Danny Etling: QB · LSU · #16.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Danny Etling
Pushes it downfield on every look. The three seasons span two programs and two head coaches: Darrell Hazell and Ed Orgeron. One game to point at: 347 passing yards and 3 passing TD against Texas A&M — Week 13, 2017.
Play style
Elite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
61.0% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 35.6% conversion-per-dropback — 36.0% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
2 of the team's 30 inside-the-5 carries (6.7%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
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Game log · Week-by-week
2017 season · 13 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 27-0vs BYU | 14/17 | 171 | 0 | 0 | 10.1 | 86.6 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-10vs Chattanooga | 8/14 | 227 | 1 | 0 | 16.2 | 93.1 | |
| Wk 3 | L 7-37@ Mississippi State | 13/29 | 137 | 0 | 0 | 4.7 | 10.2 | |
| Wk 4 | W 35-26vs Syracuse | 10/17 | 188 | 2 | 0 | 11.1 | 77.3 | |
| Wk 5 | L 21-24vs Troy | 17/25 | 198 | 2 | 1 | 7.9 | 84.5 | |
| Wk 6 | W 17-16@ No. 21 Florida | 9/16 | 125 | 1 | 0 | 7.8 | 70.3 | |
| Wk 7 | W 27-23vs No. 10 Auburn | 13/24 | 206 | 1 | 0 | 8.6 | 65.5 | |
| Wk 8 | W 40-24@ Ole Miss | 9/13 | 200 | 2 | 0 | 15.4 | 73.2 | |
| Wk 10 | L 10-24@ No. 1 Alabama | 12/26 | 137 | 0 | 1 | 5.3 | 14.2 | |
| Wk 11 | W 33-10vs Arkansas | 11/16 | 217 | 2 | 0 | 13.6 | 92.1 | |
| Wk 12 | W 30-10@ Tennessee | 11/15 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 5.4 | 65.9 | |
| Wk 13 | W 45-21vs Texas A&M | 19/30 | 347 | 3 | 0 | 11.6 | 95.8 | Season-high 347 yds |
 Bowl | L 17-21vs No. 14 Notre Dame | 19/33 | 229 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 | 60.1 | |
| Total | 165/275 | 2463 | 16 | 2 | 9.0 | — |
Week 13 · 2017
W 45-21
vs Texas A&M
347 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 95.8
Dominant 24-point win at home against Texas A&M.
With D. Williams — 106 rush yds (12 car) · 1 TD · 1 rec · 56 yds · D. Guice — 127 rush yds (28 car) · 1 TD · 1 rec · 18 yds
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 274 passing plays (164 completions) against the box score's 275 attempts (165 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
8.4320 of 205 QBsSack rate
8.9%167 of 205 QBsSacked on 8.9% of dropbacks (167 of 205) — and still 20 of 205 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 60.0% completion on 275 attempts · 36 deep completions averaging 36.8 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2017 baseline
No situation moves him more than 22 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2017 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 230 | 1.8 | 11.5 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 136 | 0.6 | 7.7 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 185 | 1.1 | 9.2 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 196 | 1.4 | 10.3 | 0.2 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ed Orgeron
Pass share
35.2%
300 pass / 552 run
Plays / game
65.5
13 games
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Player standing · 2017
Our Heisman model had this player inside its top 25 in 2017.
How it ended
Three seasons, at Purdue and LSU, 5,386 passing yards — drafted at #219 overall by the New England Patriots.
A stat line in 29 games over three seasons.
Coaching lineage · 2013–2017
3 coachesPlayed for 3 head coaches at 2 schools: Darrell Hazell, Les Miles and Ed Orgeron.
Next stop · NFL
New England PatriotsEntering 9th NFL season
New England PatriotsEntering 9th NFL season
