CFB Zeitgeist Score
33
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 100th percentile.
Aiden Flora
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
58 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 4 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Iowa State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Iowa State
Returning around him
- 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Iowa State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (48 in / 55 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Iowa State · Last season: 8-4 (AP #22) · Talent rank #71 · 2026 recruiting class #54
RB · IOWA STATE · BIG 12
Aiden Flora
- 1
- #21
- 6-0 | 190 lb
- Adel, IA
Heisman Heat
#1719
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Iowa State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Aiden Flora
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Aiden Flora
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 9g
58Rush yards
4Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
6.4Rush yards
0Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
83.8Rush yards
6Carries
1Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 58): needs 173/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 58): needs 235.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 58): needs 360.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 4.8/game over remaining 4.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Aiden Flora is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 58 rushing yards, 2 catches, and 380 return yards for Iowa State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
4 16th
YDS
58 32nd
YPC
14.5 99th
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
2 25th
YDS
25 34th
YPR
12.5 90th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 24-21@ Kansas State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 1 | W 55-7vs South Dakota | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-38@ Cincinnati | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 7 | L 17-24@ Colorado | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 9 | L 27-41vs BYU | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 10 | L 19-24vs Arizona State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 11 | W 20-17@ TCU | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-14vs Kansas | 2 | 51 | 25.5 | 1 | 38 | Season-high 51 yds |
| Wk 14 | W 20-13@ Oklahoma State | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 4 | 58 | 14.5 | 1 | 38 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Iowa State8-4HC: Matt Campbell · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 4 | 58 | 14.5 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 4 | 58 | 14.5 | 1 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 58 | #500/735 | 32nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 14.5 | #6/735 | 99th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 2 | #414/552 | 25th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 25 | #365/548 | 34th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 2.5% | #666/738 | 10th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 38 | #244/733 | 67th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 4 | #620/739 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 13 | #347/540 | 36th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.5 | #58/548 | 90th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 209 | #2/27 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 171 | #40/200 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 26.1 | #1/27 | 100th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 21.4 | #61/199 | 70th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 8 | #40/206 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt returns | 8 | #6/29 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return TD | 1 | #1/5 | 100th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.4% | #554/738 | 25th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 2.9% | #651/738 | 12th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.7% | #340/738 | 54th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 2.4% | #578/738 | 22nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 2.4% | #713/738 | 4th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 2.3% | #677/738 | 8th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.1% | #682/738 | 8th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 12.8 | 25.5 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 1.4 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 11.6 | 14.5 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | — | — | — |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | — | — | — |
| Weeks 8+5g | 11.6 | 14.5 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
33Below cohort
Elite: yards / carry (100th). Strength: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Aiden FloraIowa StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 49% simKaelon BlackIndiana· 46% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 45% sim
Yards / carry
Fumbles lost
Long run
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Receptions
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Campbell
Pass share
42.4%
345 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
296 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAdel, IA
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey21
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIowa State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Iowa State | RB1 | #1719 | #1479 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | Big 12 | RB | 1 | No. 21 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Adel, IA |
| 2024 | Iowa State | Big 12 | RB | 1 | No. 21 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Adel, IA |