ULM

1-7

Next game: at Arkansas State

Arkansas State’s best edge on ULM is running

Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.

ULM offense against Arkansas State defense

weakelite
PassingULM 13th · Arkansas State 3rd
RunningULM 8th · Arkansas State 40th
Staying on scheduleULM 30th · Arkansas State 11th
Big playsULM 6th · Arkansas State 47th
Red zoneULM 11th · Arkansas State 9th

Arkansas State offense against ULM defense

weakelite
PassingArkansas State 51st · ULM 24th
RunningArkansas State 71st · ULM 6th
Staying on scheduleArkansas State 83rd · ULM 19th
Big playsArkansas State 20th · ULM 68th
Red zoneArkansas State 55th · ULM 17th

Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.

Key stats

Key stats · 2026 · FBS rank

Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.

EPA / play132nd of 138
-0.04
EPA allowed / play123rd of 138
+0.20
PenaltiesTied 19th of 138
41
Pass att (opp)Tied 24th of 138
215
Punt ret yds (opp)137th of 137
356
Three-and-out rate137th of 137
21.0%
Points / game122nd of 138
20.2
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
2650331.2/gm5.01/play122nd of 13866th of 7013th of 1413th of 13
Opp
3478434.8/gm6.22/play129th of 13866th of 7014th of 141st of 13
Rush yards
Team
974121.8/gm1.84/play116th of 13859th of 7012th of 1411th of 13
Opp
1780222.5/gm3.18/play133rd of 13869th of 7013th of 141st of 13
Rush carries
Team
27133.9/gmTied 97th of 138Tied 51st of 7011th of 1412th of 13
Opp
34443.0/gmTied 127th of 13869th of 7012th of 141st of 13
Rush TDs
Team
70.9/gmTied 125th of 138Tied 68th of 70Tied 13th of 1411th of 13
Opp
172.1/gmTied 123rd of 13867th of 70Tied 12th of 141st of 13
Net pass yards
Team
1676209.5/gm3.17/playTied 93rd of 138Tied 57th of 7010th of 1412th of 13
Opp
1698212.2/gm3.04/play64th of 13831st of 707th of 141st of 13
Pass attempts
Team
25832.2/gmTied 53rd of 13829th of 705th of 1412th of 13
Opp
21526.9/gmTied 24th of 138Tied 9th of 702nd of 141st of 13
Completions
Team
15619.5/gmTied 75th of 13845th of 709th of 1412th of 13
Opp
13817.2/gmTied 43rd of 138Tied 18th of 705th of 142nd of 13
Pass TDs
Team
121.5/gmTied 69th of 138Tied 49th of 70Tied 5th of 1412th of 13
Opp
162.0/gmTied 112th of 138Tied 59th of 70Tied 12th of 142nd of 13
Passer rating
Team
128.1128.1101st of 13861st of 7010th of 145th of 13
Opp
149.5149.5124th of 13767th of 7013th of 148th of 13
Interceptions thrown
Team
60.8/gmTied 64th of 138Tied 34th of 70Tied 7th of 141st of 13
Opp
30.4/gmTied 113th of 138Tied 56th of 7014th of 1413th of 13
Sacks (def)
Team
141.8/gmTied 93rd of 138Tied 53rd of 70Tied 8th of 1411th of 11
Opp
182.2/gmTied 95th of 138Tied 49th of 70Tied 10th of 141st of 11
Tackles for loss
Team
374.6/gmTied 100th of 138Tied 53rd of 7012th of 1411th of 11
Opp
465.8/gmTied 88th of 138Tied 44th of 70Tied 10th of 141st of 11
First downs
Team
14618.2/gmTied 114th of 138Tied 65th of 7013th of 1413th of 13
Opp
16720.9/gmTied 92nd of 13856th of 7010th of 141st of 13
3rd-down conv
Team
354.4/gmTied 119th of 138Tied 64th of 70Tied 12th of 1412th of 13
Opp
516.4/gmTied 125th of 138Tied 65th of 70Tied 12th of 141st of 13
3rd-down att
Team
11214.0/gmTied 44th of 138Tied 19th of 706th of 1413th of 13
Opp
12115.1/gmTied 114th of 138Tied 58th of 7011th of 141st of 13
4th-down conv
Team
101.2/gmTied 38th of 138Tied 20th of 70Tied 4th of 149th of 13
Opp
141.8/gmTied 131st of 138Tied 65th of 7014th of 1411th of 13
4th-down att
Team
192.4/gmTied 25th of 138Tied 10th of 704th of 1411th of 13
Opp
192.4/gmTied 102nd of 138Tied 52nd of 70Tied 11th of 145th of 13
Time of possession
Team
237:1229:39/gm87th of 13848th of 7011th of 1413th of 13
Opp
240:1830:02/gm59th of 13836th of 709th of 141st of 13

