama A&M No. 114 of 668 teams

lost by 30 as a 7-point underdog

Grambling lost 31-61 at Alabama A&M. Chance to win started at 31%, low under 1%, high 69%.

W 45-38 vs Jackson State No. 125 of 668 teams

won by 7 as an 8.5-point underdog

Grambling won 45-38 vs Jackson State. Chance to win started at 33%, low 11%, high better than 99%.

W 63-59 vs Alcorn State No. 194 of 668 teams

won by 4 as a 6-point favorite

Grambling won 63-59 vs Alcorn State. Chance to win started at 75%, low under 1%, high better than 99%.

L 14-21 vs Prairie View A&M No. 141 of 668 teams

lost by 7 as an 11.5-point underdog

L 7-63 @ TCU No. 53 of 668 teams

lost by 56 as a 44.5-point underdog

Grambling lost 7-63 at TCU. Never had a real chance.

W 48-26 vs Central State No. 384 of 668 teams

Grambling won 48-26 vs Central State. Chance to win started at 56%, low 56%, high better than 99%.

W 49-7 vs Clark Atlanta No. 376 of 668 teams

Grambling won 49-7 vs Clark Atlanta. Chance to win started at 76%, low 69%, high better than 99%.

What’s at stake

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 1 game back in SWAC with 2 left to make it up.
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff is coming off a 42-point win.

Grambling

  • Grambling is 2 games back in SWAC with 2 left to make it up.
  • Grambling State is Eddie Robinson's 408 wins over 52 years, Doug Williams becoming the first Black quarterback to start and win a Super Bowl, and the World-Famed Tiger Marching Band's Battle of the Bands at the Bayou Classic -- the program that proved HBCU football could compete with, and change, the highest level of the sport.

See this week’s biggest postseason implications ›

The series

Grambling leads the series 14-4

18 meetings since 2007 · Grambling has won the last 4

Grambling wonArkansas-Pine Bluff won2007: Grambling by 62008: Grambling by 212009: Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 72010: Grambling by 102011: Grambling by 72012: Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 72013: Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 32014: Grambling by 242015: Grambling by 182016: Grambling by 702017: Grambling by 52018: Grambling by 72019: Grambling by 62021: Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 72022: Grambling by 262023: Grambling by 292024: Grambling by 102025: Grambling by 420072025
  • 2025Grambling 20-16
  • 2024Grambling 31-21
  • 2023Grambling 43-14
  • 2022Grambling 36-10
  • 2021Arkansas-Pine Bluff 33-26

Home field

Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.

0% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 0-10 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +11.9 at home vs. away over 38 games — outside the ±8.5 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.

The visitors travel about 126 miles to get here.

Week by week

Grambling

Wk 4: L 14-21 vs Prairie View A&M▼7Prairie…Wk 5: W 63-59 vs Alcorn State▲4Alcorn S…Wk 6: W 45-38 vs Jackson State▲7Jackson…Wk 7: L 31-61 at Alabama A&M▼30Alabama…Wk 9: L 20-23 at Texas Southern▼3T. South…
  • Wk 4Lvs Prairie View A&M14-21
  • Wk 5Wvs Alcorn State63-59
  • Wk 6Wvs Jackson State45-38
  • Wk 7Lat Alabama A&M31-61
  • Wk 9Lat Texas Southern20-23

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Wk 3: W 41-35 vs Central State▲6C. St.Wk 5: W 41-10 at Southern▲31SouthernWk 7: L 15-21 vs Alabama State▼6Alabama…Wk 8: W 31-28 at Florida A&M▲3F. A&MWk 9: W 63-21 vs Bethune-Cookman▲42Bethune-…
  • Wk 3Wvs Central State41-35
  • Wk 5Wat Southern41-10
  • Wk 7Lvs Alabama State15-21
  • Wk 8Wat Florida A&M31-28
  • Wk 9Wvs Bethune-Cookman63-21

Power rating by week

Arkansas-Pine Bluff is rated 3.3 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-5-9-13Wk 0Wk 5Wk 10GramblingArkansas-Pine Bluff

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.