Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 24-45vs UCLA | 24/41 | 271 | 2 | 2 | 6.6 | 62.5 | Season-high 271 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 21-18@ Syracuse | 21/34 | 182 | 2 | 0 | 5.4 | 54.4 | |
| Total | 45/75 | 453 | 4 | 2 | 6.0 | 58.5 |
#3
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
Sophomore quarterback for California. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
6′3″ · 225 lb · Ewa Beach, HI · Campbell HS
CFB Index 48 · #73 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceReturning to California for 2026
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
453
passing yards · 2026
4 TD · 2 INT · 6 per attempt
2 games into 2026 so far -- Best game: 182 pass yds, 2 TD, -5 rush yds, at Syracuse
The play that turned itSwung California from 41% to 87% to win.California at Hawai'i · 35-31
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
2 quarterback for California. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
- Signed as a 4-star recruit to Oregon in 2025.
- Transferred from Oregon to California in 2025.
Aura™ · Him Watch
Underrated
-31aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 21st percentile of QBs; the tape says
53rd pctl our passing-value metric (wEPA) QBs · 160 qualified, n=17
— the tape outruns the hype.Aura — fan perception21st pctl
Production — on-field53rd pctl
n=17 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = our passing-value metric (wEPA)
Buzz vs Tape
Attention percentile: 22nd · Production percentile: 53rd
His production sits in the 53rd percentile among qualified QBs this season, well ahead of 22nd-percentile attention — a gap of 31 points between tape and volume.
22ndattention percentile · vs QBs
53rdproduction percentile · vs QBs
In Their Words
155 windows · 2026 fan posts
keawe×767.3jaron×409.2cal×83.7byu×26.8
“Tonight: The Calimony Clash, UCLA @ Cal QB battle between Nico Iamaleava & Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Coach debuts of Bob Chesney & Tosh Lupoi This should be a good one on ESPN!”
bluesky_curated · fan post, verbatim
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
Operates within the system without forcing anything. Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has played for two head coaches in two seasons at California. 2025 brought the first one: All-ACC. One game to point at: 271 pass yds, 2 pass TD against UCLA — Week 1, 2026.
453 PASS YDS · 4 PASS TD · -16 RUSH YDS
Low coverage — composed from the verified record.
- season totals
- positional archetype classification
- head-coach lineage
- recognition record
- game log
His career
He was winning awards before he was old enough to be a story.
202513 games
- Signed with Oregon4-star out of James Campbell
- Entered the portal
- All-ACC
Career arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
California
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Coaching lineage · 2025–2026
2 coaches2025
California
2026era →
Tosh Lupoi
California
Coaching transition mid-career: Justin Wilcox → Tosh Lupoi. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
2026 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
2025California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
2026California1-1HC: Tosh Lupoi · Pass-leaning
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score percentiles
High confidence
Concern: pass yards (0th percentile).
Box-score rates (8)
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Passing profile
Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
75 of 75 attempts matched to play-by-play
75 of 75 attempts charted for true throw depth
Adjusted ANY/A
5.3663 of 75 QBsSack rate
3.8%32 of 75 QBsRarely sacked (32 of 75), but Adjusted ANY/A hasn't followed (63 of 75).
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Behind LOS · Negative air yds
15% of attempts (11)
91%comp
Air -4.3 · YAC 5.8 avg
Short · 0–9 air yds
49% of attempts (37)
62%comp
Air 4.1 · YAC 2.2 avg
Middle · 10–19 air yds
21% of attempts (16)
38%comp1 INT
Air 13.3 · YAC 3.0 avg
Deep · 20+ air yds
15% of attempts (11)
55%comp1 INT
Air 29.0 · YAC 6.0 avg
Overall 60.0% completion on 75 attempts · 55% completion on 11 deep attempts (20+ air yds).
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 226 YDS/g, 2.0 TD/g, 6.0 YPA, 1.0 INT/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tosh Lupoi
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Backup
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Recognition
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
2026 outlook
Heisman market0.8%full market ›
In the mix for All-ACC
Based on 2025: #10 of 17 ACC QBs
How the All-ACC estimate is computed
35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.