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats · 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
Pocket Passer · +0.04 EPA/play107114 / 18761.013167.093132.83541.26.55.6
-0.15 EPA/play12642 / 6762.73605.433113.62417.43.39.5
Running backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.12 EPA/play65341564.6131——
Balanced Back · -0.35 EPA/play257431503.5018——
-0.08 EPA/play36291455232——
-0.16 EPA/play23825672.7119——
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
Slot Technician · +0.39 EPA/play173334810.5183
Possession Receiver · +0.25 EPA/play1381722012.9131
Possession Receiver · +0.04 EPA/play—81520413.6175
Possession Receiver · -0.10 EPA/play771519412.9347
Possession Receiver · +0.02 EPA/play481819110.6048
Complete TE · +0.39 EPA/play88211798.5222
+0.31 EPA/play8925448.8036

Biggest plays from UL Monroe’s games

Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in UL Monroe’s games this season, whoever made them.

  1. Q4, 7:50 · Mississippi State up 35J.J. Hill runs 57 yards for a touchdownUL Monroe at Mississippi State, week 1Q4, 7:50 · Mississippi State 55, UL Monroe 135757-yard touchdown run5757-yard touchdown run57-yard touchdown runJ.Hill rush middle for 57 yards gain to the ULM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q1, 12:21 · Mississippi State tiedKamario Taylor finds Sanfrisco Magee for a 6-yard touchdownUL Monroe at Mississippi State, week 1Q1, 12:21 · Mississippi State 7, UL Monroe 0Mississippi State opened the scoringMississippi State opened the scoringK.Taylor pass complete short middle to S.Magee caught at ULM00, for 6 yards to the ULM00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q1, 10:20 · Mississippi State up 7Kamario Taylor finds Zion Ragins for a 22-yard touchdownUL Monroe at Mississippi State, week 1Q1, 10:20 · Mississippi State 14, UL Monroe 0Zion Ragins's first career receiving touchdownZion Ragins's first career receiving touchdownK.Taylor pass complete short middle to Z.Ragins caught at ULM14, for 22 yards to the ULM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q1, 5:58 · Mississippi State up 14Kamario Taylor runs 26 yards for a touchdownUL Monroe at Mississippi State, week 1Q1, 5:58 · Mississippi State 21, UL Monroe 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playK.Taylor rush left for 26 yards gain to the ULM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 13:15 · Mississippi State up 18Kamario Taylor finds Anthony Evans III for a 10-yard touchdownUL Monroe at Mississippi State, week 1Q2, 13:15 · Mississippi State 28, UL Monroe 3Kamario Taylor's third touchdown pass of the gameKamario Taylor's third touchdown pass of the gameK.Taylor pass complete short right to A.Evans III caught at ULM06, for 10 yards to the ULM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q2, 0:35 · Mississippi State up 31Xavier Gayten runs 14 yards for a touchdownUL Monroe at Mississippi State, week 1Q2, 0:35 · Mississippi State 41, UL Monroe 3Mississippi State scored with 0:35 left in the halfMississippi State scored with 0:35 left in the halfX.Gayten rush right for 14 yards gain to the ULM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football

All 8 plays from UL Monroe’s games

How scary each game got

ULM lost at UAB after being 87% to win; the closest win was at Troy, down to 1%

50%L1L2L3L4L5L7W8L9

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave ULM during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

Stat leaders

2026 stat leaders · ULM

through 8 games

Noah Flemmings leads ULM with 72 tackles through 8 games.

