Chandler Morris

Senior quarterback for Virginia. 2025: 3,000 passing yards, 16 TD, 9 INT.

QB · Virginia · Sr. · #4

6′0″ · 192 lb · Highland Park, TX

CFB Index 58 · #46 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceReturning to Virginia for 2026

Recruiting

4★

S recruit

No. 346 nationally · Signed with Oklahoma

Statement game439 yds · 5 TDvs Tulsa (FBS) · W 52-20

Top 1% passing yards game since 2021.

I like Eric Morris, got the chance to have dinner with him last year.r/CFB game thread · ▲ 4His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Virginia. 2025: 3,000 passing yards, 16 TD, 9 INT.

Signed as a 4-star recruit to Oklahoma in 2019.

His career, year by year

How he projects

Operates within the system without forcing anything.

The full scouting read

Chandler Morris

QB · Virginia · Sr · #4

Operates within the system without forcing anything. Across six seasons and four programs, five head coaches: Lincoln Riley, Gary Patterson, Sonny Dykes, Eric Morris and Tony Elliott. The receipt on tape: 380 pass yds, 19 rush yds against Stanford, Week 4, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2020Oklahoma9-2HC: Lincoln Riley · Run-leaning, fast tempo

2021TCU5-7HC: Gary Patterson · Run-heavy

2022TCU13-2HC: Sonny Dykes · Run-leaning

2023TCU5-7HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning, fast tempo

2024North Texas6-7HC: Eric Morris · Pass-leaning

2025Virginia11-3HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

58Quality starter #46 of 146?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sack rate (87th percentile). Strength: fumbles lost (91st percentile). Concern: interceptions (22nd percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Sack rate#25 / 183 · 87th pct

3.2%

Interception rate#39 / 183 · 79th pct

1.4%

EPA / dropback#62 / 183 · 66th pct

0.23

Explosive rate#72 / 183 · 61st pct

9.7%

Success rate#85 / 183 · 54th pct

40.9%

Box-score rates (8)

Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct

Pass yards#37 / 183 · 80th pct

3000

Rush TDs#53 / 183 · 68th pct

Completion %#59 / 183 · 67th pct

64.7%

Rush yards#64 / 183 · 65th pct

245

Pass TDs#63 / 183 · 64th pct

Yards / att#103 / 183 · 42nd pct

6.9

Interceptions#135 / 183 · 22nd pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

70th → 66th percentile

Success rate

75th → 54th percentile

Explosive rate

45th → 61st percentile

Sack rate

92nd → 87th percentile

Interception rate

43rd → 79th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

273/423 (64.5%) · 16 TD · 9 INT

423 of 436 attempts matched to play-by-play

185 of 423 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

6.2794 of 206 QBs

Sack rate

3.1%34 of 206 QBs

Rarely sacked (34 of 206 QBs) and still 94 of 206 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

19% of attempts (36)

75%comp1 INT

Air -3.4 · YAC 7.9 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

46% of attempts (85)

65%comp1 INT

Air 4.2 · YAC 3.7 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

24% of attempts (44)

50%comp

Air 14.2 · YAC 5.2 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

11% of attempts (20)

35%comp2 INT

Air 25.9 · YAC 3.9 avg

Overall 64.5% completion on 423 attempts · 35% completion on 20 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2025 baseline

-43

percentile points worse on first down

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-43 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 7/182 (3.8%) · league sack rate 4.2% · ~our read

Down 2

+20 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 2/120 (1.7%) · league sack rate 4.5% · ~our read

Down 3+

+43 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 5/126 (4.0%) · league sack rate 7.8% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home8g	202	1.4	7.2	0.6
Road6g	230	0.8	6.3	0.7

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-77g	232	1.6	7.5	0.6
Weeks 8+7g	196	0.7	6.1	0.7

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Tony Elliott

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

58 · #46 of 146 QBs

Former four-star. Now #46 at the position.

2026 outlook

In the mix for All-ACC

Based on 2025: #7 of 17 ACC QBs

How the All-ACC estimate is computed

35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Virginia	282	436	64.7%	3,000	6.9	16	9	130.5	57	--	--
2024	North Texas	322	509	63.3%	3,774	7.4	31	12	140.9	43	--	--
2023	TCU	132	202	65.3%	1,528	7.6	12	5	143.5	52	--	--
2022	TCU	18	27	66.7%	145	5.4	1	0	124.0	--	--	--
2021	TCU	50	76	65.8%	695	9.1	3	0	155.6	67	--	--
2020	Oklahoma	3	5	60.0%	39	7.8	0	0	125.5	--	--	--
Career		807	1,255	64.3%	9,181	7.3	63	26	138.2	51	--	--

Season	Team
2025	Virginia	64	245	3.8	5	--
2024	North Texas	60	242	4.0	4	--
2023	TCU	45	249	5.5	3	--
2022	TCU	6	24	4.0	0	--
2021	TCU	25	83	3.3	1	--
2020	Oklahoma	5	44	8.8	2	--
Career		205	887	4.3	15	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 18 · 2025

W 13–7

at Missouri

198 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 78.2

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 6 on the road.

