CFB Zeitgeist Score
24
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 28th percentile.
Jeremiah Noga
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
221 REC YDS · 20 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Washington State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Washington State
Returning around him
- 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -13 net (28 in / 41 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Washington State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #95 · 2026 recruiting class #71
WR · WASHINGTON STATE · PAC-12
Jeremiah Noga
- 4
- #15
- 6-2 | 190 lb
- Grants Pass, OR
Heisman Heat
#2920
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+784%
Up 784% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon State -> Washington State | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jeremiah Noga
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jeremiah Noga
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
11.1
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #349 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 34th
Why it matters
#349 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.1 yards per reception (20 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 11.1 (34th)
MODERATE · n=20 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving TDs#402 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#480 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 vs Idaho — 54 ypr
Result W 13-10
The week the volume broke through — put up 54 yds vs Idaho.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
221Rec yards
20Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
20.1Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
261.2Rec yards
24Receptions
1Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 221): needs 239.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 221): needs 389.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 20): needs 20/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 20): needs 30/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jeremiah Noga's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Washington State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
20 63rd
YDS
221 60th
YPR
11.1 43rd
TD
1 64th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 13-10vs Idaho | 5 | 54 | 10.8 | 0 | 17 | Season-high 54 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 36-13vs San Diego State | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 3 | L 10-59@ North Texas | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 4 | L 24-59vs Washington | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 5 | W 20-3@ Colorado State | 1 | 35 | 35.0 | 1 | 35 | |
| Wk 7 | L 21-24@ Ole Miss | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 10 | L 7-10@ Oregon State | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 12 | W 28-3vs Louisiana Tech | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 13 | L 20-24@ James Madison | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 14 | W 32-8vs Oregon State | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Bowl | W 34-21@ Utah State | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | 0 | 22 | |
| Total | 20 | 221 | 11.2 | 1 | 35 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Oregon State10-3HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-heavy
2023Oregon State8-5HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-leaning
2025Washington State7-6HC: Jimmy Rogers · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington State | 20 | 221 | 11.1 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Oregon State | 8 | 113 | 14.1 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Oregon State | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 30 | 359 | 12.0 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 20 | #417/1110 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 221 | #440/1107 | 60th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.1 | #635/1106 | 43rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 9.3% | #520/1137 | 54th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 35 | #527/1105 | 52nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.1% | #449/1137 | 61st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 5.9% | #403/1137 | 65th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.3% | #616/1137 | 46th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 4.8% | #507/1137 | 55th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.7% | #569/1137 | 50th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.4% | #642/1137 | 44th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 2.0 | 19.4 | 8.7 | 0.0 |
| Road6g | 1.7 | 20.7 | 13.4 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 1.8 | 25.0 | 14.5 | 0.2 |
| Losses5g | 1.8 | 14.2 | 7.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 2.0 | 25.7 | 13.9 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 1.5 | 10.2 | 6.6 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
24Below cohort
Concern: long catch (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jeremiah NogaWashington StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 62% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 57% simAaron TurnerRice· 55% sim
Yards / catch
Receptions
Rec TDs
Rec yards
Long catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Robert Williams’s 2024 season.
Robert Williams
86%match
#2
Chas Nimrod
85%
#3
James BlackStrain
85%
#4
Peter LeBlanc
84%
#5
Julian Ortega-Jones
84%
Matches Robert on
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume
Differs from Robert on
Weight (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Xavier Lane’s path through Missouri State.
Xavier Lane
99%match
#2
Ian Duarte
98%
#3
Ryan Flournoy
NFL Rd 6
97%
#4
Dalvin Smith
97%
#5
T.J. Vasher
96%
Matches Xavier on
Yards per reception
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Javon Ivory's senior season at South Alabama (2023).
Javon Ivory
92%match
#2
Nicholas Cenacle
83%
#3
Eric Holley
82%
#4
Romello Brinson
79%
#5
Keontez Lewis
77%
Matches Javon on
Reception volume
EPA / play (adj)
Total EPA (college ability)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jimmy Rogers
Pass share
48.7%
407 pass / 429 run
Plays / game
64.3
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.1%
327 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Jake Dickert
Washington State
2023
Jake Dickert
Washington State
2025era →
Jimmy Rogers
Washington State
Coaching transition mid-career: Jake Dickert → Jimmy Rogers. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGrants Pass, OR
Height6'2"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey15
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamWashington State
ConferencePac-12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Oregon State | WR4 | #2920 | #2860 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2023 | Oregon State | WR4 | #1210 | #1066 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | Oregon State | WR4 | #1648 | #1331 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington State | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 15 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Grants Pass, OR |
| 2024 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 15 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Grants Pass, OR |
| 2023 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 15 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Grants Pass, OR |
| 2022 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 15 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Grants Pass, OR |