CFB Zeitgeist Score
57
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 91st percentile.
Jahron Manning
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
91 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Mississippi State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Safety · Mississippi State
Returning around him
- 42% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 2 Mississippi State players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -13 net (27 in / 40 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Mississippi State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #24 · 2026 recruiting class #28
S · MISSISSIPPI STATE · SEC
Jahron Manning
- 4
- #13
- 5-10 | 195 lb
- New Orleans, LA
Heisman Heat
#13862
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
Mississippi State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#1 in market ▲ from #2 · 5 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2-star | 0.7683 | No. 190 recruit | JUCO | Old Dominion |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Old Dominion -> Mississippi State | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to Old Dominion
Composite
0.7683
#190 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jahron Manning
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jahron Manning
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 13g
91Tackles
4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
7Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
91Tackles
4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 91.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jahron Manning is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Mississippi State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
91 98th
SOLO
36 93rd
TFL
4.0 85th
SACK
0.0 65th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
5 90th
INT
1 65th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-17@ Southern Miss | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 24-20vs Arizona State | 9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | W 63-0vs Alcorn State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 38-10vs Northern Illinois | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | L 34-41vs Tennessee | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Wk 6 | L 9-31@ Texas A&M | 13 | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 21-23@ Florida | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | L 38-45vs Texas | 14 | 8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 14 tackles |
| Wk 10 | W 38-35@ Arkansas | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-41vs Georgia | 6 | 5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 27-49@ Missouri | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 19-38vs Ole Miss | 9 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | L 29-43vs Wake Forest | 6 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Total | 91 | 36 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 5 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Mississippi State5-8HC: Jeff Lebby · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | 91 | 36 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 91 | 36 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 91 | #81/4942 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 4.0 | #738/4972 | 85th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 1 | #308/869 | 65th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 5 | #218/2184 | 90th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 36 | #322/4584 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 21.0 | #195/578 | 66th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 21 | #301/578 | 48th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 7.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Road5g | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses8g | 8.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 6.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 7.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort
57Solid starter
Elite: tackles (97th). Strength: passes defended (90th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · S · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jahron ManningMississippi StateTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 92% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 90% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 86% sim
Tackles
Passes defended
Solo tackles
Tackles for loss
Interceptions
Sacks
QB hurries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Box Safety
Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Christian Izien’s 2022 season.
Christian Izien
87%match
#2
Shawn Asbury II
86%
#3
Myles Heard
80%
#4
Anthony Wilson
81%
#5
Kaleb Culp
78%
Matches Christian on
PD rate
Tackle volume
Height
Differs from Christian on
Class year (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Lee's sophomore season at Nevada (2021).
Jordan Lee
83%match
#2
Tanner Ingle
All-ACC
84%
#3
Tywan Francis
82%
#4
Rashad Wisdom
All-AAC
82%
#5
Angelo Grose
81%
Matches Jordan on
Class year
PD rate
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Lebby
Pass share
41.8%
390 pass / 543 run
Plays / game
71.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.7%
308 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State
Played his entire career under Jeff Lebby.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownNew Orleans, LA
Height5'10"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey13
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMississippi State
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Sun Belt
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | DB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Old Dominion | S4 | #13862 | #13842 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | SEC | S | 4 | No. 13 | 5-10 | 195 lb | New Orleans, LA |
| 2024 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | S | 4 | No. 13 | 5-10 | 195 lb | New Orleans, LA |