Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 24-10vs Oklahoma State | 17/24 | 227 | 1 | 1 | 9.5 | — | Season-high 227 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 23-17@ Sam Houston | 16/29 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 4.3 | 17.8 | |
| Total | 33/53 | 353 | 1 | 1 | 6.9 | 17.8 |
#10
Baylor Hayes
Redshirt sophomore quarterback for Tulsa. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
6′0″ · 185 lb · Brentwood, TN · Brentwood HS
CFB Index 27 · #126 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceReturning to Tulsa for 2026
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
353
passing yards · 2026
1 TD · 1 INT · 6.7 per attempt
2 games into 2026 so far -- Best game: 227 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, vs Oklahoma State
The play that turned itSwung Tulsa from 11% to 56% to win.Tulsa at Army · 26-25
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
2 quarterback for Tulsa. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
- Signed with East Tennessee State in 2024.
- Transferred from East Tennessee State to Tulsa in 2025.
Baylor Hayes
Operates within the system without forcing anything. He got to Tulsa by way of East Tennessee State. One game to point at: 227 pass yds, 28 rush yds against Oklahoma State — Week 1, 2026.
353 PASS YDS · 1 PASS TD · 42 RUSH YDS
Low coverage — composed from the verified record.
- season totals
- positional archetype classification
- portal record
- game log
His career
2024
- Signed with East Tennessee Stateout of Brentwood
202510 games
- Entered the portal
Career arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Tulsa
NFL
NFL Draft
—
2026 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
2 seasons under Tre Lamb, all run-leaning offenses — 6-8 over that span.
2025Tulsa4-8HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
2026Tulsa2-0HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score percentiles
High confidence
Concern: pass yards (0th percentile).
Box-score rates (7)
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Passing profile
Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
53 of 53 attempts matched to play-by-play
53 of 53 attempts charted for true throw depth
Adjusted ANY/A
5.6160 of 75 QBsSack rate
5.4%41 of 75 QBsSacked on 5.4% of dropbacks (41 of 75) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (60 of 75).
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Behind LOS · Negative air yds
19% of attempts (10)
100%comp
Air -3.4 · YAC 12.1 avg
Short · 0–9 air yds
53% of attempts (28)
68%comp
Air 4.4 · YAC 2.5 avg
Middle · 10–19 air yds
11% of attempts (6)
33%comp
Air 13.3 · YAC 1.5 avg
Deep · 20+ air yds
17% of attempts (9)
22%comp1 INT
Air 32.9 · YAC 7.0 avg
Overall 62.3% completion on 53 attempts · 22% completion on 9 deep attempts (20+ air yds).
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 176 YDS/g, 0.5 TD/g, 6.9 YPA, 0.5 INT/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tre Lamb
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Backup
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Recognition
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
2026 outlook
Outside shot for All-AAC
Based on 2025: #14 of 15 American Athletic QBs
How the All-AAC estimate is computed
22% estimated, 95% confidence interval 19–25%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.
Career stats
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2026
W 24–10
227 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · 28 rush yds (6 car)
With M. Tulen — 42 AVG · 1 IN 20 · 48 LONG · O. Singleton Jr. — -9 rush yds (1 car)
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 2 · Sam Houston · 4&3 · Q1 · EPA -3.97(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short left to #6 D.Alston caught at SAM07, for 2 yards to the SAM06 (#2 J.Cottrell), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
- Week 1 · Oklahoma State · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.72(07:46) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete deep right to #2 O.Singleton caught at TLS45, for 56 yards to the OSU41 (#8 K.Lewis), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Oklahoma State · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.75(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete deep middle to #7 J.Calloway caught at OSU01, for 47 yards to the OSU01 (#9 L.Fields), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Sam Houston · 2&9 · Q1 · EPA +2.49(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short middle to #9 J.Ross caught at SAM45, for 18 yards to the SAM43 (#4 J.Stanford), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Oklahoma State · 2&5 · Q2 · EPA +2.30(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short left to #2 O.Singleton caught at TLS28, for 22 yards to the OSU48 (#2 I.Chisom), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Oklahoma State · 2&11 · Q3 · EPA +2.28(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short left to #4 D.McKinney caught at TLS44, for 20 yards to the OSU30 (#1 E.Jackson), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Sam Houston · 4&1 · Q1 · EPA +2.27(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short middle to #6 D.Alston caught at SAM42, for 8 yards to the SAM35 (#1 J.Alexander-Felton), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Oklahoma State · 4&4 · Q1 · EPA +2.15(05:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes rush right for 9 yards gain to the OSU26 (#6 C.Bodnar), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Oklahoma State · 2&1 · Q3 · EPA +2.13(07:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short right to #2 O.Singleton caught at OSU25, for 21 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:00, 1ST DOWN #10 O.Carey kick attempt good (H: #29 M.Tulen, LS: #42 A.Fedigan)
- Week 1 · Oklahoma State · 2&17 · Q4 · EPA -1.87No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short right to #4 D.McKinney caught at OSU47, for 6 yards loss to the OSU46 (#10 J.Williams)
Game log
How he plays
Play style
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
CFB Index positional classification
2026 Outlook
Tulsa
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Tulsa
Returning around him
- 41% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- Transfer portal: -1 net (21 in / 22 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Tulsa · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #84 · 2026 recruiting class #93
DNA match
Player DNA
Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Keyone Jenkins’s 2025 season.
Matches Keyone on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Completion %
Differs from Keyone on
Class year (lower)
Weight (lower)
Rush usage (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jacob Free’s path through Troy.
Matches Jacob on
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a freshman, his production profile tracks closest to Danny O'Neil's freshman season at San Diego State (2024).
Matches Danny on
Yards / attempt
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Differs from Danny on
Weight (lower)
Class year (lower)
Completion % (lower)
Player DNA
Players who play like Baylor Hayes
Background
CAREER NOTES: Transferred to Tulsa after spending his first year at ETSU with head coach Tre Lamb … Has appeared in 12 career games and has 204 completions for 2,339 yards and 12 touchdowns ... Has rushed for 203 yards on 98 carries with three touchdowns. 2025: Appeared in 10 games while making n...
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology