CFB Zeitgeist Score
53
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 65th percentile.
Bryson Donelson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
583 RUSH YDS · 5 RUSH TD · 142 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Fresno State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Fresno State
Returning around him
- 17% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: +3 net (13 in / 10 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Fresno State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #90 · 2026 recruiting class #103
RB · FRESNO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Bryson Donelson
- 2
- #6
- 5-11 | 205 lb
- Visalia, CA
Heisman Heat
#3452
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Fresno State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8144 | No. 2389 recruit | HighSchool | Fresno State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Fresno State
Composite
0.8144
#2389 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Bryson Donelson
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Bryson Donelson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 13g
583Rush yards
142Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
44.8Rush yards
11Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
583Rush yards
142Carries
5Rush TDs
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Bryson Donelson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Fresno State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
142 90th
YDS
583 83rd
YPC
4.1 36th
TD
5 85th
Receiving
REC
17 80th
YDS
107 72nd
YPR
6.3 42nd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-31@ Kansas | 11 | 34 | 3.1 | 0 | 12 | Season-high 167 yds |
| Wk 1 | W 42-14vs Georgia Southern | 23 | 167 | 7.3 | 1 | 31 | Season-high 167 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 36-27@ Oregon State | 7 | 34 | 4.9 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 3 | W 56-7vs Southern | 9 | 90 | 10.0 | 1 | 57 | |
| Wk 4 | W 23-21@ Hawai'i | 15 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Wk 6 | W 20-17vs Nevada | 14 | 39 | 2.8 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 7 | L 21-49@ Colorado State | 8 | 23 | 2.9 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 9 | L 0-23vs San Diego State | 7 | 23 | 3.3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 10 | W 30-7@ Boise State | 11 | 45 | 4.1 | 1 | 11 | |
| Wk 12 | W 24-3vs Wyoming | 13 | 45 | 3.5 | 1 | 12 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-28vs Utah State | 9 | 32 | 3.6 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 14 | W 41-14@ San José State | 9 | 30 | 3.3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Bowl | W 18-3vs Miami (OH) | 6 | 20 | 3.3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Total | 142 | 583 | 4.0 | 5 | 57 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Fresno State9-4HC: Matt Entz · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Fresno State | 142 | 583 | 4.1 | 5 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 142 | 583 | 4.1 | 5 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Fresno State | 17 | 107 | 6.3 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 17 | 107 | 6.3 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 583 | #123/735 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #115/739 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.1 | #475/735 | 36th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 17 | #111/552 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 107 | #157/548 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | -0.08 | #362/362 | 0th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 132 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 19.0% | #102/738 | 86th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 142 | #78/739 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 57 | #118/733 | 84th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 39 | #74/540 | 86th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.3 | #320/548 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 29.1% | #133/738 | 82nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 27.2% | #62/738 | 92nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 23.7% | #91/738 | 88th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 15.1% | #176/738 | 76th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.5% | #183/738 | 75th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.0% | #242/738 | 67th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 6.7% | #94/738 | 87th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 3 | #250/256 | 3rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 59.4 | 4.8 | 0.4 |
| Road6g | 27.8 | 3.1 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 52.3 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| Losses4g | 28.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 51.0 | 4.3 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 35.0 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
53Mid-pack
Concern: fumbles lost (2nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing-0.08Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Bryson DonelsonFresno StateAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 84% simBill DavisLouisiana· 81% simJevyon DuckerTemple· 80% sim
Carries
Long run
Receptions
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Rec yards
Yards / carry
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Star Thomas’s 2024 season.
Star Thomas
80%match
#2
Emari Demercado
80%
#3
Andrew Henry
78%
#4
Jaziun Patterson
76%
#5
Tory Blaylock
76%
Matches Star on
Weight
Receiving share
Yards / reception
Differs from Star on
Class year (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Andrew Body’s path through Alabama State.
Andrew Body
100%match
#2
Larry McCammon III
All-Conference USA
96%
#3
Narii Gaither
92%
#4
Bryson Kuzdzal
90%
#5
Omiri Wiggins
90%
Matches Andrew on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Kirby Vorhees's sophomore season at Washington State (2025).
Kirby Vorhees
79%match
#2
Chavon Mceachern
77%
#3
Jonzell Norrils
77%
#4
Zylan Perry
76%
#5
Brandon Hood
75%
Matches Kirby on
Yards / carry
Weight
Receiving share
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Entz
Pass share
44.2%
373 pass / 471 run
Plays / game
64.9
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
282 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Matt Entz
Fresno State
Played his entire career under Matt Entz.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownVisalia, CA
Height5'11"
Weight205 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey6
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamFresno State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Fresno State | RB2 | #3452 | #3421 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Fresno State | Mountain West | RB | 2 | No. 6 | 5-11 | 205 lb | Visalia, CA |
| 2024 | Fresno State | Mountain West | RB | 2 | No. 6 | 5-11 | 205 lb | Visalia, CA |