#15

Alex Flinn

Junior quarterback for East Carolina. 2023: 1,558 passing yards, 6 TD, 12 INT.

QB · East Carolina · Jr. · #15

6′1″ · 233 lb · Fletcher, NC

CFB Index 18 · #138 of 140 QBsHigh confidenceEast Carolina 2023 alumnus

Recruiting

3★

PRO recruit

No. 2472 nationally · Signed with East Carolina

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

3 quarterback for East Carolina. 2023: 1,558 passing yards, 6 TD, 12 INT.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to East Carolina in 2019.

His career, year by year

How it ended

One season at East Carolina, 1,558 passing yards — his college career is complete.

His career

2019

Signed with East Carolina3-star out of A.C. Reynolds

Career arc

Recruit

★★★

#2472 national

CFB

College

East Carolina

2023

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

2023 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2023East Carolina2-10HC: Mike Houston · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

18Below cohort / limited sample #138 of 140?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: epa / dropback (5th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Sack rate#128 / 177 · 28th pct

7.6%

Explosive rate#156 / 177 · 12th pct

7.1%

Interception rate#165 / 177 · 7th pct

1.8%

EPA / dropback#168 / 177 · 5th pct

0.05

Success rate#168 / 177 · 5th pct

33.3%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush yards#77 / 179 · 57th pct

178

Fumbles lost#76 / 167 · 40th pct

Pass yards#109 / 179 · 39th pct

1558

Pass TDs#134 / 179 · 22nd pct

Completion %#154 / 179 · 14th pct

54.8%

Rush TDs#154 / 179 · 7th pct

Interceptions#167 / 179 · 6th pct

Yards / att#172 / 179 · 4th pct

5.4

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

157/280 (56.1%) · 6 TD · 12 INT

280 of 290 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

3.25202 of 212 QBs

Sack rate

7.3%158 of 212 QBs

Sacked on 7.3% of dropbacks (158 of 212) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (202 of 212).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

61%of completions

95 comp4.3 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

27%of completions

42 comp12.8 yds avg3 TD

Deep

20+ yds

13%of completions

20 comp30.9 yds avg1 TD

Overall 56.1% completion on 280 attempts · 20 deep completions averaging 30.9 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline

-49

percentile points worse on first down

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-49 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 8/105 (7.6%) · league sack rate 4.9% · ~our read

Down 2

+21 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 5/80 (6.2%) · league sack rate 5.2% · ~our read

Down 3+

+38 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 6/92 (6.5%) · league sack rate 9.1% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2023 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	94.3	0.7	6.1	0.7
Road6g	165	0.3	5.0	1.3

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	108	0.2	5.2	1.0
Weeks 8+6g	152	0.8	5.9	1.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Blake Harrell

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2023

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

18 · #138 of 140 QBs

Three-star recruit. Now #138 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2023	East Carolina	159	290	54.8%	1,558	5.4	6	12	98.5	12	--	--
Career		159	290	54.8%	1,558	5.4	6	12	98.5	12	--	--

Season	Team
2023	East Carolina	97	178	1.8	0	--
Career		97	178	1.8	0	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 4 · 2023

W 44–0

vs Gardner-Webb

94 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · QBR 19.0 · -5 rush yds (6 car)

Dominant 44-point win at home against Gardner-Webb.

With L. Larsen — 29 AVG · 3 IN 20 · 45 LONG · M. Garcia — 89 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 61.2 · 18 rush yds (6 car) · 1 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 7 · SMU · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA -8.22Alex Flinn pass intercepted for a TD Jonathan McGill return for 34 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
Week 4 · Gardner-Webb · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA -4.37Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 4 yds Jhari Patterson fumbled, recovered by GWEB Ty Anderson
Week 5 · Rice · 4&1 · Q3 · EPA -4.21Alex Flinn run for no gain to the RICE 1
Week 5 · Rice · 3&18 · Q2 · EPA +4.06Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 30 yds to the RICE 21 for a 1ST down
Week 11 · Florida Atlantic · 3&7 · Q2 · EPA +3.70Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 33 yds to the FAU 28 for a 1ST down
Week 9 · UTSA · 2&7 · Q1 · EPA +3.61Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 29 yds to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST down UTSA Penalty, Targeting on TRIPLETTE, Ronald enforced (15 Yards) to the UTSA 28 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Tulsa · 2&11 · Q2 · EPA +3.46Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 41 yds to the TLSA 20 for a 1ST down
Week 3 · App State · 2&9 · Q1 · EPA +3.38Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 39 yds to the APP 25 for a 1ST down
Week 9 · UTSA · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.24Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 29 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST down
Week 9 · UTSA · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.07Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 39 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week