cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jadarian Price /Notre Dame

Jadarian Price

RB · Notre Dame · Jr · #24

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

674 RUSH YDS · 11 RUSH TD · 113 CARRIES

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Seattle — Rd 1, Pick 32, #32 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Seattle2026 NFL rookie season

#32Rd 1 · Pick 32
Seattle2026 NFL rookie season

RB · NOTRE DAME · FBS INDEPENDENTS

Jadarian Price

  • 3
  • #24
  • 5-11 | 209 lb
  • Denison, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

67

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1200

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape +6aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 93rd percentile of RBs; the tape says 87th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception93rd pctl
Production — on-field87th pctl
n=31 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_rushing

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R12 All-American · 2025

2023

Notre Dame · RB

2025

Notre Dame · RB

R12 · All-American

Elite

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 1, Pick 32 · #32 overall · Seattle

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
2722023
6742025

+148%

Up 148% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#201 national
CFB
College
Notre Dame
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R1 &middot; #32
Seattle &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey24
Measurements5-11 | 209 lb
HometownDenison, TX
Primary teamNotre Dame

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 201 recruit
Composite rating 0.9207 HighSchool
Signed with Notre Dame 2022
Origin Denison Denison, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9207 No. 201 recruit | HighSchool | Notre Dame

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1200Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#922Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Honors Badge 0.7% Honors Badge Recognized on a major honors list (Heisman, All-American, Davey O'Brien, Maxwell, Walter Camp, Nagurski, Biletnikoff). Held by 0.7% of the 2025 pool. Recognized on: All-America (SI).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Notre Dame

Composite

0.9207

#201 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 1, Pick 32

#32 overall · Seattle

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jadarian Price

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

63

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 27 mentions
Confidence MEDIUM

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 28 mentions · belief +13 · "[https://youtu.be/a2b8ilEwH7g](https://youtu.be/a2b8ilEwH7g)"Own fansNational: 8 mentions · belief +81 · "This is the locked on podcast network celebrating 10 years of your team every da"National
  • Own fans · n=28
  • National · n=8

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jadarian Price

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.220

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #10 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 86th

Why it matters

#10 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.220 EPA/carry on 117 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.220 (86th)

MODERATE · n=117 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Yards per carry#10 / 69
  • Rushing yards (total)#33 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
674Rush yards
113Carries
11Rush TDs
Per game
56.2Rush yards
9Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
730.2Rush yards
122Carries
12Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 674): needs 76/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 674): needs 326/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 674): needs 826/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 11.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 11): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 11): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jadarian Price is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 674 rushing yards, 6 catches, and 450 return yards for Notre Dame. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #1200 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 14.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 201 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 761 674 rush | 87 rec | #96/735 (87th pct)
Rush TD 11 113 carries | #27/739 (96th pct)
Yards/carry 6.0 Per-rush efficiency | #108/735 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runner

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
113 82nd
YDS
674 87th
YPC
6.0 85th
TD
11 96th

Receiving

REC
6 47th
YDS
87 65th
YPR
14.5 93rd
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 24-27@ Miami6457.5030
Wk 3L 40-41vs Texas A&M12685.7224
Wk 4W 56-30vs Purdue9748.23213 rushing TDs
Wk 5W 56-13@ Arkansas13866.6120
Wk 6W 28-7vs Boise State88310.4149
Wk 7W 36-7vs NC State15664.4020
Wk 8W 34-24vs USC13876.7132Season-high 87 yds
Wk 10W 25-10@ Boston College9121.305
Wk 11W 49-10vs Navy10474.7112
Wk 12W 37-15@ Pittsburgh8212.6013
Wk 13W 70-7vs Syracuse47017.5158
Wk 14W 49-20@ Stanford6152.516
Total1136746.51158
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Notre Dame10-3HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Notre Dame10-2HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Notre Dame1136746.011--
2023Notre Dame472725.83--
Career2 loaded seasons1609465.914--
SeasonTeam
2025Notre Dame68714.52--
2023Notre Dame56513.01--
Career2 loaded seasons1115213.83--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 6 87 rec yds | #291/552 (47th pct)
Usage 14.9% 25.8% rush share | #181/738 (76th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.22 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #43/362 (88th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 674 #96/735 87th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 11 #27/739 96th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.0 #108/735 85th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 6 #291/552 47th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 87 #194/548 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.22 #43/362 88th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 117 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 14.9% #181/738 76th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 113 #131/739 82nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 58 #112/733 85th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 35 #95/540 83rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 14.5 #37/548 93rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 450 #5/200 98th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 37.5 #4/199 98th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 12 #17/206 92nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return TD 2 #1/14 100th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 25.8% #169/738 77th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 16.8% #194/738 74th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 16.6% #198/738 73rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 14.7% #189/738 75th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.6% #105/738 86th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 10.5% #182/738 75th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 1.8% #419/738 43rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-AMERICAN

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-AMERICAN · Rung 12 of 16

Why he’s here

All-American — named 1st team by at least one NCAA-recognized selector.

