CFB Zeitgeist Score
32
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 58th percentile.
Herschel Turner
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
353 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 69 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Nevada for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Nevada
Returning around him
- 66% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -7 net (14 in / 21 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Nevada · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #119 · 2026 recruiting class #88
RB · NEVADA · MOUNTAIN WEST
Herschel Turner
- 1
- #2
- 5-9 | 196 lb
- Richmond, CA
Heisman Heat
#4723
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Nevada
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State -> Nevada | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Herschel Turner
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Herschel Turner
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 10g
353Rush yards
69Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
35.3Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
458.9Rush yards
90Carries
0Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 353): needs 132.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 353): needs 215.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 353): needs 382.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 3.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 6.7/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Herschel Turner's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Nevada, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
69 67th
YDS
353 69th
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
0 40th
Receiving
REC
3 33rd
YDS
6 12th
YPR
2.0 7th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 11-46@ Penn State | 8 | -15 | -1.9 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 2 | W 20-17vs Sacramento State | 11 | 78 | 7.1 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 3 | L 13-14vs Middle Tennessee | 12 | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 64 | Season-high 90 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 16-31@ Western Kentucky | 13 | 62 | 4.8 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 6 | L 17-20@ Fresno State | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 7 | L 10-44vs San Diego State | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 8 | L 22-24@ New Mexico | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 9 | L 3-24vs Boise State | 7 | 77 | 11.0 | 0 | 24 | |
| Wk 11 | L 14-51@ Utah State | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 14 | L 17-42vs UNLV | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | 16 | |
| Total | 69 | 353 | 4.4 | 0 | 64 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Nevada3-9HC: Jeff Choate · Run-leaning, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Nevada | 69 | 353 | 5.1 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 69 | 353 | 5.1 | 0 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Nevada | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 353 | #232/735 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.1 | #257/735 | 65th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #371/552 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 6 | #485/548 | 12th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.02 | #337/362 | 7th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 60 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 12.1% | #248/738 | 67th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 69 | #245/739 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 64 | #88/733 | 88th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 5 | #482/540 | 11th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 2.0 | #511/548 | 7th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 21.2% | #244/738 | 67th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 16.6% | #198/738 | 73rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 14.2% | #234/738 | 68th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.0% | #266/738 | 64th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.2% | #280/738 | 62nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.2% | #478/738 | 35th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 1.6% | #442/738 | 40th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 56.8 | 7.1 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 13.8 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 78.0 | 7.1 | 0.0 |
| Losses9g | 30.6 | 4.1 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 36.5 | 3.1 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 33.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
32Below cohort
Concern: rush tds (3rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.02Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Herschel TurnerNevadaJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 67% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 60% simTae MeadowsTroy· 58% sim
Long run
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Carries
Fumbles lost
Receptions
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cam'Ron Valdez’s 2023 season.
Cam'Ron Valdez
72%match
#2
Chris Davis Jr.
72%
#3
Frank Gore Jr.
All-Conference USA
68%
#4
C.J. Stokes
70%
#5
Jevyon Ducker
58%
Matches Cam'Ron on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Receiving share
Yards / carry
Differs from Cam'Ron on
Rush TD rate (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Chuba Hubbard’s path through Oklahoma State.
Chuba Hubbard
99%match
All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
#2
Rodney Hammond Jr.
98%
#3
Andrew Body
98%
#4
Larry Rountree III
All-SECNFL Rd 6
97%
#5
Josh Williams
94%
Matches Chuba on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Nathaniel Jones's sophomore season at New Mexico (2022).
Nathaniel Jones
67%match
#2
Zach Evans
65%
#3
Caden Williams
61%
#4
Jaylon Glover
63%
#5
Cole Tabb
61%
Matches Nathaniel on
Yards / carry
Differs from Nathaniel on
Class year (lower)
Height (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Choate
Pass share
42.6%
306 pass / 413 run
Plays / game
59.9
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
251 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Jeff Choate
Nevada
Played his entire career under Jeff Choate.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownRichmond, CA
Height5'9"
Weight196 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNevada
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Utah State | RB1 | #4723 | #5279 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Nevada | Mountain West | RB | 1 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 196 lb | Richmond, CA |
| 2024 | Utah State | Mountain West | RB | 1 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 196 lb | Richmond, CA |