CFB Zeitgeist Score
10
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 24th percentile.
Arnold Barnes
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
217 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 51 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Tulane for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Tulane
Returning around him
- 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -7 net (20 in / 27 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Tulane · Last season: 11-3 (AP #17) · Talent rank #68 · 2026 recruiting class #74
RB · TULANE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Arnold Barnes
- 3
- #20
- 5-10 | 216 lb
- New Orleans, LA
Heisman Heat
#325
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+57%
Up 57% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Tulane
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8647 | No. 988 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8647
#988 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Arnold Barnes
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Arnold Barnes
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 11g
217Rush yards
51Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
19.7Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
256.5Rush yards
60Carries
0Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 217): needs 266.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 217): needs 391.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 217): needs 641.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 7.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Arnold Barnes's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulane, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
51 58th
YDS
217 56th
YPC
4.3 41st
TD
0 40th
Receiving
REC
2 25th
YDS
16 26th
YPR
8.0 63rd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 23-3vs Northwestern | 5 | 28 | 5.6 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 2 | W 33-31@ South Alabama | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 3 | W 34-27vs Duke | 5 | 27 | 5.4 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 4 | L 10-45@ Ole Miss | 11 | 47 | 4.3 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 5 | W 31-14@ Tulsa | 8 | 48 | 6.0 | 0 | 11 | Season-high 48 yds |
| Wk 7 | W 26-19vs East Carolina | 7 | 31 | 4.4 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 11 | W 38-32@ Memphis | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | W 35-24vs Florida Atlantic | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 13 | W 37-13@ Temple | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-0vs Charlotte | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 15 | W 34-21vs North Texas | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Total | 51 | 217 | 3.5 | 0 | 14 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Tulane11-3HC: Slade Nagle · Run-leaning
2024Tulane9-5HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-heavy
2025Tulane11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 217 | #327/735 | 56th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.3 | #435/735 | 41st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 2 | #414/552 | 25th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 16 | #408/548 | 26th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.00 | #346/362 | 5th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 53 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.3% | #416/738 | 44th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 51 | #308/739 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 14 | #488/733 | 34th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 12 | #365/540 | 33rd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.0 | #206/548 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 12.3% | #415/738 | 44th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.2% | #421/738 | 43rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 8.1% | #414/738 | 44th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.0% | #428/738 | 42nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.4% | #436/738 | 41st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.0% | #491/738 | 34th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 1.2% | #480/738 | 35th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 17.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 22.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins10g | 17.0 | 3.4 | 0.0 |
| Losses1g | 47.0 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 32.2 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
10Below cohort
Concern: long run (2nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Arnold BarnesTulaneJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 51% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 50% simTae MeadowsTroy· 49% sim
Yards / carry
Fumbles lost
Carries
Rec yards
Rush yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Long run
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kavosiey Smoke’s 2022 season.
Kavosiey Smoke
83%match
#2
Omar Fattah
79%
#3
Leshon Williams
81%
#4
Damien Taylor
79%
#5
Jevyon Ducker
72%
Matches Kavosiey on
Yards / carry
Weight
Receiving share
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.
Gerrid Doaks
98%match
All-AACNFL Rd 7
#2
Rickey Hunt
94%
#3
Omar Fattah
90%
#4
Micah Welch
90%
#5
Pat Garwo III
88%
Matches Gerrid on
Yards per carry
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Leshon Williams's junior season at Iowa (2023).
Leshon Williams
80%match
#2
Kavosiey Smoke
77%
#3
Kay'Ron Adams
74%
#4
Reggie Love III
69%
#5
Chez Mellusi
68%
Matches Leshon on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate
Receiving share
Differs from Leshon on
Class year (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jon Sumrall
Pass share
45.8%
424 pass / 501 run
Plays / game
66.1
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
3.4%
294 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Slade Nagle
Tulane
2024era →
Jon Sumrall
Tulane
2025
Jon Sumrall
Tulane
Coaching transition mid-career: Slade Nagle → Jon Sumrall. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownNew Orleans, LA
Height5'10"
Weight216 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey20
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTulane
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.