With D. Sparks — 41 AVG · 2 IN 20 · 48 LONG · H. Waylee — 68 rush yds (20 car) · 1 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 4 · Stanford · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +6.08Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 75 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
Week 1 · Coastal Carolina · 2&2 · Q2 · EPA +5.34Jahmal Edrine 2 Yd pass from Chandler Morris (Will Bettridge Kick)
Week 1 · Missouri · 3&13 · Q1 · EPA +4.15(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #82 E.Wood caught at UVA31, for 35 yards to the MIZ35 (#6 J.Catalon), 1ST DOWN
Week 1 · Coastal Carolina · 3&5 · Q1 · EPA +4.14Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 46 yds to the CCU 1 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Duke · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA -3.86(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass intercepted by #0 C.Rivers at DUKE12, End Of Play
Week 1 · Coastal Carolina · 3&3 · Q2 · EPA +3.85Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 48 yds to the CCU 2 for a 1ST down
Week 8 · Washington State · 2&8 · Q3 · EPA +3.52Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 37 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · Louisville · 3&11 · Q2 · EPA +3.48Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 19 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
Week 12 · Duke · 2&13 · Q1 · EPA +3.39(02:13) Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete deep right to #6 C.Ross caught at DUKE39, for 26 yards to the DUKE39 (#0 C.Rivers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Week 12 · Duke · 3&3 · Q3 · EPA +3.32(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Morris pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at UVA47, for 29 yards to the DUKE38 (#2 J.Francois), 1ST DOWN

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 48-7vs Coastal Carolina	19/27	264	2	0	9.8	67.3	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 2	L 31-35@ NC State	30/43	257	1	1	6.0	80.6
Wk 3	W 55-16vs William & Mary	13/19	149	1	0	7.8	34.4
Wk 4	W 48-20vs Stanford	23/31	380	4	0	12.3	96.2	Season-high 380 yds
Wk 5	W 46-38vs Florida State	26/35	229	2	3	6.5	92.6	3 INTs — rough day
Wk 6	W 30-27@ Louisville	19/31	149	1	0	4.8	50.2
Wk 8	W 22-20vs Washington State	15/25	179	0	0	7.2	35.8
Wk 9	W 17-16@ North Carolina	20/35	200	1	1	5.7	14.6
Wk 10	W 31-21@ California	24/36	262	0	0	7.3	73.2
Wk 11	L 9-16vs Wake Forest	3/6	19	0	0	3.2	23.3
Wk 12	W 34-17@ Duke	23/35	316	2	2	9.0	84.7
Wk 14	W 27-7vs Virginia Tech	21/35	182	0	0	5.2	75.2
Wk 15	L 20-27vs Duke	21/40	216	2	2	5.4	28.6
Bowl	W 13-7@ Missouri	25/38	198	0	0	5.2	78.2
Total		282/436	3000	16	9	6.8	59.6

How he plays

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

70.4%Completion %

32.7%Conversion/dropback

52.6%Land short of sticks

1INTs

70.4% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 32.7% conversion-per-dropback — 52.6% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

2/26Inside-5 share

2 of the team's 26 inside-the-5 carries (7.7%).

2026 Outlook

Virginia

Preseason read · May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Virginia

Returning around him

10% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
Transfer portal: +9 net (31 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Virginia · Last season: 11-3 (AP #20) · Talent rank #53 · 2026 recruiting class #111

DNA match

Player DNA

Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Chandler Morris’s 2024 season.

Chandler Morris

76%match

North Texas · 2024

Frank Harris

UTSA · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 6

71%

Owen McCown

UTSA · 2024

69%

Jaylen Raynor

Arkansas State · 2025

64%

Jack Abraham

Southern Miss · 2020

All-Conference USA

62%

Matches Chandler on

Total pass EPA (college ability)

Weight

Completion %

Differs from Chandler on

TD rate (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

Player DNA

Players who play like Chandler Morris

Chandler Morris

Virginia · 2025

76%

Owen McCown

UTSA · 2024

73%

Giovanni Lopez

South Alabama · 2024

66%

Maddux Madsen

Boise State · 2024

60%

Marcel Reed

Texas A&M · 2024

58%

Heisman trajectory

Heisman Trajectory · 2025

Peak #34

Final rank

#37

Avg #36.0

Finalist prob 5%

Peaked at #34 this season.

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

2019

2025 snapshot

Passing profile

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

Impact starter

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Pocket Passer

Players who play like Chandler Morris

Heisman trajectory

Peak #34