Yale

9-32025 record

Ivy · Yale Bowl · 61,446 · 12,397 avg in 2025

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetat Holy Cross · our model 59% Yale · a number, not a pick

Openerat Holy Cross · Sat Sep 19 · 2 pm ET · Fitton Field · series 21-7, won the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · preseason

Player stats — 2025 season

No player stats logged for this program's 2025 season.

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Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Schedule mirage

How much of Yale's number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.18; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.06. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.17 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.

0.220.09-0.05Wk 4Wk 13Wk 21Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Havoc & trenchesDisruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc & trenches

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Stuff Rate (D) 0.170
21st
Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.177
66th
Line Yards (O) 2.845
38th
Line Yards Allowed (D) 2.926
36th
Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.453
32nd
Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.448
59th
Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.319
59th
Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.287
54th
Screened 12 claims, 8 survived · 2025 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Yale

CFB Zeitgeist

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-5.7

SRS

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-16.1

National rank of 136 FBS teams · 2025 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Yale

Reads like

FurmanSouthernSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Same kind of fanbaseAir ForceMountain WestSame tier of program · Same prestige bandAkronMid-AmericanSame tier of program · Same prestige band

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

64°F average kickoff temp; 21% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.

Based on 29 home games with weather data.

CFB Zeitgeist · team-pages v1.0 “Leave the jersey better than you found it” Historical view →
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