#11

Blake Horvath

Senior quarterback for Navy. 2025: 1,580 passing yards, 12 TD, 6 INT.

QB · Navy · Sr. · #11

6′2″ · 195 lb · Hilliard, OH

CFB Index 70 · #32 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceAll-ConferenceReturning to Navy for 2026

How he plays

Beats you with his legs when the pocket breaks down.

Explosive rate: 99th percentile.

The full scouting read

The numbers

1,580

passing yards · 2025

12 TD · 6 INT · 9.9 per attempt

Backed by 21 car · 174 yds · 4 TD -- top 1% rushing TDs game. -- Best game: 339 pass yds, 3 TD, 130 rush yds, vs Air Force

The play that turned itSwung Navy from 16% to 57% to win.Oklahoma at Navy · 21-20

Fuck yeah Horvathr/CFB game thread · ▲ 4His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Navy. 2025: 1,580 passing yards, 12 TD, 6 INT.

Signed with Navy in 2022.

The full story, with sources

Blake Horvath

QB · Navy · Sr · #11

Beats you with his legs when the pocket breaks down. He has spent three seasons in the Navy quarterback room. Two straight seasons of it now: All-AAC again in 2025. The receipt on tape: 339 pass yds, 130 rush yds against Air Force, Week 6, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
seasons on the roster
recognition record
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

3 seasons under Brian Newberry — 26-12 over that span.

2023Navy5-7HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy, slow tempo

2024Navy10-3HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy, slow tempo

2025Navy11-2HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

70Quality starter #32 of 146?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: explosive rate (99th percentile). Strength: epa / dropback (98th percentile). Concern: interception rate (7th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#2 / 183 · 99th pct

16.3%

EPA / dropback#5 / 183 · 98th pct

0.42

Sack rate#45 / 183 · 76th pct

3.8%

Success rate#51 / 183 · 72nd pct

43.2%

Interception rate#171 / 183 · 7th pct

3.9%

Box-score rates (8)

Yards / att#2 / 183 · 99th pct

9.9

Rush yards#2 / 183 · 99th pct

1200

Rush TDs#3 / 183 · 98th pct

Interceptions#70 / 183 · 56th pct

Pass TDs#88 / 183 · 49th pct

Pass yards#108 / 183 · 41st pct

1580

Completion %#109 / 183 · 41st pct

61.0%

Fumbles lost#168 / 174 · 2nd pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

84th → 98th percentile

Success rate

34th → 72nd percentile

Explosive rate

100th → 99th percentile

Sack rate

48th → 76th percentile

Interception rate

13th → 7th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

91/153 (59.5%) · 12 TD · 6 INT

153 of 159 attempts matched to play-by-play

50 of 153 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

9.0810 of 206 QBs

Sack rate

3.6%58 of 206 QBs

Rarely sacked (58 of 206 QBs) and still 10 of 206 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

12% of attempts (6)

100%comp

Air -2.3 · YAC 5.3 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

34% of attempts (17)

65%comp

Air 2.9 · YAC 5.1 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

34% of attempts (17)

41%comp2 INT

Air 14.5 · YAC 1.4 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

20% of attempts (10)

50%comp

Air 30.2 · YAC 12.6 avg

Overall 59.5% completion on 153 attempts · 50% completion on 10 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home7g	151	1.0	11.3	0.3
Road5g	105	1.0	8.4	0.8

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-77g	155	1.3	11.7	0.4
Weeks 8+5g	98.4	0.6	7.9	0.6

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Brian Newberry

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

All-Conference

Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

70 · #32 of 146 QBs

Unranked recruit. Now #32 at the position.

2026 outlook

In the mix to repeat All-AAC

Based on 2025: #4 of 15 American Athletic QBs

How the All-AAC estimate is computed

35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Navy	97	159	61.0%	1,580	9.9	12	6	161.8	72	--	--
2024	Navy	80	139	57.6%	1,353	9.7	13	4	164.4	64	--	--
2023	Navy	6	12	50.0%	84	7.0	2	0	163.8	--	--	--
Career		183	310	59.0%	3,017	9.7	27	10	163.1	69	--	--

Season	Team
2025	Navy	224	1,200	5.4	16	--
2024	Navy	176	1,254	7.1	17	--
2023	Navy	37	183	4.9	0	--
Career		437	2,637	6.0	33	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 12 · 2025

W 41–38

vs South Florida

147 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · QBR 59.7 · 60 rush yds (21 car)

Edged out South Florida at home in a shootout.

