Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
15 of 18 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (83.3%). 15 of the team's 42 inside-the-5 carries (35.7%).
Blake Horvath is a quarterback who has not played this season; the last season with a stat line was 2025, at Navy.
Blake Horvath is on trial in Navy's fan jury — the eye test against the résumé.
9.9 Y/A · QUALIFIED QBs
No.1
#1 YPA at 9.90 among qualified QBs.
Navy fans keep putting the player's case on trial, week to week.
Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.
AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04
Play style
Runs when the pocket breaks down.
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
15 of 18 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (83.3%). 15 of the team's 42 inside-the-5 carries (35.7%).
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
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Game log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-7vs VMI | 6/7 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 9.4 | 66.5 | |
| Wk 2 | W 38-24vs UAB | 6/8 | 168 | 1 | 0 | 21.0 | 60.4 | |
| Wk 3 | W 42-23@ Tulsa | 6/10 | 94 | 1 | 2 | 9.4 | 72.2 | |
| Wk 5 | W 21-13vs Rice | 8/13 | 172 | 0 | 1 | 13.2 | 67.7 | |
| Wk 6 | W 34-31vs Air Force | 20/26 | 339 | 3 | 0 | 13.0 | 71.2 | Season-high 339 yds |
| Wk 7 | W 32-31@ Temple | 6/16 | 141 | 1 | 0 | 8.8 | 87.8 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-32vs Florida Atlantic | 8/12 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | 63.1 | |
| Wk 10 | L 17-31@ North Texas | 8/14 | 80 | 0 | 2 | 5.7 | 23.1 | |
| Wk 12 | W 41-38vs No. 25 South Florida | 8/15 | 147 | 1 | 0 | 9.8 | 59.7 | |
| Wk 14 | W 28-17@ Memphis | 5/9 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 11.1 | 93.0 | |
| Wk 16 | W 17-16vs Army | 7/14 | 82 | 1 | 1 | 5.9 | 20.2 | |
Bowl | W 35-13vs Cincinnati | 9/15 | 108 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 | — | |
| Total | 97/159 | 1580 | 12 | 6 | 9.9 | — |
| Best by our grade | Rice | W 21-13 · Graded great · Passing grade only · 172 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT · Rush 21 for 110, 2 TD · Sacked 0 |
|---|---|---|
| Lowest by our grade | Army | W 17-16 · Graded shaky · Passing grade only · 82 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 34 for 107, 1 TD · The interception cost about 12 points of win chance · Sacked 2 |
| Biggest game | South Florida | No. 25 at kickoff · W 41-38 · Graded solid · Passing grade only · Carried by the first quarter · 147 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · Rush 21 for 60 · Sacked 1 |
| Best play | Army | Completion for 8 yards, touchdown, Q4 6:37 · Win chance 35% to 64% |
Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 153 passing plays (91 completions) against the box score's 159 attempts (97 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
9.0810 of 206 QBsSack rate
3.6%58 of 206 QBsRarely sacked (58 of 206 QBs) and still 10 of 206 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Behind LOS · Negative air yds
Short · 0–9 air yds
Middle · 10–19 air yds
Deep · 20+ air yds
Overall 61.0% completion on 159 attempts · 50% completion on 10 deep attempts (20+ air yds).
3 seasons under Brian Newberry — 26-12 over that span.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 162 | 1.0 | 12.2 | 0.2 |
| Road4g | 104 | 0.8 | 8.8 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 155 | 1.3 | 11.7 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 98.4 | 0.6 | 7.9 | 0.6 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brian Newberry
Pass share
22.5%
182 pass / 626 run
Plays / game
62.2
13 games
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Player standing · 2025
Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.
Recognition
Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score
Unranked recruit. Now #32 at the position.
2026 outlook
In the mix to repeat All-AAC
Based on 2025: #4 of 15 American Athletic QBs
A base rate for the rank, not a forecast of this player: 35% of returning players who ranked #4–10 at their position in their conference made an all-conference team the next season (95% confidence interval 31–38%).
Recruited without a star rating, and honored since.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-AAC
All-AAC mention (2025)
Weekly recognition
2 weekly honors (2025)
4 career weekly honors across 2 seasons
Coaching lineage · 2022–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Ken Niumatalolo → Brian Newberry. Worth noting in scheme + development context.