Aaron Turner

Senior wide receiver for Rice. 2025: 63 catches, 398 receiving yards, 4 TD.

WR · Rice · Sr. · #1

5′8″ · 184 lb · Ellicott, MD

CFB Index 55 · #173 of 485 WRsHigh confidenceReturning to Rice for 2026

How he plays

Wins underneath on volume and route precision.

Catch rate: 92nd percentile.

The full scouting read

The numbers

398

receiving yards · 2025

63 catches · 4 TD · 6.3 per catch

Backed by 10 rec · 24 yds · 1 TD -- top 1% catches game.

Swing playSwung Rice from 53% to 78% to win.UAB at Rice · 24-17

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 wide receiver for Rice. 2025: 63 catches, 398 receiving yards, 4 TD.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to UConn in 2021.
Transferred from UConn to Cincinnati in 2023.

His career, year by year

Aaron Turner

WR · Rice · Sr · #1

Wins underneath on volume and route precision. Across five seasons and three programs, four head coaches: Lou Spanos, Jim Mora, Scott Satterfield and Scott Abell. The receipt on tape: 99 rec yds, 20 rush yds against South Florida, Week 14, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2021UConn1-11HC: Lou Spanos · Balanced

2022UConn6-7HC: Jim Mora · Run-heavy, slow tempo

2023Cincinnati3-9HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning

2024Cincinnati5-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced

2025Rice5-8HC: Scott Abell · Run-heavy

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

55Rotational starter #173 of 485?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: catch rate (92nd percentile). Strength: rush tds (99th percentile). Concern: yards / catch (9th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Catch rate#64 / 798 · 92nd pct

83.1%

Explosive rate#580 / 798 · 27th pct

6.2%

TD rate#507 / 798 · 18th pct

0.0%

EPA / target#658 / 798 · 18th pct

0.17

Yards / catch#726 / 798 · 9th pct

7.3

Box-score rates (8)

Rush TDs#2 / 287 · 99th pct

Rush yards#5 / 287 · 98th pct

259

Receptions#44 / 558 · 92nd pct

Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct

Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct

Long catch#189 / 558 · 65th pct

Rec yards#288 / 558 · 48th pct

398

Yards / catch#553 / 558 · 1st pct

6.3

Season trend

EPA / target— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Catch rate— first qualifying season

TD rate— first qualifying season

Yards / catch— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Situational

Situational · Share of own targets (PBP, 2025)

Third-down role

20%13 of his 65 targets came on third down · Receiver median is 24%

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home7g	5.0	31.3	6.2	0.4
Road6g	4.7	29.8	6.0	0.2

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-78g	3.9	20.0	5.4	0.1
Weeks 8+5g	6.4	47.6	7.2	0.6

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Scott Abell

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Part-time starter

Splitting first-team reps — starts some weeks, rotates others.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

55 · #173 of 485 WRs

Three-star recruit. Now #173 at the position.

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-AAC

Based on 2025: #17 of 51 American Athletic WRs

How the All-AAC estimate is computed

22% estimated, 95% confidence interval 19–25%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Rice	63	398	6.3	4	--
2024	Cincinnati	5	85	17.0	0	--
2023	Cincinnati	11	89	8.1	2	--
2022	UConn	57	529	9.3	3	--
2021	UConn	33	232	7.0	0	--
Career		169	1,333	7.9	9	--

Season	Team
2025	Rice	50	259	79	--	--
2024	Cincinnati	--	--	--	--	--
2023	Cincinnati	11	97	--	--	--
2022	UConn	14	53	--	--	--
2021	UConn	1	22	130	--	--
Career		76	431	209	--	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 3 · 2025

W 38–17

vs Prairie View A&M

68 rush yds (5 car) · 1 TD

Dominant 21-point win at home against Prairie View A&M.

With C. Jenkins — 87 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · QBR 39.6 · 124 rush yds (21 car) · 1 TD · A. Bacchetta — 51 AVG · 51 LONG · 1 NO