With B. Woodson — 39 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 99.9 · 103 rush yds (9 car) · 2 TD · E. Heidenreich — 39 rush yds (6 car)

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 6 · Air Force · 2&9 · Q2 · EPA +6.89Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 80 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
Week 6 · Air Force · 2&11 · Q3 · EPA +5.92Blake Horvath run for 59 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
Week 12 · South Florida · 2&7 · Q1 · EPA +5.23(00:35) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath pass complete deep middle to #22 E.Heidenreich caught at Navy48, for 82 yards to the USF04 (#2 T.Ward), 1ST DOWN
Week 3 · Tulsa · 1&5 · Q1 · EPA -5.12Blake Horvath run for a loss of 2 yards to the TLSA 7 Blake Horvath fumbled, recovered by TLSA Devin Robinson
Week 2 · UAB · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +5.05Blake Horvath pass complete to Luke Hutchison for 63 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
Week 6 · Air Force · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +4.76Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 60 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
Week 10 · North Texas · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA -4.42(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Horvath pass intercepted by #14 Q.Hammonds at UNT00, Touchback
Week 14 · Memphis · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +4.35(06:37) Shotgun #11 B.Horvath pass complete deep right to #22 E.Heidenreich caught at MEM30, for 46 yards to the MEM26 (#31 D.Ward), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MEM Pass Interference declined
Week 9 · Florida Atlantic · 4&2 · Q2 · EPA -4.15(00:00) #11 B.Horvath pass complete short left to #24 B.Chatman caught at FAU01, for 1 yard to the FAU01 (#4 D.Williams), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Week 2 · UAB · 2&4 · Q1 · EPA +4.06Blake Horvath pass complete to Cody Howard for 65 yds to the UAB 4 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 52-7vs VMI	6/7	66	1	0	9.4	66.5
Wk 2	W 38-24vs UAB	6/8	168	1	0	21.0	60.4
Wk 3	W 42-23@ Tulsa	6/10	94	1	2	9.4	72.2
Wk 5	W 21-13vs Rice	8/13	172	0	1	13.2	67.7
Wk 6	W 34-31vs Air Force	20/26	339	3	0	13.0	71.2	Season-high 339 yds
Wk 7	W 32-31@ Temple	6/16	141	1	0	8.8	87.8
Wk 9	W 42-32vs Florida Atlantic	8/12	83	0	0	6.9	63.1
Wk 10	L 17-31@ North Texas	8/14	80	0	2	5.7	23.1
Wk 12	W 41-38vs South Florida	8/15	147	1	0	9.8	59.7
Wk 14	W 28-17@ Memphis	5/9	100	1	0	11.1	93.0
Wk 16	W 17-16vs Army	7/14	82	1	1	5.9	20.2
Bowl	W 35-13@ Cincinnati	9/15	108	2	0	7.2	—
Total		97/159	1580	12	6	10.1	62.3

How he plays

Play style

Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.

CFB Index positional classification

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

15/183rd/4th & short

15/42Inside-5 share

15 of 18 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (83.3%). 15 of the team's 42 inside-the-5 carries (35.7%).

2026 Outlook

Navy

Preseason read · May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Navy · editorial

Returning around him

14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
2 Navy players drafted to NFL
Transfer portal: -3 net (0 in / 3 out)

2026 Award watch

Davey O'Brien

Navy · Last season: 11-2 (AP #22) · Talent rank #138 · 2026 recruiting class #137

DNA match

Player DNA

Dual Threat

Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Blake Horvath’s 2024 season.

Blake Horvath

66%match

Navy · 2024

Colton Joseph

Old Dominion · 2025

All-Sun Belt

60%

Max Duggan

TCU · 2021

NFL Rd 7

52%

Dorian Thompson-Robinson

UCLA · 2021

All-Pac-12NFL Rd 5

48%

Jordan Travis

Florida State · 2021

NFL Rd 5

46%

Matches Blake on

Yards / attempt

Differs from Blake on

INT rate (higher)

Rush yards / carry (lower)

TD rate (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Aaron Philo’s path through Georgia Tech.

Aaron Philo

88%match

Georgia Tech · 2025

Tyler Johnston III

UAB · 2021

75%

Cardell Williams

Sacramento State · 2025

74%

Kaleb Eleby

Western Michigan · 2021

All-MAC

74%

Austin Simmons

Ole Miss · 2025

69%

Matches Aaron on

Height

Completion %

Yards per attempt

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Tyler Huff's junior season at Jacksonville State (2024).

Tyler Huff

43%match

Jacksonville State · 2024

All-Conference USA

Bryson Daily

Army · 2024

All-AAC

40%

Jason Bean

Kansas · 2022

35%

Diego Pavia

Vanderbilt · 2024

All-SEC

34%

Dequan Finn

Toledo · 2022

All-MAC

32%

Differs from Tyler on

Weight (lower)

Rush usage (higher)

TD rate (higher)

Player DNA

Players who play like Blake Horvath

Blake Horvath

Navy · 2025

66%

Colton Joseph

Old Dominion · 2025

60%

Bryson Daily

Army · 2024

42%

Liam Szarka

Air Force · 2025

38%

Heisman trajectory

Heisman Trajectory · 2025

Peak #17

Final rank

#93

Avg #65.7

Finalist prob 7%

Peaked at #17 this season.

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Blake Horvath

Attention percentile: 41st · Production percentile: 86th

2022

202512 games

2025 snapshot

Passing profile

Splits & context

Awards

All-Conference

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Dual Threat

Players who play like Blake Horvath

Heisman trajectory

Peak #17