cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jarvis Lee Jr. /South Florida

Jarvis Lee Jr.

CB · South Florida · Jr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

55 TACKLES · 4 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to South Florida for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to South Florida for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Cornerback · South Florida

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +10 net (44 in / 34 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

South Florida · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #61 · 2026 recruiting class #65

CB · SOUTH FLORIDA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Jarvis Lee Jr.

  • 3
  • 5-11 | 185 lb
  • Jacksonville, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

85

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13976

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
South Florida
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class3
Jersey--
Measurements5-11 | 185 lb
HometownJacksonville, FL
Primary teamSouth Florida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13976Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14012Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jarvis Lee Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jarvis Lee Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
55Tackles
12Tackles for loss
4Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
60Tackles
13Tackles for loss
4.3Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 55): needs 25/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 55): needs 45/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 4): needs 2/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jarvis Lee Jr. is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on South Florida's defense, with 4.0 sacks, 12.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13976 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 4.0 sacks | 12.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 55 38 solo | #484/4942 (90th pct)
TFL 12.0 Backfield disruption | #51/4972 (99th pct)
Sacks 4.0 Pass-rush finish | #169/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
55 90th
SOLO
38 94th
TFL
12.0 99th
SACK
4.0 97th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs Boise State420.00.01
Wk 2W 18-16@ Florida650.00.00
Wk 3L 12-49@ Miami100.00.010
Wk 4W 63-14vs South Carolina State331.00.00
Wk 6W 54-26vs Charlotte221.00.010
Wk 7W 63-36@ North Texas542.00.00
Wk 8W 48-13vs Florida Atlantic740.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 9L 31-34@ Memphis743.51.003.5 TFL
Wk 11W 55-23vs UTSA653.02.002 sacks
Wk 13W 48-18@ UAB540.00.01
Wk 14W 52-3vs Rice210.00.00
BowlL 10-24vs Old Dominion741.51.00
Total553812.04.022
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023South Florida7-6HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2025South Florida9-4HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025South Florida553812.04.022--
2023South Florida440.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons594212.04.022--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 55 #484/4942 90th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 12.0 #51/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.0 #169/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 53 #99/578 83rd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 38 #271/4584 94th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 26.5 #130/578 78th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g4.40.90.40.1
Road5g4.81.10.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g4.40.80.20.2
Losses3g5.01.70.70.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.00.80.10.1
Weeks 8+5g5.41.30.60.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

85All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (98th). Strength: sacks (93rd).

Tackles for loss#51 / 2975 · 98th pct
12.0defe
Sacks#169 / 2975 · 93rd pct
4.0defe
Solo tackles#271 / 2975 · 90th pct
38defe
QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Tackles#484 / 2975 · 83rd pct
55defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jarvis Lee Jr.South FloridaKeyshaun ElliottArizona State· 93% simMani PowellPurdue· 92% simMac HarrisSouth Florida· 92% sim
Tackles for loss
98
Jr.
99
Elliott
98
Powell
91
Harris
Sacks
93
Jr.
98
Elliott
96
Powell
97
Harris
Solo tackles
90
Jr.
98
Elliott
99
Powell
98
Harris
QB hurries
88
Jr.
88
Elliott
82
Powell
97
Harris
Tackles
83
Jr.
98
Elliott
99
Powell
99
Harris
Interceptions
75
Jr.
75
Harris
Passes defended
67
Jr.
67
Elliott
67
Powell
67
Harris

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Volume Tackler

Targeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Colby Humphrey’s 2025 season.

Colby Humphrey

86%match

Washington State · 2025

#2

Christian Bodnar

Liberty · 2025

82%
#3

Jaylin Smith

USC · 2024

All-Big TenNFL Rd 3 · Pk 33
84%
#4

JaTravis Broughton

Utah · 2022

80%
#5

Jaylin Smith

USC · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 33
80%

Matches Colby on

Height
PD rate
Tackle volume

Differs from Colby on

Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Braden Turner's junior season at Northwestern (2025).

Braden Turner

95%match

Northwestern · 2025

#2

Evan Jackson

North Texas · 2025

92%
#3

Brandon Hill

Pittsburgh · 2022

NFL Rd 7
90%
#4

Tyson Flowers

Virginia Tech · 2025

88%
#5

Sharif Denson

Florida · 2025

87%

Matches Braden on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Alex Golesh

Pass share

44.8%

404 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

69.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.8%

291 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Alex Golesh
South Florida
2025
Alex Golesh
South Florida

Played his entire career under Alex Golesh.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJacksonville, FL
Height5'11"
Weight185 lb
Class3
PositionCB

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 South Florida CB3 #13976 #14012 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 South Florida CB3 #14457 #14423 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Florida American Athletic CB 3 5-11 | 185 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2024 South Florida American Athletic CB 3 5-11 | 185 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2023 South Florida American Athletic CB 3 5-11 | 185 lb | Jacksonville, FL