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 3 · Prairie View A&M · 4&4 · Q2 · EPA +6.35Aaron Turner run for 52 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)
Week 14 · South Florida · 2&20 · Q3 · EPA +4.57(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice22, for 55 yards to the USF20 (#21 J.Stokes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Week 14 · South Florida · 4&3 · Q3 · EPA -3.80(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at USF17, for 1 yard loss to the USF14, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Week 13 · North Texas · 3&12 · Q1 · EPA +3.46(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice31, for 25 yards to the UNT48 (#32 E.Wesloski), 1ST DOWN
Week 5 · Navy · 4&1 · Q4 · EPA +3.35Chase Jenkins pass complete to Aaron Turner for 20 yds to the NAVY 40 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · North Texas · 3&9 · Q1 · EPA +3.09(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 12 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:42, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman)
Week 10 · Memphis · 4&9 · Q2 · EPA +3.02(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #1 A.Turner caught at MEM27, for 11 yards to the MEM27 (#5 C.Bracy), 1ST DOWN
Week 10 · Memphis · 2&12 · Q2 · EPA +2.91(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at MEM00, for 12 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:03, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman)
Week 13 · North Texas · 4&4 · Q3 · EPA +2.74(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #1 A.Turner caught at UNT50, for 6 yards to the Rice50 (#0 W.Jones II), 1ST DOWN
Week 13 · North Texas · 3&2 · Q3 · EPA +2.73(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at UNT16, for 15 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:04, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 14-12@ Louisiana	2	3	1.5	0	2
Wk 2	L 9-35vs Houston	3	24	8.0	0	13
Wk 3	W 38-17vs Prairie View A&M	2	6	3.0	0	4
Wk 4	W 28-17@ Charlotte	2	16	8.0	0	11
Wk 5	L 13-21@ Navy	4	27	6.8	0	20
Wk 6	L 21-27vs Florida Atlantic	5	50	10.0	0	32
Wk 7	L 13-61@ UTSA	3	10	3.3	0	6
Wk 9	W 37-34vs UConn	7	49	7.0	0	13
Wk 10	L 14-38vs Memphis	4	29	7.3	1	12
Wk 11	W 24-17vs UAB	6	3	0.5	1	4
Wk 13	L 24-56vs North Texas	8	58	7.3	1	25
Wk 14	L 3-52@ South Florida	7	99	14.1	0	55	Season-high 99 yds
Bowl	L 10-41@ Texas State	10	24	2.4	1	11
Total		63	398	6.1	4	55

How he plays

Play style

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

CFB Index positional classification

Money down · 3rd-down role

Catch rate says one thing, EPA says another

checked · no story

4/153rd-down conversions

0.353rd-down EPA/target

0.27Other-downs EPA/target

10 of 15 caught on third down (66.7%) — EPA/target 0.35 vs 0.27 elsewhere (4 conversions).

Catch rate is disclosed context only, never the gate — conversions and EPA/target are. Interception targets carry no attribution row at any source, so EPA/target here is unfixably, slightly inflated.

2026 Outlook

Rice

Preseason read · May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Rice

Returning around him

39% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
Transfer portal: -2 net (20 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Rice · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #100 · 2026 recruiting class #104

DNA match

Player DNA

Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dalen Cobb’s 2025 season.

Dalen Cobb

73%match

Georgia Southern · 2025

All-Sun Belt

Hassan Beydoun

Eastern Michigan · 2022

All-MAC

73%

Gavin Freeman

Oklahoma State · 2025

72%

Aaron Turner

UConn · 2022

72%

Myles Price

Texas Tech · 2022

68%

Matches Dalen on

Weight

Reception volume

Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Dalen on

Yards / reception (lower)

Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kylon Harris’s path through Stephen F. Austin.

Kylon Harris

99%match

Stephen F. Austin · 2025

Rondale Moore

Purdue · 2020

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 17

99%

K.J. Franklin

Nicholls · 2022

97%

Benjamin Omayebu

Tarleton State · 2024

95%

Bret Clark

Troy · 2020

NFL Rd 7

92%

Matches Kylon on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Deion Burks's graduate season at Oklahoma (2025).

Deion Burks

68%match

Oklahoma · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7

Noah Whittington

Oregon · 2024

67%

Josh Williams

LSU · 2024

NFL Rd 4

64%

Elijah Young

Western Kentucky · 2024

63%

Nay'Quan Wright

South Florida · 2024

60%

Matches Deion on

Total EPA (college ability)

Weight

Reception volume

Differs from Deion on

Yards / reception (lower)

Player DNA

Players who play like Aaron Turner

Robert Ferrel

Washington State · 2022

83%

Tony Freeman

Washington State · 2025

83%

Eric Weatherly

Ball State · 2025

82%

Smoke Harris

Louisiana Tech · 2022

82%

Dalen Cobb

Georgia Southern · 2025

81%

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Aaron Turner

202110 games

20239 games

2025 snapshot

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

Part-time starter

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Slot Technician

Players who play like Aaron Turner