cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Donterry Russell /Texas State

Donterry Russell

LB · Texas State · Jr · #15

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

18 TACKLES · 4 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Texas State

Returning around him

  • 93% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (17 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #76 · 2026 recruiting class #101

LB · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT

Donterry Russell

  • 3
  • #15
  • 6-4 | 225 lb
  • Jackson, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14487

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#562 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#14 in market ▲ from #30 · 6 books

+27003.6% implied▲ tightened from +4000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey15
Measurements6-4 | 225 lb
HometownJackson, MS
Primary teamTexas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 562 recruit
Composite rating 0.8804 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Provine Jackson, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8804 No. 562 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14487Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14630Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8804

#562 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Donterry Russell

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Donterry Russell

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
18Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
4Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.4Sacks
Projected (13g)
21Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
4.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 18): needs 31/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 18): needs 41/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 4): needs 1/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Donterry Russell is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Texas State's defense, with 4.0 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14487 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 18 10 solo | #2161/4942 (56th pct)
TFL 5.5 Backfield disruption | #477/4972 (90th pct)
Sacks 4.0 Pass-rush finish | #169/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
18 56th
SOLO
10 56th
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
4.0 97th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2W 43-36@ UTSA310.50.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 3L 15-34@ Arizona State111.01.00
Wk 4W 35-3vs Nicholls220.00.00
Wk 6L 30-31@ Arkansas State100.00.00
Wk 7L 41-48vs Troy111.01.00
Wk 8L 37-40@ Marshall311.01.00
Wk 11L 39-42@ Louisiana110.00.00
Wk 12W 41-14@ Southern Miss110.00.01
Wk 13W 31-14vs UL Monroe100.00.00
Wk 14W 49-26vs South Alabama311.00.00
BowlW 41-10vs Rice111.01.00
Total18105.54.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Mississippi State5-7HC: Greg Knox · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Texas State18105.54.01----
2023Mississippi State19114.01.5------
Career2 loaded seasons37219.55.51----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 18 #2161/4942 56th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.5 #477/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.0 #169/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 10 #1996/4584 56th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g1.60.60.40.0
Road6g1.70.40.30.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g1.80.40.20.2
Losses5g1.40.60.60.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.50.60.50.0
Weeks 8+5g1.80.40.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

57Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (93rd). Strength: tackles for loss (82nd). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Sacks#169 / 2975 · 93rd pct
4.0defe
Tackles for loss#477 / 2975 · 83rd pct
5.5defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Solo tackles#1996 / 2975 · 31st pct
10defe
Tackles#2161 / 2975 · 26th pct
18defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Donterry RussellTexas StateMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 63% simChris JonesSouthern Miss· 58% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 58% sim
Sacks
93
Russell
89
Montgomery
91
Jones
63
Vaughns
Tackles for loss
83
Russell
85
Montgomery
96
Jones
85
Vaughns
Passes defended
48
Russell
67
Montgomery
67
Jones
48
Vaughns
Solo tackles
31
Russell
82
Montgomery
97
Jones
96
Vaughns
Tackles
26
Russell
99
Montgomery
100
Jones
99
Vaughns
QB hurries
22
Russell
22
Montgomery
22
Jones
22
Vaughns

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Coverage 'Backer

Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyler Thompson’s 2025 season.

Tyler Thompson

69%match

North Carolina · 2025

#2

Richard Jibunor

Troy · 2022

61%
#3

Terrance Taylor

Toledo · 2021

59%
#4

Nnanna Anyanwu

UTSA · 2025

59%
#5

Matthew Fobbs-White

Tulane · 2024

58%

Matches Tyler on

TFL rate
Tackle volume

Differs from Tyler on

Class year (higher)
Sack rate (lower)
PD rate (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Keaten Wade's junior season at Colorado (2024).

Keaten Wade

68%match

Colorado · 2024

#2

Tyler Thompson

North Carolina · 2025

67%
#3

Romello Height

USC · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 6
67%
#4

Grayson Murphy

UCLA · 2022

66%
#5

Bai Jobe

Miami (OH) · 2025

66%

Matches Keaten on

TFL rate
Weight
Sack rate

Differs from Keaten on

Class year (lower)
PD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

G.J. Kinne

Pass share

39.5%

358 pass / 549 run

Plays / game

69.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State

Played his entire career under G.J. Kinne.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJackson, MS
Height6'4"
Weight225 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Mississippi State LB3 #14487 #14630 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Mississippi State LB3 #9551 #10108 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Mississippi State LB3 #10010 #9677 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas State Sun Belt LB 3 No. 15 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Jackson, MS
2024 Mississippi State SEC LB 3 No. 15 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Jackson, MS
2023 Mississippi State SEC LB 3 No. 15 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Jackson, MS
2022 Mississippi State SEC LB 3 No. 15 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Jackson, MS