1. Noah Flemmings LB 72 tackles
2. Marcus Ross LB 48 tackles
3. Taijh Overton S 45 tackles
4. Aidan Armenta QB 1,316 passing yards
5. Zy Jackson DB 30 tackles

Roster

Roster

2026
27 players carry a qualified CFB Zeitgeist Score this season so far.
Armoni Rue CB #86 of 344
Noah Flemmings LB #185 of 567
Marcellus Jackson WR #159 of 465
Taijh Overton S #193 of 537
Bryce Anderson TE #56 of 132
Marcus Ross LB #247 of 567

+21 more

Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back

How they play

How they play · 2026

ULM fields a struggling methodical, ball-control offense behind a porous, bend-don't-break defense.

Offense
5th pct EPA/play
Style
30th pct success, 6th explosiveness
Defense
11th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
68th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

Player percentiles

Player percentiles · ULM · 2026

ULM reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 32%) and success rate (top 70%); the crux lives in EPA / play, where ULM sits at the 4th percentile.

Offense · strengths lead

EPA / play -0.04
5th
Success rate +0.40
30th
Explosive plays +1.11
6th
Rushing EPA -0.06
8th
Red-zone finish +2.91
11th

Defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA allowed +0.20
11th
Success rate allowed +0.44
19th
Explosive plays allowed +1.20
68th
Passing EPA allowed +0.26
24th
Red-zone defense +3.99
17th

Hidden math · special situations

Field position (O) +26.83
8th
Passing EPA +0.02
13th
Rushing EPA allowed +0.18
6th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 8 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 138 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents

ULM is worth +6.4 points more at home than on the road.

Top third of FBS, 88th percentile of 133 programs

38% at home, 15% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (15-25 home, 8-46 away). Interval ±3.9.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
The stadium and how the home edge is measured

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, ULM has beaten the number by +3.9 more at home than away over 102 games. That is inside the ±6.3 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Malone Stadium seats 27,617 and has averaged 55% full (15,199, 25 games reported). Visitors cover a median 312 miles to get here since 2018 — 41st-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 17% of the 2026 roster (17 of 100 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 48 home games since 2018.

Home15-25Away8-46Edge+6.4 ±3.9Visitor trip312 mi

More in this tab

How they play

Usage splitsWho gets the ball late, on money downs and as an underdog.

How the players get used

From the 2025 season's play-by-play

  • Deep threatJonathan Bibbs is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
  • Deep threatJP Coulter is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
  • Garbage timeZachary Palmer-Smith does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score.
Position battlesReps are split — here's who's actually winning them.

RB room

The carries are split. The job isn’t.

Bryson Roland and Derrick Jameson split the carries (42/71 vs 29/71) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Derrick Jameson produces in bigger chunks.

Bryson RolandDerrick Jameson
Carries
4229
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Targets
7/169/16
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
44.9%60.7%
concentration and EPA/carry agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 2 claims, 1 survived, 1 falsified

WR/TE room

The targets are split. The job isn’t.

Nic Trujillo (WR) and Bryce Anderson (TE) split the targets (42/68 vs 26/68) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Nic Trujillo produces in bigger chunks.

Nic TrujilloBryce Anderson
Targets
4226
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
12/153/15
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
5/116/11
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
68.6%52.1%
concentration and EPA/target agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 3 claims, 1 survived, 2 falsified
Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

ULM’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 12th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 11th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 12th pctileCompetitive snaps only · 11th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does ULM hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

47th percentile success on standard downs, 11th on passing downs — a 36-point gap between the two.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantUL MonroeWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i48th standard · 29th passingUNLV41st standard · 19th passingStanford40th standard · 9th passingEastern Michigan16th standard · 30th passingSan José State17th standard · 2nd passingNew Mexico State14th standard · 36th passingSacramento State13th standard · 6th passingOklahoma State96th standard · 86th passingDuke21st standard · 67th passingFlorida State30th standard · 90th passingRutgers42nd standard · 81st passingKansas52nd standard · 18th passingBoston College63rd standard · 28th passingNorfolk State7th standard · 0th passingLouisville95th standard · 72nd passingMissouri34th standard · 41st passingMemphis92nd standard · 93rd passingGeorgia Southern60th standard · 71st passingOle Miss81st standard · 94th passingJacksonville State82nd standard · 80th passingNorth Dakota State30th standard · 45th passingArizona76th standard · 94th passingUSC79th standard · 97th passingWake Forest75th standard · 96th passingTCU70th standard · 10th passingDelaware59th standard · 64th passingUAB24th standard · 62nd passingMichigan State23rd standard · 55th passingSouth Florida84th standard · 57th passingFlorida International20th standard · 53rd passingNavy89th standard · 17th passingWisconsin25th standard · 22nd passingOregon State97th standard · 70th passingSyracuse57th standard · 39th passingOhio State84th standard · 80th passingBall State31st standard · 52nd passingPittsburgh65th standard · 50th passingColorado16th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Tech53rd standard · 40th passingAuburn14th standard · 69th passingBaylor15th standard · 46th passingNorth Texas95th standard · 84th passingApp State33rd standard · 49th passingIowa State18th standard · 31st passingUTSA91st standard · 33rd passingArkansas71st standard · 24th passingBoise State77th standard · 92nd passingOregon39th standard · 26th passingTulsa49th standard · 7th passingTulane12th standard · 8th passingPurdue57th standard · 82nd passingMiddle Tennessee27th standard · 64th passingVanderbilt41st standard · 32nd passingSan Diego State8th standard · 54th passingLSU86th standard · 98th passingClemson7th standard · 39th passingCentral Michigan36th standard · 9th passingTexas Tech64th standard · 76th passingMichigan10th standard · 89th passingWestern Michigan32nd standard · 27th passingOhio82nd standard · 42nd passingBuffalo9th standard · 11th passingTexas27th standard · 61st passingCoastal Carolina23rd standard · 64th passingColorado State66th standard · 95th passingWyoming78th standard · 48th passingTexas A&M46th standard · 55th passingLiberty93rd standard · 78th passingFlorida Atlantic67th standard · 87th passingLouisiana36th standard · 66th passingSouth Alabama44th standard · 74th passingTroy39th standard · 15th passingSam Houston11th standard · 37th passingNevada28th standard · 27th passingWestern Kentucky22nd standard · 25th passingWashington State19th standard · 5th passingWashington56th standard · 16th passingCalifornia11th standard · 20th passingCharlotte18th standard · 41st passingTennessee75th standard · 12th passingUtah State3rd standard · 76th passingMiami99th standard · 95th passingHouston87th standard · 99th passingUCF29th standard · 45th passingUtah94th standard · 98th passingFresno State25th standard · 84th passingAkron58th standard · 34th passingNorth Carolina89th standard · 73rd passingIllinois73rd standard · 91st passingToledo73rd standard · 52nd passingMinnesota32nd standard · 4th passingRice59th standard · 14th passingTemple50th standard · 68th passingNC State62nd standard · 77th passingVirginia83rd standard · 2nd passingNotre Dame100th standard · 43rd passingMassachusetts35th standard · 38th passingKent State5th standard · 21st passingSouth Carolina70th standard · 56th passingMiami (OH)50th standard · 43rd passingKennesaw State61st standard · 16th passingCincinnati68th standard · 83rd passingIndiana55th standard · 44th passingMaine0th standard · 86th passingNorthern Illinois51st standard · 14th passingBowling Green43rd standard · 21st passingGeorgia State68th standard · 66th passingSouthern Miss48th standard · 7th passingKansas State64th standard · 68th passingUConn72nd standard · 73rd passingAlabama77th standard · 57th passingEast Carolina37th standard · 19th passingOld Dominion1st standard · 36th passingOklahoma4th standard · 50th passingUTEP9th standard · 1st passingNorthwestern88th standard · 88th passingVirginia Tech43rd standard · 91st passingMaryland34th