Next game: at Akron
Western Michigan’s best edge on Akron is red zone
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Western Michigan offense against Akron defense
Akron offense against Western Michigan defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.12 EPA/play | 12 | 9 | 121 / 194 | 62.4 | 1397 | 7.2 | 11 #57 FBS | 3 | 138.5 | 43 | 46.4 | 6.7 | 6.7 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. Starter — 194 pass attempts and 87 carries in 9 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Lowry extends plays on the move until something opens up. Roggow is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Rush usage31.0% 83th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Plays like View Broc Lowry's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workhorse · +0.19 EPA/play | 6 | 9 | 144 | 711 #27 FBS | 4.9 | 8 #26 FBS | 66 | 16.7 | 12.5 | |
Yards by week → Workhorse· Boom-or-bustBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 144 carries and 9 catches in 9 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Buckley just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Patrick is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Weight225 lb 92th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception10.3 83th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jalen Buckley's full player page | ||||||||||
| Power Back · +0.04 EPA/play | 26 | — | 69 | 300 | 4.3 | 5 | 33 | — | — | |
Power backShort-yardage and goal-line specialist. Carries the load, owns the red zone. 69 carries and 8 catches in 9 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Hartwell wears you down at the goal line. Patrick is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Rush TD rate7.2% 82th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry3.4 bottom 5th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tre' Hartwell's full player page | ||||||||||
| Workhorse · +0.10 EPA/play | 24 | 8 | 53 | 231 | 4.4 | 1 | 23 | 5.8 | 9.6 | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. 53 carries and 7 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Mataele just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Patrick is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Weight219 lb 84th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception3.6 bottom 8th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ofa Mataele's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.74 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 33 | 540 #62 FBS | 16.4 | 2 | 49 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 33 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Chenault beats you over the top. Burris is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception16.9 84th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Aveion Chenault's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.83 EPA/play | 88 | — | 28 | 476 | 17 | 3 | 55 | |
Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Jr. beats you over the top. Burris is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception17.0 84th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.8 87th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Don-Ray Hall Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| Jump-Ball Target · +0.37 EPA/play | 7 | 8 | 20 | 219 | 10.9 | 4 #70 FBS | 41 | |
Yards by week → Jump-ball targetWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. This week's matchup — WR Brooks wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Burris is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt TD rate20.0% 95th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception9.9 bottom 16th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Baylin Brooks's full player page | ||||||||
| Move TE · +0.49 EPA/play | 88 | 7 | 13 | 162 | 12.5 | 1 | 47 | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. This week's matchup — TE Levicki creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Alexander is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception14.2 81th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume13 bottom 34th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nate Levicki's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · -0.32 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 14 | 142 | 10.1 | 1 | 33 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Nelson moves the chains on third down. Burris is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception9.0 bottom 11th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.3 bottom 1th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Egypt Nelson's full player page | ||||||||
| Move TE · +0.31 EPA/play | 15 | 6 | 10 | 98 | 9.8 | 2 | 42 | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. This week's matchup — TE Parks creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Alexander is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception18.5 98th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate20.0% 87th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Adam Parks's full player page | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Versatile End | 4 | 8 | 32 | 10 | 5.5 | 5 #38 FBS | 6 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Starter — 32 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Austin Alexander's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 2 | 9 | 30 | 13 | 6.5 | 4.5 #60 FBS | 7 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Starter — 30 tackles in 9 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 121 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate21.7% 60th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Scoop Gardner Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 94 | 9 | 30 | 12 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — 30 tackles in 9 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate8.3% bottom 28th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ahmed Tounkara's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 41 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 22 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate4.5% bottom 18th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Zavian Tibbs's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 96 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight305 lb 76th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Dalton Gustwiller's full player page | |||||||
| 15 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | |
| 98 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | |
| 31 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 5 | |
| 9 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 90 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 33 | — | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 7 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 10 | 9 | 66 | 29 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 66 tackles in 9 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume66 95th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Justyce Betts's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 47 | 9 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 2.5 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 49 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.1% 82th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume49 74th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Domanick Moon's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 12 | 9 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 5 | 3.5 | 0 | 2 #51 FBS |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 49 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 85th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate7.1% 83th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dillon Moore's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | — | 9 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume37 bottom 49th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate1.4% bottom 13th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brenden Anes's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 42 | 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 91th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Gabe Welch's full player page | |||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 14 | 8 | 45 | 3 | 2 #51 FBS | 1.5 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Starter — 45 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 33 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.7% bottom 44th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Daeh McCullough's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 6 | 9 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Starter — 44 tackles in 9 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 33 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate11.4% 68th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Joey Pope's full player page | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | 8 | 9 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Perimeter tacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. 39 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume39 98th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jarvarius Sims's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 1 | 9 | 38 | 6 #43 FBS | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 38 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate15.8% 85th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Joshua Franklin's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 22 | 8 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.0% 61th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Amarian Louis's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 18 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.5% 64th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Micah Davis's full player page | |||||||
