The Citadel

2-7

Key stats

Key stats · 2026 · FBS rank

Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.

Points/game127th of 138
18.6
Pts allowed/game128th of 138
33.1
All 26 stats
Other
Red zone pass rate14.3%14.3%
1st-half EPA/play allowed
0.40.0/gm
1st-half EPA/play
-0.1-0.0/gm
Pass rate, 1st downs1st of 10
20.0%20.0%

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats

Player stats · 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Biggest plays from The Citadel’s games

Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in The Citadel’s games this season, whoever made them.

  1. Q1, 8:56 · Texas A&M tiedJamarion Morrow runs 4 yards for a touchdownThe Citadel at Texas A&M, week 7Q1, 8:56 · Texas A&M 7, The Citadel 0Texas A&M opened the scoringTexas A&M opened the scoringJ.Morrow rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CIT00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q2, 14:29 · Texas A&M up 7Jamarion Morrow runs 1 yard for a touchdownThe Citadel at Texas A&M, week 7Q2, 14:29 · Texas A&M 14, The Citadel 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playJ.Morrow rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CIT00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 10:26 · Texas A&M up 14Marcel Reed finds Aaron Gregory for a 37-yard touchdownThe Citadel at Texas A&M, week 7Q2, 10:26 · Texas A&M 21, The Citadel 037Aaron Gregory's fifth touch of the season is a 37-yard touchdown37Aaron Gregory's fifth touch of the season is a 37-yard touchdownAaron Gregory's fifth touch of the season is a 37-yard touchdownM.Reed pass complete deep left to A.Gregory caught at CIT00, for 37 yards to the CIT00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q4, 5:47 · Texas A&M up 34Brady Hart finds Aaron Gregory for a 12-yard touchdownThe Citadel at Texas A&M, week 7Q4, 5:47 · Texas A&M 41, The Citadel 041-0score after the play41-0score after the playB.Hart pass complete short left to A.Gregory caught at CIT00, for 12 yards to the CIT00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q4, 1:06 · Texas A&M up 41Texas A&M is sackedThe Citadel at Texas A&M, week 7Q4, 1:06 · Texas A&M 41, The Citadel 041-0score after the play41-0score after the playH.Casuga sacked for loss of 5 yards to the A&M24 (S.Rogers)Watch from this playESPN College Football

How scary each game got

The Citadel lost at Mercer after being 86% to win; the closest win was at Charlotte, down to 13%

50%W1L1L2L4W5L6L7L8L9

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave The Citadel during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents

The Citadel has been 4.4 points worse at home than on the road.

Worse at home, 0th percentile of 133 programs

0% at home, 17% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (0-1 home, 2-10 away).

model 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
model 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
The stadium and how the home edge is measured

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, The Citadel has beaten the number by 9.2 points less at home than away over 52 games. That is outside the ±7.4 that many games can resolve, so this is one of the few buildings where the results say something the flat number does not.

Johnson Hagood Stadium seats 11,427 and has averaged 90% full (10,245, 15 games reported). Visitors cover a median 253 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across 43 of 44 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home0-1Away2-10Edge−4.4Visitor trip253 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

How much of The Citadel’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.04; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.01. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.20 raw vs. 0.06 adjusted.

0.220.10-0.03Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.220.10-0.03Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.123, 10th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.123
10th
Havoc allowed (O) 0.163
33rd
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.090
36th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.033
1st
Stuff rate (D) 0.169
24th
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.208
22nd
Line yards (O) 2.828
28th
Line yards allowed (D) 3.234
9th
Standard-downs success (O) 0.401
5th
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.527
3rd
Passing-downs success (O) 0.288
30th
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.303
44th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · The Citadel

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site