CFB Zeitgeist P Score
Awaiting
James Ferguson-Reynolds
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Oregon for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Punter · Oregon
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
Oregon · Last season: 13-2 (AP #5) · Talent rank #5 · 2026 recruiting class #5
P · OREGON · BIG TEN
CFB Zeitgeist P Score
Awaiting
Heisman Heat
#15047
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP P AWARD
Ray Guy
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2022
Boise State · P
—
2023
Boise State · P
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
Oregon · P
—
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8033 | No. 2090 recruit | HighSchool | Boise State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State -> Oregon | 2-star | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Boise State
Composite
0.8033
#2090 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. James Ferguson-Reynolds already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | PUNT | YDS | AVG | LONG | IN20 | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 69-3vs Oklahoma State | 2 | 73 | 36.5 | 37 | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | W 34-14@ Northwestern | 2 | 77 | 38.5 | 39 | 2 | |
| Wk 4 | W 41-7vs Oregon State | 2 | 87 | 43.5 | 51 | 1 | |
| Wk 5 | W 30-24@ Penn State | 2 | 73 | 36.5 | 43 | 1 | |
| Wk 7 | L 20-30vs Indiana | 4 | 201 | 50.3 | 53 | 2 | |
| Wk 9 | W 21-7vs Wisconsin | 5 | 206 | 41.2 | 48 | 3 | |
| Wk 11 | W 18-16@ Iowa | 4 | 161 | 40.3 | 52 | 1 | |
| Wk 12 | W 42-13vs Minnesota | 2 | 100 | 50.0 | 58 | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | W 42-27vs USC | 3 | 114 | 38.0 | 45 | 1 | |
| Wk 14 | W 26-14@ Washington | 3 | 130 | 43.3 | 48 | 1 | |
| Bowl | W 51-34vs James Madison | 2 | 80 | 40.0 | 40 | 1 | |
| Bowl | W 23-0@ Texas Tech | 2 | 72 | 36.0 | 39 | 1 | |
| Bowl | L 22-56@ Indiana | 2 | 96 | 48.0 | 50 | 1 | |
| Total | 35 | 1470 | 41.7 | 58 | 17 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 11 | #9/15 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 11.0 | #7/15 | 60th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS peers |
| Passing | Attempts | 1 | #4/25 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Passing | Completion % | 100.0% | #1/15 | 100th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS peers |
| Passing | Completions | 1 | #3/15 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/25 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS peers |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #2/25 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 21 | #5/29 | 86th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 21 | #7/53 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 21.0 | #4/49 | 94th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #9/50 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #5/54 | 93rd pct | Scoringvs FBS peers |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 1 | #63/282 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Defense | Total tackles | 1 | #109/388 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #15/390 | 96th pct | Disruptionvs FBS peers |
| Defense | TFL | 0.0 | #20/390 | 95th pct | Disruptionvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting YDS | 1,470 | #119/179 | 34th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting LONG | 58 | #109/179 | 40th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting YPP | 42 | #116/179 | 36th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting NO | 35 | #117/179 | 35th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting IN 20 | 17 | #53/166 | 69th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting TB | 3 | #55/142 | 62nd pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
The Ray Guy award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | — | — | — | — |
| Road6g | 1.8 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins11g | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses2g | — | — | — | — |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 1.4 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | — | — | — | — |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Advanced Savant · P · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dan Lanning
Pass share
44.9%
436 pass / 534 run
Plays / game
64.7
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.8%
250 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Dan Lanning.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Mountain West
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Boise State | Mountain West | P |
| 2023 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Boise State | Mountain West | P |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boise State | P4 | #15047 | #14461 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Boise State | P4 | #15539 | #15244 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Boise State | P4 | #14818 | #14473 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon | Big Ten | P | 4 | No. 46 | 6-2 | 196 lb | Geelong, VIC |
| 2024 | Boise State | Mountain West | P | 4 | No. 46 | 6-2 | 196 lb | Geelong, VIC |
| 2023 | Boise State | Mountain West | P | 4 | No. 46 | 6-2 | 196 lb | Geelong, VIC |
| 2022 | Boise State | Mountain West | P | 4 | No. 46 | 6-2 | 196 lb | Geelong, VIC |