Alex Flinn

#15 · QB · Jr. · East Carolina6′1″ · 233 lb · Fletcher, NC · A.C. Reynolds

Alex Flinn: QB · East Carolina · #15.

Similar players

Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.

Andrew PeasleyWyoming · 2022 · 60% season match
Dennis GroselBoston College · 2021 · 58% season match
Behren MortonTexas Tech · 2022 · 56% season match
Ken SealsVanderbilt · 2021 · 54% season match
Zion TurnerUConn · 2022 · 54% season match

Alex Flinn

QB · East Carolina · Jr · #15

Operates within the system without forcing anything. One game to point at: 246 passing yards and 21 rushing yards against Rice — Week 5, 2023.

Style of play

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

40.0%Completion %

12.2%Conversion/dropback

66.7%Land short of sticks

1INTs

40.0% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 12.2% conversion-per-dropback — 66.7% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

2/19Inside-5 share

2 of the team's 19 inside-the-5 carries (10.5%).

Fans

No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.

Where to follow

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2023	East Carolina	159	290	54.8%	1,558	5.4	6	12	98.5	12
Career		159	290	54.8%	1,558	5.4	6	12	98.5	12

Season	Team
2023	East Carolina	97	178	1.8	0	21
Career		97	178	1.8	0	21

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2023 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 3-30@ No. 2 Michigan	6/11	52	0	0	4.7	69.5
Wk 2	L 13-31vs Marshall	3/8	61	0	1	7.6	7.0
Wk 3	L 28-43@ App State	17/31	158	0	3	5.1	15.1	3 INTs — rough day
Wk 4	W 44-0vs Gardner-Webb	8/18	94	1	0	5.2	19.0
Wk 5	L 17-24@ Rice	21/44	246	0	1	5.6	27.4	Season-high 246 yds
Wk 7	L 10-31vs SMU	6/13	38	0	1	2.9	2.6
Wk 8	L 7-10vs Charlotte	11/18	69	1	0	3.8	21.7
Wk 9	L 27-41@ UTSA	23/43	225	2	1	5.2	27.9
Wk 10	L 10-13vs No. 21 Tulane	10/18	120	0	0	6.7	20.6
Wk 11	W 22-7@ Florida Atlantic	18/30	156	0	1	5.2	25.5
Wk 12	L 0-10@ Navy	24/38	155	0	2	4.1	11.5
Wk 13	L 27-29vs Tulsa	12/18	184	2	2	10.2	56.7
Total		159/290	1558	6	12	5.4	—

Signature game

Week 9 · 2023

L 27-41

at UTSA

225 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT · QBR 27.9 · 53 rush yds (20 car)

With L. Larsen — 45.5 yards per punt · 6 punts · 2 inside the 20 · J. Johnson — 8 rec · 105 yds · 1 TD

Signature plays

The plays that mattered most

Week 7 · SMU · 1st and 10 · Q4 · EPA −8.22Alex Flinn pass intercepted for a TD Jonathan McGill return for 34 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
Week 4 · Gardner-Webb · 1st and 10 · Q2 · EPA −4.37Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 4 yds Jhari Patterson fumbled, recovered by GWEB Ty Anderson
Week 5 · Rice · 4th and 1 · Q3 · EPA −4.21Alex Flinn run for no gain to the RICE 1
Week 5 · Rice · 3rd and 18 · Q2 · EPA +4.06Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 30 yds to the RICE 21 for a
Week 11 · Florida Atlantic · 3rd and 7 · Q2 · EPA +3.70Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 33 yds to the FAU 28 for a
Week 9 · UTSA · 2nd and 7 · Q1 · EPA +3.61Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 29 yds to the UTSA 43 for a UTSA Penalty, Targeting on TRIPLETTE, Ronald enforced (15 Yards) to the UTSA 28 for a

4 more plays

Week 13 · Tulsa · 2nd and 11 · Q2 · EPA +3.46Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 41 yds to the TLSA 20 for a
Week 3 · App State · 2nd and 9 · Q1 · EPA +3.38Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 39 yds to the APP 25 for a
Week 9 · UTSA · 2nd and 10 · Q1 · EPA +3.24Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 29 yds to the UTSA 46 for a
Week 9 · UTSA · 1st and 10 · Q1 · EPA +3.07Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 39 yds to the UTSA 36 for a

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

159/290 (54.8%) · 6 TD · 12 INT

280 of 290 attempts matched to play-by-play

Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 280 passing plays (157 completions) against the box score's 290 attempts (159 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.

Adjusted ANY/A

3.25202 of 212 QBs

Sack rate

7.3%158 of 212 QBs

Sacked on 7.3% of dropbacks (158 of 212) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (202 of 212).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

61%of completions

95 comp4.3 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

27%of completions

42 comp12.8 yds avg3 TD

Deep

20+ yds

13%of completions

20 comp30.9 yds avg1 TD

Overall 54.8% completion on 290 attempts · 20 deep completions averaging 30.9 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline

-49

percentile points worse on first down

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-49 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 8/105 (7.6%) · league sack rate 4.9%

Down 2

+21 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 5/80 (6.2%) · league sack rate 5.2%

Down 3+

+38 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 6/92 (6.5%) · league sack rate 9.1%

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Teams and coaches

2023East Carolina2-10HC: Mike Houston · Balanced

Our ratings

CFB Zeitgeist Score 18 (#138 of 140). Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles · 2023 season

18Below cohort / limited sample #138 of 140 · 2023?

13 metrics · season cumulative

2023 score: the 2026 sample is not big enough yet. The rows below are 2026 so far. Concern: epa / dropback (5th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Sack rate#128 / 177 · 28th pct

7.6%

Explosive rate#156 / 177 · 12th pct

7.1%

Interception rate#165 / 177 · 7th pct

1.8%

EPA / dropback#168 / 177 · 5th pct

0.05

Success rate#168 / 177 · 5th pct

33.3%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush yards#77 / 179 · 57th pct

178

Fumbles lost#76 / 167 · 40th pct

Pass yards#109 / 179 · 39th pct

1558

Pass TDs#134 / 179 · 22nd pct

Completion %#154 / 179 · 14th pct

54.8%

Rush TDs#154 / 179 · 7th pct

Interceptions#167 / 179 · 6th pct

Yards / att#172 / 179 · 4th pct

5.4

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps in 2023. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2023 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

After 277 dropbacks

12Zeitgeist Passer Rating133rd of 134 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 98.5 133rd of 134 FBS QBs

Positive-play rate weight 24%

36.0%1st pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · -1.2% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

5.372nd pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · -0.2 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

6.4%46th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · -0.5% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (26 of 303 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2023 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	94.3	0.7	6.1	0.7
Road6g	165	0.3	5.0	1.3

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	108	0.2	5.2	1.0
Weeks 8+6g	152	0.8	5.9	1.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2023 season

Head Coach

Mike Houston

Pass share

50.1%

387 pass / 385 run

Plays / game

64.3

12 games

Scheme: Balanced.

Awards

Player standing · 2023

Starter

290 pass attempts and 97 carries in 12 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score

18 · #138 of 140 QBs · 2023

Three-star recruit. Now #138 at the position.

Alex Flinn

Similar players

Style of play

Fans

Where to follow

Career stats

Game log

Signature game

Signature plays

Passing profile

Situational

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

Awards

Starter

Five seasons at East Carolina

2019