What moves him up

Add selectors to reach Consensus (3 of 5).

What moves him down

Lose the selector and this slips to national-watch territory.

Accolade streams

1st-team selections2×1ST

First-team selections from 2 selectors.

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN1st
SI1st

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g70.78.21.3
Road5g35.84.10.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins10g56.16.50.9
Losses2g56.56.61.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g70.37.11.2
Weeks 8+6g42.05.90.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

67Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (91st). Strength: yards / carry (86th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).

Rush TDs#27 / 349 · 92nd pct
11rush
Yards / carry#47 / 349 · 86th pct
6.0rush
Rush yards#96 / 349 · 73rd pct
674rush
Long run#102 / 349 · 70th pct
58rush
Carries#131 / 349 · 63rd pct
113rush
Rec yards#174 / 338 · 49th pct
87rece
Receptions#253 / 338 · 23rd pct
6rece
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.22High (p75–p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jadarian PriceNotre DameSire GainesBoise State· 82% simJalen BuckleyWestern Michigan· 80% simNate FrazierGeorgia· 80% sim
Rush TDs
92
Price
84
Gaines
87
Buckley
72
Frazier
Yards / carry
86
Price
53
Gaines
74
Buckley
71
Frazier
Rush yards
73
Price
82
Gaines
89
Buckley
87
Frazier
Long run
70
Price
51
Gaines
81
Buckley
72
Frazier
Carries
63
Price
84
Gaines
88
Buckley
87
Frazier
Rec yards
49
Price
41
Gaines
43
Buckley
61
Frazier
Receptions
23
Price
45
Gaines
49
Buckley
63
Frazier
Fumbles lost
14
Price
14
Gaines
49
Buckley
14
Frazier

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Le'Veon Moss’s 2025 season.

Le'Veon Moss

73%match

Texas A&M · 2025

#2

Jordan Waters

Duke · 2023

72%
#3

Leshon Williams

Kansas · 2025

70%
#4

Ja'Kobi Jackson

Florida · 2024

68%
#5

Steve Chavez-Soto

San José State · 2025

65%

Matches Le'Veon on

Receiving share
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Le'Veon on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to King Miller’s path through USC.

King Miller

91%match

USC · 2025

#2

Jonathon Brooks

Texas · 2023

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 14
85%
#3

Bo Jackson

Ohio State · 2025

All-Big Ten
84%
#4

Tiyon Evans

Louisville · 2022

83%
#5

Marcellous Hawkins

Virginia Tech · 2025

82%

Matches King on

Yards per carry
Weight
Height

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jemel Jones's junior season at Army (2022).

Jemel Jones

65%match

Army · 2022

#2

Jalon Daniels

Kansas · 2022

All-Big 12
64%
#3

Jabari Small

Tennessee · 2022

All-SEC
64%
#4

Ryan Montgomery

Cincinnati · 2022

63%
#5

Myles Montgomery

UCF · 2024

62%

Matches Jemel on

Height
Yards / carry

Differs from Jemel on

Class year (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Weight (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Marcus Freeman

Pass share

44.0%

321 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

60.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

257 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
2025
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame

Played his entire career under Marcus Freeman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDenison, TX
Height5'11"
Weight209 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey24

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🥇

ALL-AMERICA

Named All-American (2025)

2 selectors honored him

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-America

2 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-America (SI) all_america SI AP-RET
2025 All-America (SN) all_america SN AP-RET

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Notre Dame RB3 #1200 #922 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 Notre Dame RB3 #289 #262 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 Notre Dame RB3 #2042 #1717 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Notre Dame FBS Independents RB 3 No. 24 | 5-11 | 209 lb | Denison, TX
2024 Notre Dame FBS Independents RB 3 No. 24 | 5-11 | 209 lb | Denison, TX
2023 Notre Dame FBS Independents RB 3 No. 24 | 5-11 | 209 lb | Denison, TX
2022 Notre Dame FBS Independents RB 3 No. 24 | 5-11 | 209 lb | Denison, TX