cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Hunter Washington /Mississippi State

Hunter Washington

S · Mississippi State · Sr · #21

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

44 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Mississippi State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Mississippi State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Mississippi State

Returning around him

  • 42% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 2 Mississippi State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (27 in / 40 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Mississippi State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #24 · 2026 recruiting class #28

S · MISSISSIPPI STATE · SEC

Hunter Washington

  • 4
  • #21
  • 5-11 | 200 lb
  • Katy, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

37

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 67th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14445

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#261 national
CFB
College
Mississippi State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey21
Measurements5-11 | 200 lb
HometownKaty, TX
Primary teamMississippi State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 261 recruit
Composite rating 0.9088 HighSchool
Signed with Florida State 2021
Origin Katy Katy, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9088 No. 261 recruit | HighSchool | Florida State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14445Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14568Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Florida State

Composite

0.9088

#261 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Hunter Washington

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Hunter Washington

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
44Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
52Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 44): needs 18/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 44): needs 28/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Hunter Washington is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Mississippi State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14445 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 261 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 44 18 solo | #756/4942 (85th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
44 85th
SOLO
18 74th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-17@ Southern Miss420.00.00
Wk 2W 24-20vs Arizona State510.00.010
Wk 3W 63-0vs Alcorn State210.00.00
Wk 4W 38-10vs Northern Illinois520.00.00
Wk 5L 34-41vs Tennessee410.00.00
Wk 8L 21-23@ Florida320.00.01
Wk 9L 38-45vs Texas110.00.00
Wk 10W 38-35@ Arkansas750.00.01Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 11L 21-41vs Georgia510.00.00
Wk 12L 27-49@ Missouri100.00.00
BowlL 29-43vs Wake Forest720.00.00
Total44180.00.012
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Mississippi State9-4HC: Mike Leach · Pass-heavy
2023Mississippi State5-7HC: Greg Knox · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Mississippi State5-8HC: Jeff Lebby · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Mississippi State44180.00.021--
2023Mississippi State620.00.0------
2022Mississippi State310.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons53210.00.021--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 44 #756/4942 85th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 18 #1178/4584 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 6.0 #420/578 28th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 6 #454/578 22nd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g4.10.00.00.0
Road4g3.80.00.00.5

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g4.60.00.00.2
Losses6g3.50.00.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.50.00.00.0
Weeks 8+5g3.40.00.00.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

37Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Tackles#756 / 2975 · 74th pct
44defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Solo tackles#1178 / 2975 · 59th pct
18defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Hunter WashingtonMississippi StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 75% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 71% simBrevin HamblinUtah State· 66% sim
Tackles
74
Washington
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
99
Hamblin
Passes defended
67
Washington
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
98
Hamblin
Solo tackles
59
Washington
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
99
Hamblin
Interceptions
31
Washington
31
Martin
31
Hamblin
Sacks
24
Washington
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
74
Hamblin
QB hurries
22
Washington
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Hamblin
Tackles for loss
7
Washington
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
56
Hamblin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Chance Keith’s 2024 season.

Chance Keith

87%match

Army · 2024

#2

Isaiah Taylor

Arizona · 2022

87%
#3

Isaiah Cash

Virginia Tech · 2025

86%
#4

Armahn Hale

New Mexico State · 2025

84%
#5

Myles Purchase

Iowa State · 2022

83%

Matches Chance on

Height
Tackle volume
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Patrick Day's senior season at Bowling Green (2023).

Patrick Day

92%match

Bowling Green · 2023

#2

Malachi Jones

Tulsa · 2024

89%
#3

D.J. Miller

Kent State · 2023

88%
#4

Nicario Harper

Illinois · 2023

87%
#5

JaTravis Broughton

Utah · 2023

86%

Matches Patrick on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Lebby

Pass share

41.8%

390 pass / 543 run

Plays / game

71.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.7%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Mike Leach
Mississippi State
2023
Greg Knox
Mississippi State
era →
2025
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Mike Leach, Greg Knox, and Jeff Lebby. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKaty, TX
Height5'11"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey21

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Mississippi State S4 #14445 #14568 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Mississippi State S4 #12525 #12472 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Mississippi State S4 #9718 #9326 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Florida State S4 #12138 #12160 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Mississippi State SEC S 4 No. 21 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Katy, TX
2024 Mississippi State SEC S 4 No. 21 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Katy, TX
2023 Mississippi State SEC S 4 No. 21 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Katy, TX
2022 Mississippi State SEC S 4 No. 21 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Katy, TX
2021 Florida State ACC S 4 No. 21 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Katy, TX