standard · 26th passingArizona State38th standard · 61st passingNew Mexico55th standard · 48th passingNebraska46th standard · 85th passingMarshall69th standard · 32nd passingArkansas State85th standard · 59th passingSMU91st standard · 82nd passingJames Madison45th standard · 77th passingTexas State74th standard · 100th passingMississippi State66th standard · 59th passingUL Monroe47th standard · 11th passingMissouri State52nd standard · 30th passingWest Virginia54th standard · 75th passingLouisiana Tech26th standard · 79th passingUCLA80th standard · 60th passingKentucky90th standard · 51st passingFlorida61st standard · 70th passingUT Martin6th standard · 3rd passingArmy93rd standard · 58th passingMercyhurst2nd standard · 34th passingIowa79th standard · 13th passingPenn State20th standard · 47th passingAir Force98th standard · 23rd passingRobert Morris2nd standard · 5th passingGardner-Webb5th standard · 23rd passingGeorgia98th standard · 89th passingBYU86th standard · 35th passing
Fragile off scheduleBalancedWeak both waysStandard downs onlyUL MonroeWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i48th standard · 29th passingUNLV41st standard · 19th passingStanford40th standard · 9th passingEastern Michigan16th standard · 30th passingSan José State17th standard · 2nd passingNew Mexico State14th standard · 36th passingSacramento State13th standard · 6th passingOklahoma State96th standard · 86th passingDuke21st standard · 67th passingFlorida State30th standard · 90th passingRutgers42nd standard · 81st passingKansas52nd standard · 18th passingBoston College63rd standard · 28th passingNorfolk State7th standard · 0th passingLouisville95th standard · 72nd passingMissouri34th standard · 41st passingMemphis92nd standard · 93rd passingGeorgia Southern60th standard · 71st passingOle Miss81st standard · 94th passingJacksonville State82nd standard · 80th passingNorth Dakota State30th standard · 45th passingArizona76th standard · 94th passingUSC79th standard · 97th passingWake Forest75th standard · 96th passingTCU70th standard · 10th passingDelaware59th standard · 64th passingUAB24th standard · 62nd passingMichigan State23rd standard · 55th passingSouth Florida84th standard · 57th passingFlorida International20th standard · 53rd passingNavy89th standard · 17th passingWisconsin25th standard · 22nd passingOregon State97th standard · 70th passingSyracuse57th standard · 39th passingOhio State84th standard · 80th passingBall State31st standard · 52nd passingPittsburgh65th standard · 50th passingColorado16th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Tech53rd standard · 40th passingAuburn14th standard · 69th passingBaylor15th standard · 46th passingNorth Texas95th standard · 84th passingApp State33rd standard · 49th passingIowa State18th standard · 31st passingUTSA91st standard · 33rd passingArkansas71st standard · 24th passingBoise State77th standard · 92nd passingOregon39th standard · 26th passingTulsa49th standard · 7th passingTulane12th standard · 8th passingPurdue57th standard · 82nd passingMiddle Tennessee27th standard · 64th passingVanderbilt41st standard · 32nd passingSan Diego State8th standard · 54th passingLSU86th standard · 98th passingClemson7th standard · 39th passingCentral Michigan36th standard · 9th passingTexas Tech64th standard · 76th passingMichigan10th standard · 89th passingWestern Michigan32nd standard · 27th passingOhio82nd standard · 42nd passingBuffalo9th standard · 11th passingTexas27th standard · 61st passingCoastal Carolina23rd standard · 64th passingColorado State66th standard · 95th passingWyoming78th standard · 48th passingTexas A&M46th standard · 55th passingLiberty93rd standard · 78th passingFlorida Atlantic67th standard · 87th passingLouisiana36th standard · 66th passingSouth Alabama44th standard · 74th passingTroy39th standard · 15th passingSam Houston11th standard · 37th passingNevada28th standard · 27th passingWestern Kentucky22nd standard · 25th passingWashington State19th standard · 5th passingWashington56th standard · 16th passingCalifornia11th standard · 20th passingCharlotte18th standard · 41st passingTennessee75th standard · 12th passingUtah State3rd standard · 76th passingMiami99th standard · 95th passingHouston87th standard · 99th passingUCF29th standard · 45th passingUtah94th standard · 98th passingFresno State25th standard · 84th passingAkron58th standard · 34th passingNorth Carolina89th standard · 73rd passingIllinois73rd standard · 91st passingToledo73rd standard · 52nd passingMinnesota32nd standard · 4th passingRice59th standard · 14th passingTemple50th standard · 68th passingNC State62nd