CFB Zeitgeist Score
65
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 75th percentile.
Bryson Barnes
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
2,802 PASS YDS · 18 PASS TD · 740 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Utah State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Utah State
Returning around him
- 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +10 net (29 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Utah State · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #114 · 2026 recruiting class #87
QB · UTAH STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Bryson Barnes
- 4
- 6-2 | 210 lb
- Milford, UT
Heisman Heat
#2003
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2021
Utah · QB
—
2022
Utah · QB
—
2023
Utah · QB
—
★
2025
Utah State · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025+12083%
Up 12083% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Utah -> Utah State | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 2802 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (740).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Bryson Barnes
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Bryson Barnes
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 13g
2,802Pass yards
18Pass TDs
5INT
Per game
215.5Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Final
2,802Pass yards
18Pass TDs
5INT
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Bryson Barnes's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Utah State, he has 2,802 passing yards and 18 touchdown passes, but he also adds 740 rushing yards and 10 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
211 85th
ATT
356 88th
CMP%
59.3% 42nd
Y/A
7.9 74th
Passing Production
YDS
2,802 88th
TD
18 88th
INT
5 32nd
Rushing
CAR
189 99th
YDS
740 97th
YPC
3.9 63rd
TD
10 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 28-16vs UTEP | 19/28 | 233 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 | 45.8 | |
| Wk 2 | L 22-44@ Texas A&M | 15/30 | 169 | 2 | 0 | 5.6 | 19.0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 49-30vs Air Force | 17/22 | 287 | 2 | 0 | 13.0 | 78.0 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 4 | W 48-7vs McNeese | 19/27 | 293 | 3 | 1 | 10.9 | 90.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 5 | L 35-55@ Vanderbilt | 15/22 | 161 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 | 77.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 7 | L 26-44@ Hawai'i | 14/26 | 175 | 1 | 1 | 6.7 | 28.5 | |
| Wk 8 | W 30-25vs San José State | 22/31 | 326 | 1 | 0 | 10.5 | 62.0 | Season-high 326 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 14-33@ New Mexico | 13/23 | 164 | 1 | 1 | 7.1 | 24.6 | |
| Wk 11 | W 51-14vs Nevada | 20/27 | 288 | 3 | 0 | 10.7 | 88.9 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 12 | L 26-29@ UNLV | 19/38 | 256 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 | 65.7 | |
| Wk 13 | W 28-17@ Fresno State | 16/30 | 150 | 0 | 1 | 5.0 | 70.6 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-25vs Boise State | 13/31 | 184 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | 33.0 | |
| Bowl | L 21-34vs Washington State | 9/21 | 116 | 0 | 1 | 5.5 | 5.7 | |
| Total | 211/356 | 2802 | 18 | 5 | 7.9 | 53.0 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Utah10-3HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-leaning
2022Utah10-4HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-leaning
2023Utah8-5HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
2025Utah State6-7HC: Bronco Mendenhall · Balanced
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State | 211 | 356 | 59.3% | 2,802 | 7.9 | 18 | 5 | 139.3 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Utah | 142 | 242 | 58.7% | 1,572 | 6.5 | 12 | 11 | 120.5 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Utah | 37 | 57 | 64.9% | 430 | 7.5 | 4 | 2 | 144.4 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Utah | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 23 | 11.5 | 1 | 0 | 361.6 | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 392 | 657 | 59.7% | 4,827 | 7.3 | 35 | 18 | 133.5 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State | 189 | 740 | 3.9 | 10 | -- |
| 2023 | Utah | 89 | 277 | 3.1 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | Utah | 20 | 116 | 5.8 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Utah | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 299 | 1,143 | 3.8 | 13 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,802 | #47/382 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 18 | #49/407 | 88th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 211 | #58/383 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 59.3% | #225/383 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.9 | #99/382 | 74th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 740 | #14/408 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.27 | #99/200 | 51st pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 380 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 62.6% | #9/428 | 98th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 356 | #51/407 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 5 | #276/407 | 32nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 189 | #6/408 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 58 | #27/391 | 93rd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 10 | #14/408 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.9 | #150/407 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 88.3% | #78/428 | 82nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 77.1% | #13/428 | 97th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 72.4% | #31/428 | 93rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 60.3% | #19/428 | 96th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 57.9% | #4/428 | 99th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 57.8% | #5/428 | 99th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 36.7% | #7/428 | 99th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.29 | #43/140 | 70th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 142 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 3 | #213/258 | 18th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 247 | 1.4 | 9.3 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 179 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 0.5 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 263 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 0.3 |
| Losses7g | 175 | 1.1 | 6.4 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 205 | 1.7 | 8.2 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 228 | 1.0 | 7.6 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
65Solid starter
Elite: rush yards (92nd). Strength: rush tds (90th). Concern: fumbles lost (18th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds49%of completions
53 comp5.5 yds avg3 TD
Middle
10–19 yds33%of completions
36 comp14.2 yds avg3 TD
Deep
20+ yds18%of completions
19 comp34.8 yds avg3 TD
Overall 60.7% completion on 178 attempts · 19 deep completions averaging 34.8 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.27Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.29Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Bryson BarnesUtah StateJake RetzlaffTulane· 88% simAlonza BarnettJames Madison· 85% simBear BachmeierBYU· 83% sim
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Yards / att
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Interceptions
Completion %
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Braxton Burmeister’s 2021 season.
Braxton Burmeister
74%match
#2
Robby Ashford
71%
#3
Dustin Crum
All-MAC
70%
#4
Dequan Finn
68%
#5
Tyler Johnston III
63%
Matches Braxton on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Rush yards / carry
Completion %
Differs from Braxton on
Height (higher)
Weight (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Braylon Braxton’s path through Southern Miss.
Braylon Braxton
94%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Jake Garcia
93%
#3
Will Crowder
90%
#4
Noah Kim
89%
#5
Ben Wooldridge
All-Sun Belt
87%
Matches Braylon on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Robby Ashford's senior season at Wake Forest (2025).
Robby Ashford
67%match
#2
Andrew Peasley
65%
#3
Brennan Armstrong
All-ACC
59%
#4
Hudson Card
57%
#5
Ashton Daniels
All-ACC
54%
Matches Robby on
Yards / attempt
Differs from Robby on
INT rate (lower)
TD rate (higher)
Weight (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bronco Mendenhall
Pass share
47.9%
403 pass / 439 run
Plays / game
64.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.7%
339 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2022
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2023
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2025era →
Bronco Mendenhall
Utah State
Coaching transition mid-career: Blake Anderson → Bronco Mendenhall. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMilford, UT
Height6'2"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionQB
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUtah State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Mountain West
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Utah State | Mountain West | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Utah State | QB4 | #2003 | #2467 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Utah | QB4 | #113 | #130 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | Utah | QB4 | #67 | #42 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2021 | Utah | QB4 | #494 | #400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Milford, UT |
| 2024 | Utah State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Milford, UT |
| 2023 | Utah | Pac-12 | QB | 4 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Milford, UT |
| 2022 | Utah | Pac-12 | QB | 4 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Milford, UT |
| 2021 | Utah | Pac-12 | QB | 4 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Milford, UT |