Next game: vs Temple
Navy’s best edge on Temple is staying on schedule
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Navy offense against Temple defense
Temple offense against Navy defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.29 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 36 / 71 | 50.7 | 717 | 10.1 | 7 | 1 | 165.3 | 56 | 65.2 | 9.8 | 9.0 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| +0.35 EPA/play | 5 | 6 | 10 / 25 | 40 | 152 | 6.1 | 0 | 1 | 83.1 | — | 22.9 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.08 EPA/play | 40 | 8 | 46 | 251 | 5.5 | 2 | 35 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 46 carries and 5 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Listorti does a little of everything without one standout trait. Carter is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Yards / carry5.6 61th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception15.0 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Vic Listorti's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.56 EPA/play | 84 | 4 | 6 | 212 | 35.3 | 3 | 92 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.34 EPA/play | 89 | 4 | 5 | 92 | 18.4 | 0 | 27 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.11 EPA/play | 23 | 7 | 10 | 85 | 8.5 | 1 | 15 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.14 EPA/play | 26 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 7 | 1 | 15 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Versatile End | 65 | 8 | 42 | 20 | 8 #50 FBS | 3.5 | 3 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Impact starter — 42 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Aiden Lyczek's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 95 | 8 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — 26 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate11.5% bottom 38th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Griffen Willis's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 94 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 2.5 | 0 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 55th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Xavyer Arrington's full player page | |||||||
| 99 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 90 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| 77 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 58 | 8 | 63 | 35 | 28 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. Starter — 63 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 76th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume63 93th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Coleman Cauley's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 56 | 8 | 57 | 23 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 57 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View MarcAnthony Parker's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 52 | 5 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume27 bottom 27th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate7.4% 84th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nolan McCamy's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 18 | 6 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume24 bottom 22th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.0% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Will Miller's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 45 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume15 bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint View Christian Johnson's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 53 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume15 bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Marcus Bleazard's full player page | |||||||||
| 14 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 16 | 8 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 50 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume50 93th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Giuseppe Sessi's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 8 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 32 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Aaron Rose's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 13 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 28 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Cam Robinson's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 6 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Phillip Hamilton's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 3 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ira Oniha's full player page | |||||||
| 5 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 7 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 22 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 8 | 6/9 | 66.7 | 23/25 | 41 | 38 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 6 | 18 | 739 | 41.1 | 52 | 3 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.11 EPA/play | 23 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 5.2 | 0 | 23 |
Biggest plays from Navy’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Navy’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 10:36 · UAB down 3, takes the leadBraylon McReynolds runs 48 yards for a touchdownNavy at UAB, week 4Q4, 10:36 · UAB 24, Navy 20▲39%UAB’s chance to win, 20% to 59%▲39%UAB’s chance to win, 20% to 59%B.McReynolds rush middle for 48 yards gain to the NAV00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 9:38 · North Texas up 3Jahiem White runs 59 yards for a touchdownNorth Texas at Navy, week 8Q4, 9:38 · North Texas 49, Navy 39Jahiem White's 25th career rushing touchdownJahiem White's 25th career rushing touchdownJ.White rush right for 59 yards gain to the Navy00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football
Q4, 10:49 · Navy down 10Michael Barrow runs 4 yards for a touchdownNorth Texas at Navy, week 8Q4, 10:49 · Navy 39, North Texas 42▲20%Navy’s chance to win, 14% to 34%▲20%Navy’s chance to win, 14% to 34%M.Barrow rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNT00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football- Q2, 1:11 · UAB breaks the tieRyder Burton finds Tiaquelin Mims for a 56-yard touchdownNavy at UAB, week 4Q2, 1:11 · UAB 17, Navy 105656-yard touchdown pass5656-yard touchdown pass56-yard touchdown passR.Burton pass complete short left to T.Mims caught at NAV45, for 56 yards to the NAV00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 10:05 · North Texas tiedTayven Jackson finds Justin Stevenson for a 45-yard touchdownNorth Texas at Navy, week 8Q1, 10:05 · North Texas 7, Navy 0North Texas opened the scoringNorth Texas opened the scoringT.Jackson pass complete deep middle to J.Stevenson caught at Navy02, for 45 yards to the Navy00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
Q2, 0:55 · Notre Dame down 6, takes the leadNolan James Jr. runs 52 yards for a touchdownNotre Dame at Navy, week 9Q2, 0:55 · Notre Dame 14, Navy 135252-yard touchdown run5252-yard touchdown run52-yard touchdown runN.James Jr. rush middle for 52 yards gain to the Navy00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Navy lost at UTSA after being 85% to win; the closest win was against Tulsa, down to 12%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Navy during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Navy
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · NavyJackson Gutierrez leads Navy with 982 rushing yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+10 more
Recruiting and the portal: who's gone and who's back
How they play
Navy fields a strong run-heavy offense behind a porous defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Navy reads strongest in passing EPA (top 14%) and rushing EPA (top 19%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Navy sits at the 6th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Navy is worth +1.6 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 12th percentile of 133 programs
56% at home, 41% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (23-18 home, 18-26 away). Interval ±4.1.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Navy has beaten the number by +0.5 more at home than away over 91 games. That is inside the ±6.8 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium seats 34,000 and has averaged 93% full (31,687, 24 games reported). Visitors cover a median 788 miles to get here (2018-present). 15% of the 2026 roster (27 of 186 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 47 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games. Service-academy rosters are filled by congressional nomination rather than ordinary recruiting and run well past normal FBS size — read the local share against that.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatEli Heidenreich is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
- Deep threatBrandon Chatman is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Navy actually scores
57th percentile quality, 51st percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Navy’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 82nd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 69th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Navy hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
89th percentile success on standard downs, 17th on passing downs — a 72-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Navy by half
1st-half offense ranks 67th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 70th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Navy’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.20; 77th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.07. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.48 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Navy’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Navy’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (62.0% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 69-play sample) — mid-pack, 9 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Navy’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.5% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 156-play sample) — mid-pack, 119 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
33% recovery rate on their own fumbles — below the ~52% league baseline.
4 of 12 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
20% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.
4 interceptions of 20 disrupted passes (16 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
43 penalties committed, 35 drawn on opponents — ceding 31 yards of field position.
361 penalty yards committed vs. 330 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Navy
Most similar programs · NavyReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 54°, between 49° and 59° in about 7 in 10 games (26 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 65°, and 8 in 10 ran between 41° and 79° (46 of 51 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.