| 26 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cover Corner | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate23.1% 81th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Cam'ron Barber's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 13 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jordon Thomas's full player page | |||||||
| 29 | — | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | — | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 32 | 9 | 11/12 | 91.7 | 29/29 | 62 | 52 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannon | 25 | 9 | 36 | 1632 | 45.3 | 69 | 14 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 1 | 9 | 10 | 280 | 28 | 1 | 92 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | 8 | 89 | 11.1 | 0 | 76 |
Biggest plays from Western Michigan’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Western Michigan’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 0:00 · Michigan down 5, takes the leadBryce Underwood finds JJ Buchanan for a 47-yard touchdownWestern Michigan at Michigan, week 1Q4, 0:00 · Michigan 13, Western Michigan 120:00Go-ahead touchdown for Michigan with 0:00 left0:00Go-ahead touchdown for Michigan with 0:00 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Michigan with 0:00 leftJJ Buchanan 47 yd pass from Bryce Underwood▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
Q4, 1:50 · Michigan down 2Michigan fumbles and Western Michigan recoversWestern Michigan at Michigan, week 1Q4, 1:50 · Michigan 7, Western Michigan 9▼37%Michigan’s chance to win, 69% to 32%▼37%Michigan’s chance to win, 69% to 32%B.Underwood rush right for 13 yards gain to the UOM31 fumbled by B.Underwood at UOM33 forced by J.Franklin recovered by WMU K.Burley at UOM31, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELD▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
Q4, 4:23 · Toledo breaks the tieCJ Miller runs 11 yards for a touchdownWestern Michigan at Toledo, week 8Q4, 4:23 · Toledo 45, Western Michigan 384:23Go-ahead touchdown for Toledo with 4:23 left4:23Go-ahead touchdown for Toledo with 4:23 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Toledo with 4:23 leftC.Miller rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WMU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football- Q1, 3:12 · Western Michigan down 7, ties itCole Cabana runs 82 yards for a touchdownBowling Green at Western Michigan, week 9Q1, 3:12 · Western Michigan 7, Bowling Green 78282-yard touchdown run8282-yard touchdown run82-yard touchdown runC.Cabana rush middle for 82 yards gain to the BGS00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
- Q3, 3:14 · Western Michigan down 10Broc Lowry finds Baylin Brooks for a 41-yard touchdownWestern Michigan at Toledo, week 8Q3, 3:14 · Western Michigan 35, Toledo 38Western Michigan cut the deficit to 3 in the third quarterWestern Michigan cut the deficit to 3 in the third quarterB.Lowry pass complete deep middle to B.Brooks caught at TOLEDO08, for 41 yards to the TOLEDO00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
- Q1, 13:32 · Western Michigan tiedWestern Michigan turns it overWestern Michigan at Toledo, week 8Q1, 13:32 · Western Michigan 0, Toledo 07Western Michigan’s turnover led to a touchdown7Western Michigan’s turnover led to a touchdownWestern Michigan’s turnover led to a touchdownB.Lowry sacked for loss of 8 yards to the WMU32 (A.Zock), fumble by B.Lowry recovered by TOLEDO J.Fox at WMU32, End Of Play▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
How scary each game got
Western Michigan lost at Michigan after being 97% to win; the closest win was at Buffalo, down to 11%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Western Michigan during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Western Michigan
through 9 games
2026 stat leaders · Western MichiganJustyce Betts leads Western Michigan with 66 tackles through 9 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+22 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Western Michigan fields a limited run-heavy offense behind a solid, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Western Michigan reads strongest in red-zone defense (top 18%) and explosive plays allowed (top 20%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Western Michigan sits at the 27th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Western Michigan is worth +4.0 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 46th percentile of 133 programs
62% at home, 42% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (24-15 home, 22-30 away). Interval ±4.2.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Western Michigan has beaten the number by +1.6 more at home than away over 99 games. That is inside the ±6.1 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Waldo Stadium seats 30,200 and has averaged 64% full (19,411, 23 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 196 miles trip since 2018, the 6th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. 17% of the 2026 roster (25 of 150 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 47 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeJalen Buckley does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps, the production isn't just garbage-time padding.
- Deep threatAveion Chenault is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatBaylin Brooks is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatBlake Bosma is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- CloserDevin Miles gets less work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict: not the trusted closer raw carries might suggest.
- Garbage timeDevin Miles sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Jalen Buckley and Ofa Mataele split the carries (142/194 vs 52/194) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Aveion Chenault (WR) and Nate Levicki (TE) split the targets (43/59 vs 16/59) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Western Michigan actually scores
29th percentile quality, 68th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Western Michigan’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 42nd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 20th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Western Michigan hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
32nd percentile success on standard downs, 27th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Western Michigan by half
1st-half offense ranks 17th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 48th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Western Michigan’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.11; 49th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.04. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.21 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Western Michigan’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Western Michigan’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.8% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 171-play sample) — mid-pack, 45 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Western Michigan’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.7% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 185-play sample) — mid-pack, 53 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces haven't gone their way on the fumbles they've forced: 38% recovered, vs. ~48% expected.
3 of 8 forced fumbles recovered; 8 of 13 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Cashing in at a normal clip: 19% of disrupted passes intercepted, close to ~18% league-wide.
7 interceptions of 36 disrupted passes (29 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The flags have favored them: 59 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 46 committed, 165 yards to the good.
392 penalty yards committed vs. 557 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Western Michigan
Most similar programs · Western MichiganReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI
Usual during the game around Nov 17: 38°, between 30° and 47° in about 7 in 10 games (24 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 60°, and 8 in 10 ran between 39° and 78° (57 of 59 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.