cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Deontae Lawson /Alabama

Deontae Lawson

LB · Alabama · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

80 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Alabama for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Alabama for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Alabama

Returning around him

  • 43% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 10 Alabama players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (17 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Alabama · Last season: 11-4 (AP #11) · Talent rank #2 · 2026 recruiting class #3

LB · ALABAMA · SEC

Deontae Lawson

  • 4
  • 6-2 | 228 lb
  • Mobile, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

75

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3203

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Alabama · LB

2023

Alabama · LB

2024

Alabama · LB

2025

Alabama · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#52 national
CFB
College
Alabama
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements6-2 | 228 lb
HometownMobile, AL
Primary teamAlabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 52 recruit
Composite rating 0.9744 HighSchool
Signed with Alabama 2021
Origin Mobile Christian School Mobile, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9744 No. 52 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3203Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3312Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Alabama

Composite

0.9744

#52 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Deontae Lawson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Deontae Lawson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 14g
80Tackles
4.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
80Tackles
4.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 80.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Deontae Lawson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Alabama's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #3203 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 52 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 80 45 solo | #145/4942 (97th pct)
TFL 4.5 Backfield disruption | #648/4972 (87th pct)
Sacks 1.5 Pass-rush finish | #724/4972 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
80 97th
SOLO
45 97th
TFL
4.5 87th
SACK
1.5 85th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 17-31@ Florida State640.00.00Season-high 10 tackles
Wk 2W 73-0vs UL Monroe421.00.00
Wk 5W 24-21@ Georgia430.50.01
Wk 6W 30-14vs Vanderbilt420.00.01
Wk 7W 27-24@ Missouri750.00.00
Wk 8W 37-20vs Tennessee610.00.00
Wk 9W 29-22@ South Carolina740.00.01
Wk 11W 20-9vs LSU950.50.00
Wk 12L 21-23vs Oklahoma520.00.00
Wk 13W 56-0vs Eastern Illinois100.00.00
Wk 14W 27-20@ Auburn751.00.00
Wk 15L 7-28vs Georgia640.00.00
BowlW 34-24@ Oklahoma1061.01.01
BowlL 3-38@ Indiana420.50.50
Total80454.51.54
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Alabama11-2HC: Nick Saban · Balanced
2023Alabama12-2HC: Nick Saban · Run-heavy
2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Alabama80454.51.54----
2024Alabama76366.02.041--
2023Alabama67325.53.04----
2022Alabama45221.00.04----
Career4 loaded seasons26813517.06.5161--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 80 #145/4942 97th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.5 #648/4972 87th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.5 #724/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 45 #128/4584 97th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g5.00.20.00.1
Road7g6.40.40.20.4

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g5.90.40.10.4
Losses4g5.20.10.10.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.60.40.20.4
Weeks 8+7g5.90.20.00.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

75Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (95th). Strength: tackles (94th).

Solo tackles#128 / 2975 · 96th pct
45defe
Tackles#145 / 2975 · 95th pct
80defe
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles for loss#648 / 2975 · 77th pct
4.5defe
Sacks#707 / 2975 · 74th pct
1.5defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Deontae LawsonAlabamaKeaton ThomasBaylor· 93% simMarsel McDuffieUNLV· 92% simTJ DotteryOle Miss· 92% sim
Solo tackles
96
Lawson
99
Thomas
99
McDuffie
97
Dottery
Tackles
95
Lawson
98
Thomas
99
McDuffie
98
Dottery
Passes defended
86
Lawson
78
Thomas
78
McDuffie
67
Dottery
Tackles for loss
77
Lawson
90
Thomas
83
McDuffie
83
Dottery
Sacks
74
Lawson
63
Thomas
80
McDuffie
74
Dottery
QB hurries
55
Lawson
55
Thomas
72
McDuffie
55
Dottery
Forced fumbles
47
Lawson
47
Thomas
47
McDuffie

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Coverage 'Backer

Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bryce Boettcher’s 2024 season.

Bryce Boettcher

87%match

Oregon · 2024

BurlsworthAll-Big TenNFL Rd 4
#2

Anthony Brackenridge

Western Kentucky · 2025

87%
#3

Deontae Lawson

Alabama · 2024

86%
#4

Jett Johnson

Mississippi State · 2021

84%
#5

Dyontae Johnson

Toledo · 2021

All-MAC
82%

Matches Bryce on

Height
Tackle volume
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Levelle Bailey's senior season at Fresno State (2023).

Levelle Bailey

91%match

Fresno State · 2023

All-Mountain West
#2

Anthony Brackenridge

Western Kentucky · 2025

89%
#3

Mohamed Toure

Miami · 2025

87%
#4

Jalen Garner

Houston · 2025

86%
#5

Cole Kozlowski

UCF · 2025

85%

Matches Levelle on

Tackle volume
Weight
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kalen DeBoer

Pass share

53.4%

523 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

65.3

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

384 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Nick Saban
Alabama
2023
Nick Saban
Alabama
2024
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
era →
2025
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama

Coaching transition mid-career: Nick Saban → Kalen DeBoer. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMobile, AL
Height6'2"
Weight228 lb
Class4
PositionLB

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-SEC all_conference Alabama | SEC LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Alabama LB4 #3203 #3312 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Alabama LB4 #2252 #2427 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Alabama LB4 #4028 #3725 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Alabama LB4 #3962 #3508 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Alabama SEC LB 4 6-2 | 228 lb | Mobile, AL
2024 Alabama SEC LB 4 6-2 | 228 lb | Mobile, AL
2023 Alabama SEC LB 4 6-2 | 228 lb | Mobile, AL
2022 Alabama SEC LB 4 6-2 | 228 lb | Mobile, AL
2021 Alabama SEC LB 4 6-2 | 228 lb | Mobile, AL