standard · 77th passingVirginia83rd standard · 2nd passingNotre Dame100th standard · 43rd passingMassachusetts35th standard · 38th passingKent State5th standard · 21st passingSouth Carolina70th standard · 56th passingMiami (OH)50th standard · 43rd passingKennesaw State61st standard · 16th passingCincinnati68th standard · 83rd passingIndiana55th standard · 44th passingMaine0th standard · 86th passingNorthern Illinois51st standard · 14th passingBowling Green43rd standard · 21st passingGeorgia State68th standard · 66th passingSouthern Miss48th standard · 7th passingKansas State64th standard · 68th passingUConn72nd standard · 73rd passingAlabama77th standard · 57th passingEast Carolina37th standard · 19th passingOld Dominion1st standard · 36th passingOklahoma4th standard · 50th passingUTEP9th standard · 1st passingNorthwestern88th standard · 88th passingVirginia Tech43rd standard · 91st passingMaryland34th standard · 26th passingArizona State38th standard · 61st passingNew Mexico55th standard · 48th passingNebraska46th standard · 85th passingMarshall69th standard · 32nd passingArkansas State85th standard · 59th passingSMU91st standard · 82nd passingJames Madison45th standard · 77th passingTexas State74th standard · 100th passingMississippi State66th standard · 59th passingUL Monroe47th standard · 11th passingMissouri State52nd standard · 30th passingWest Virginia54th standard · 75th passingLouisiana Tech26th standard · 79th passingUCLA80th standard · 60th passingKentucky90th standard · 51st passingFlorida61st standard · 70th passingUT Martin6th standard · 3rd passingArmy93rd standard · 58th passingMercyhurst2nd standard · 34th passingIowa79th standard · 13th passingPenn State20th standard · 47th passingAir Force98th standard · 23rd passingRobert Morris2nd standard · 5th passingGardner-Webb5th standard · 23rd passingGeorgia98th standard · 89th passingBYU86th standard · 35th passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
Air Force98th23rd
Akron58th34th
Alabama77th57th
App State33rd49th
Arizona76th94th
Arizona State38th61st
Arkansas71st24th
Arkansas State85th59th
Army93rd58th
Auburn14th69th
BYU86th35th
Ball State31st52nd
Baylor15th46th
Boise State77th92nd
Boston College63rd28th
Bowling Green43rd21st
Buffalo9th11th
California11th20th
Central Michigan36th9th
Charlotte18th41st
Cincinnati68th83rd
Clemson7th39th
Coastal Carolina23rd64th
Colorado16th65th
Colorado State66th95th
Delaware59th64th
Duke21st67th
East Carolina37th19th
Eastern Michigan16th30th
Florida61st70th
Florida Atlantic67th87th
Florida International20th53rd
Florida State30th90th
Fresno State25th84th
Gardner-Webb5th23rd
Georgia98th89th
Georgia Southern60th71st
Georgia State68th66th
Georgia Tech53rd40th
Hawai'i48th29th
Houston87th99th
Illinois73rd91st
Indiana55th44th
Iowa79th13th
Iowa State18th31st
Jacksonville State82nd80th
James Madison45th77th
Kansas52nd18th
Kansas State64th68th
Kennesaw State61st16th
Kent State5th21st
Kentucky90th51st
LSU86th98th
Liberty93rd78th
Louisiana36th66th
Louisiana Tech26th79th
Louisville95th72nd
Maine0th86th
Marshall69th32nd
Maryland34th26th
Massachusetts35th38th
Memphis92nd93rd
Mercyhurst2nd34th
Miami99th95th
Miami (OH)50th43rd
Michigan10th89th
Michigan State23rd55th
Middle Tennessee27th64th
Minnesota32nd4th
Mississippi State66th59th
Missouri34th41st
Missouri State52nd30th
NC State62nd77th
Navy89th17th
Nebraska46th85th
Nevada28th27th
New Mexico55th48th
New Mexico State14th36th
Norfolk State7th0th
North Carolina89th73rd
North Dakota State30th45th
North Texas95th84th
Northern Illinois51st14th
Northwestern88th88th
Notre Dame100th43rd
Ohio82nd42nd
Ohio State84th80th
Oklahoma4th50th
Oklahoma State96th86th
Old Dominion1st36th
Ole Miss81st94th
Oregon39th26th
Oregon State97th70th
Penn State20th47th
Pittsburgh65th50th
Purdue57th82nd
Rice59th14th
Robert Morris2nd5th
Rutgers42nd81st
SMU91st82nd
Sacramento State13th6th
Sam Houston11th37th
San Diego State8th54th
San José State17th2nd
South Alabama44th74th
South Carolina70th56th
South Florida84th57th
Southern Miss48th7th
Stanford40th9th
Syracuse57th39th
TCU70th10th
Temple50th68th
Tennessee75th12th
Texas27th61st
Texas A&M46th55th
Texas State74th100th
Texas Tech64th76th
Toledo73rd52nd
Troy39th15th
Tulane12th8th
Tulsa49th7th
UAB24th62nd
UCF29th45th
UCLA80th60th
UConn72nd73rd
UL Monroe47th11th
UNLV41st19th
USC79th97th
UT Martin6th3rd
UTEP9th1st
UTSA91st33rd
Utah94th98th
Utah State3rd76th
Vanderbilt41st32nd
Virginia83rd2nd
Virginia Tech43rd91st
Wake Forest75th96th
Washington56th16th
Washington State19th5th
West Virginia54th75th
Western Kentucky22nd25th
Western Michigan32nd27th
Wisconsin25th22nd
Wyoming78th48th

ULM by half

1st-half offense ranks 11th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 11th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.

league median1st half · 11th pctile2nd half · 11th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

How much of ULM’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is -0.04; 5th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.03. The widest gap came in week 3: -0.10 raw vs. 0.00 adjusted.

0.04-0.04-0.12Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.04-0.04-0.12Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Pass defense by zoneThe part of the field opponents keep attacking.

What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), UL Monroe’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (66.6% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 217-play sample) — mid-pack, 53 of 136 qualifying offenses.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), UL Monroe’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.5% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 160-play sample) — mid-pack, 76 of 137 qualifying defenses.

We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.

Screened 273 claims, 273 survived · 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=217 short-zone plays, raw rate 66.4%; 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=160 short-zone plays, raw rate 66.9%
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.126, 11th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.126
11th
Havoc allowed (O) 0.183
10th
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.078
13th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.048
18th
Stuff rate (D) 0.143
5th
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.185
44th
Line yards (O) 2.815
28th
Line yards allowed (D) 3.115
17th
Standard-downs success (O) 0.467
46th
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.479
26th
Passing-downs success (O) 0.259
14th
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.346
13th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

Recovering 29% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~52% league rate.

2 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

Getting hands on the ball but not cashing in: 11% of disruptions converted, vs. the ~18% league rate.

3 interceptions of 28 disrupted passes (25 deflected, 3 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Winning the penalty battle: 41 penalties committed vs. 47 drawn on opponents, a 47-yard edge.

371 penalty yards committed vs. 418 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

Ratings and comparisons

RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Where the models rank UL Monroe

CFB Zeitgeist Score

#136

-9.4

SP+

#133

-24.2

FPI

#137

-25.6

Elo

#135

1019

SRS

#136

-23.2

The national models put UL Monroe between 133rd and 137th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 136th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist Score ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · ULM

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

WeatherHow warm or cold its home and road games usually are.

Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA

Usual during the game around Nov 12: 60°, between 49° and 73° in about 7 in 10 games (25 games since 2016).

Road games since 2016: the middle game was 68°, and 8 in 10 ran between 53° and 80° (58 of 64 road games, at stadiums we cover).

HomeRoad

What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time

Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure

Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site