Career stats
| Season | Team | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | California | 45 | 75 | 60.0% | 453 | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 123.0 | 44 | -- | -- |
| 2025 | California | 315 | 491 | 64.2% | 3,446 | 7.0 | 18 | 9 | 131.5 | 40 | -- | -- |
| Career | 360 | 566 | 63.6% | 3,899 | 6.9 | 22 | 11 | 130.4 | 41 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | California | 6 | -21 | -3.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2025 | California | 60 | -120 | -2.0 | 4 | -- |
| Career | 66 | -141 | -2.1 | 4 | -- |
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2026
W 21–18
at Syracuse
182 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 54.4 · -5 rush yds (2 car)
A wire-to-wire battle — won by 3 on the road.
With A. Davies — 34 AVG · 3 IN 20 · 52 LONG · A. Mohammed — 74 rush yds (19 car)
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 1 · UCLA · 3&9 · Q2 · EPA +4.12(00:40) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep left to #9 I.Strong caught at CLA48, for 49 yards to the CLA38 (#27 T.James), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Syracuse · 2&11 · Q2 · EPA +3.98(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep middle to #9 I.Strong caught at SYR33, for 43 yards to the SYR33 (#12 C.Peal), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · UCLA · 3&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.72(12:28) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep left to #85 M.Mini caught at CLA42, for 26 yards to the CLA36 (#2 R.Pleasant), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Syracuse · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +3.09(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep middle to #85 M.Mini caught at CAL40, for 38 yards to the SYR42 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · UCLA · 3&8 · Q2 · EPA +2.68(02:00) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep right to #85 M.Mini caught at CAL41, for 23 yards to the CAL43 (#12 M.Hartford), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Syracuse · 2&11 · Q4 · EPA -2.65(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele sacked for loss of 9 yards to the SYR41 (#6 C.D'Appolonia)
- Week 2 · Syracuse · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.55(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #7 C.Hendricks caught at SYR00, for 14 yards to the SYR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:15, 1ST DOWN #33 T.McGough kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke)
- Week 1 · UCLA · 1&9 · Q1 · EPA +2.42(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CLA12, for 9 yards to the CLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:28 #33 T.McGough kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke)
- Week 1 · UCLA · 1&8 · Q2 · EPA +2.32(00:19) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #85 M.Mini caught at CLA00, for 8 yards to the CLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:13 #33 T.McGough kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke)
- Week 1 · UCLA · 3&6 · Q4 · EPA +2.13(13:15) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CAL41, for 8 yards to the CAL43 (#2 R.Pleasant; #9 J.Woods), 1ST DOWN
Game log
How he plays
Play style
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
CFB Index positional classification
2026 Outlook
California
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · California
Returning around him
- 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 California player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -4 net (32 in / 36 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
California · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #33 · 2026 recruiting class #56
DNA match
Player DNA
Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dylan Raiola’s 2024 season.
72%match
Matches Dylan on
Weight
TD rate
INT rate
Differs from Dylan on
Total pass EPA (college ability) (higher)
Completion % (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Desmond Trotter’s path through South Alabama.
96%match
Matches Desmond on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a freshman, his production profile tracks closest to Dylan Raiola's freshman season at Nebraska (2024).
75%match
Matches Dylan on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Yards / attempt
Differs from Dylan on
Class year (lower)
Completion % (lower)
INT rate (lower)
Heisman trajectory
Heisman futures · sportsbook market
#29 in market ▼ from #28 · 6 books
Background
Accolades - Athletic Athlon Sports Fourth-Team All-ACC (2026) Davey O'Brien Award Watch List (2026) Maxwell Award Watch List (2026) On3 Top 100 (2026) Polynesian Player of the Year Award Watch List (2026) Sports Info Solutions Preseason Second-Team All-ACC (2026) ACC Quarterback Of The Week (2025...
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology