Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 6 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from South Dakota State’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in South Dakota State’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 8:16 · South Dakota State down 8Josiah Johnson runs 2 yards for a touchdownSouth Dakota State at Northwestern, week 1Q4, 8:16 · South Dakota State 18, Northwestern 20South Dakota State answered right backSouth Dakota State answered right backJ.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU00 touchdown C.Mason pass attempt failed J.Smith pass attempt failed▶Watch from this play
Q1, 11:42 · Northwestern tiedAidan Chiles finds Alex Honig for an 11-yard touchdownSouth Dakota State at Northwestern, week 1Q1, 11:42 · Northwestern 7, South Dakota State 0Northwestern opened the scoringNorthwestern opened the scoringA.Chiles pass complete short middle to A.Honig caught at SDSU00, for 11 yards to the SDSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q1, 6:03 · South Dakota State down 7Damon Walters intercepts Chase MasonSouth Dakota State at Northwestern, week 1Q1, 6:03 · South Dakota State 0, Northwestern 7▼2%South Dakota State’s chance to win, 7% to 5%▼2%South Dakota State’s chance to win, 7% to 5%C.Mason pass intercepted by D.Walters at SDSU50 D.Walters return 4 yards to the SDSU46 (J.Smith)▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 13:06 · South Dakota State tiedBraydon Brus sacks Chase Mason for a 1-yard lossSouth Dakota State at Northwestern, week 1Q1, 13:06 · South Dakota State 0, Northwestern 00-0score after the play0-0score after the playC.Mason sacked for loss of 1 yard to the SDSU47 (B.Brus)▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 7:13 · Northwestern up 1Caleb Komolafe runs 7 yards for a touchdownSouth Dakota State at Northwestern, week 1Q3, 7:13 · Northwestern 17, South Dakota State 9Northwestern answered right backNorthwestern answered right backC.Komolafe rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SDSU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q4, 1:15 · Northwestern up 9Joseph Himon II runs 80 yards for a touchdownSouth Dakota State at Northwestern, week 1Q4, 1:15 · Northwestern 34, South Dakota State 188080-yard touchdown run8080-yard touchdown run80-yard touchdown runJ.Himon II rush left for 80 yards gain to the SDSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
South Dakota State lost 2 of 9 games, none after a real lead; the closest win was at Illinois State, down to 32%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave South Dakota State during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
South Dakota State is worth +6.3 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 86th percentile of 133 programs
75% at home, 47% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (6-2 home, 7-8 away). Interval ±9.1.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, South Dakota State has beaten the number by −0.7 more at home than away over 60 games. That is inside the ±7.2 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium seats 19,340 and has averaged 86% full (16,726, 21 games reported). Visitors cover a median 603 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 62 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of South Dakota State’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.28; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.09. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.46 raw vs. 0.09 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · South Dakota State
Most similar programs · South Dakota StateReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.