Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from North Carolina A&T’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in North Carolina A&T’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 7:17 · Georgia State tiedCameran Brown finds DJ Murray Jr. for a 30-yard touchdownNorth Carolina A&T at Georgia State, week 1Q1, 7:17 · Georgia State 7, North Carolina A&T 0Georgia State opened the scoringGeorgia State opened the scoringC.Brown pass complete deep right to D.Murray Jr. caught at NCA06, for 30 yards to the NCA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference- Q2, 7:00 · Georgia State up 14Qwantavius Wiggins runs 2 yards for a touchdownNorth Carolina A&T at Georgia State, week 1Q2, 7:00 · Georgia State 21, North Carolina A&T 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playQ.Wiggins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCA00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
Q2, 5:12 · North Carolina A&T down 21Kevin White finds Anthony Rucker for a 61-yard touchdownNorth Carolina A&T at Georgia State, week 1Q2, 5:12 · North Carolina A&T 7, Georgia State 216161-yard touchdown pass6161-yard touchdown pass61-yard touchdown passK.White pass complete short middle to A.Rucker caught at GSU46, for 61 yards to the GSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference- Q2, 2:38 · Georgia State up 14DJ Murray Jr. runs 14 yards for a touchdownNorth Carolina A&T at Georgia State, week 1Q2, 2:38 · Georgia State 28, North Carolina A&T 7DJ Murray Jr.'s first career rushing touchdownDJ Murray Jr.'s first career rushing touchdownD.Murray Jr. rush middle for 14 yards gain to the NCA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q1, 13:11 · North Carolina A&T tiedJabriel Rhodes-Nelson sacks Braxton Thomas for a 2-yard lossNorth Carolina A&T at Georgia State, week 1Q1, 13:11 · North Carolina A&T 0, Georgia State 00-0score after the play0-0score after the playB.Thomas sacked for loss of 2 yards to the NCA42 (J.Rhodes-Nelson)▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q1, 0:00 · Georgia State up 7Lanear McCrary Jr. runs 8 yards for a touchdownNorth Carolina A&T at Georgia State, week 1Q1, 0:00 · Georgia State 14, North Carolina A&T 090Capped a 90-yard drive90Capped a 90-yard driveCapped a 90-yard driveLanear McCrary Jr. 8 yd Run (Samer Layous Kick)▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
How scary each game got
North Carolina A&T lost at Bryant after being 97% to win; the closest win was against Elon, down to 22%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave North Carolina A&T during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
North Carolina A&T has had no measurable home edge: +0.2 points, home against road.
No measurable home edge, 2nd percentile of 133 programs
0% at home, 9% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (0-1 home, 1-10 away).
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, North Carolina A&T has beaten the number by −5.5 more at home than away over 50 games. That is inside the ±8.1 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Aggie Stadium seats 21,500 and has averaged 54% full (11,661, 13 games reported). Visitors cover a median 202 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 42 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Scheme claims
How much of North Carolina A&T’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.07; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.01. The widest gap came in week 9: 0.08 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · North Carolina A&T
Most similar programs · North Carolina A&TReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.