Joe Burrow: QB · LSU · #9.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Joe Burrow
Picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. The four seasons span two programs and two head coaches: Urban Meyer and Ed Orgeron. The first one came in 2019: Davey O'Brien. On tape: 493 passing yards and 22 rushing yards against Oklahoma, Bowl, 2019.
Play style
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
69.7% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 33.3% conversion-per-dropback — 47.8% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
11 of 14 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (78.6%). 5 of the team's 32 inside-the-5 carries (15.6%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | LSU | 402 | 527 | 76.3% | 5,671 | 10.8 | 60 | 6 | 202.0 | 98 |
| 2018 | LSU | 219 | 379 | 57.8% | 2,893 | 7.6 | 16 | 5 | 133.2 | 65 |
| 2017 | Ohio State | 7 | 11 | 63.6% | 61 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 110.2 | -- |
| 2016 | Ohio State | 22 | 28 | 78.6% | 226 | 8.1 | 2 | 0 | 169.9 | -- |
| Career | 650 | 945 | 68.8% | 8,851 | 9.4 | 78 | 11 | 172.4 | 83 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | LSU | 115 | 369 | 3.2 | 5 | 29 |
| 2018 | LSU | 128 | 399 | 3.1 | 7 | 59 |
| 2017 | Ohio State | 3 | −5 | −1.7 | 0 | 4 |
| 2016 | Ohio State | 12 | 58 | 4.8 | 1 | 12 |
| Career | 258 | 821 | 3.2 | 13 | 59 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2019 season · 15 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 55-3vs Georgia Southern | 23/27 | 278 | 5 | 0 | 10.3 | 97.2 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 45-38@ No. 9 Texas | 31/39 | 471 | 4 | 1 | 12.1 | 88.6 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 65-14vs Northwestern State | 21/24 | 373 | 2 | 1 | 15.5 | 97.3 | |
| Wk 4 | W 66-38@ Vanderbilt | 25/34 | 398 | 6 | 0 | 11.7 | 96.4 | 6 TD passes |
| Wk 6 | W 42-6vs Utah State | 27/38 | 344 | 5 | 1 | 9.1 | 75.4 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 7 | W 42-28vs No. 7 Florida | 21/24 | 293 | 3 | 0 | 12.2 | 96.2 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 36-13@ Mississippi State | 25/32 | 327 | 4 | 0 | 10.2 | 87.5 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 9 | W 23-20vs No. 9 Auburn | 32/42 | 321 | 1 | 1 | 7.6 | 60.9 | |
| Wk 11 | W 46-41@ No. 2 Alabama | 31/39 | 393 | 3 | 0 | 10.1 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 12 | W 58-37@ Ole Miss | 32/42 | 489 | 5 | 2 | 11.6 | — | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | W 56-20vs Arkansas | 23/28 | 327 | 3 | 0 | 11.7 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 14 | W 50-7vs Texas A&M | 23/32 | 352 | 3 | 0 | 11.0 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 15 | W 37-10vs No. 4 Georgia | 28/38 | 349 | 4 | 0 | 9.2 | — | 4 TD passes |
 Bowl | W 63-28vs No. 4 Oklahoma | 29/39 | 493 | 7 | 0 | 12.6 | — | |
 Bowl | W 42-25vs No. 3 Clemson | 31/49 | 463 | 5 | 0 | 9.4 | — | |
| Total | 402/527 | 5671 | 60 | 6 | 10.8 | — |
Bowl · 2019
W 63-28
vs Oklahoma · neutral site
493 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT · 22 rush yds (5 car) · 1 TD
Dominant 35-point win at a neutral site against Oklahoma.
With J. Jefferson — 14 rec · 227 yds · 4 TD · T. Moss — 4 rec · 99 yds · 1 TD
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 508 passing plays (384 completions) against the box score's 527 attempts (402 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
11.393 of 205 QBsSack rate
6.1%107 of 205 QBsSacked on 6.1% of dropbacks (107 of 205) — and still 3 of 205 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 76.3% completion on 527 attempts · 75 deep completions averaging 34.2 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2019 baseline
No situation moves him more than 41 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2019 season · 15 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 327 | 3.1 | 11.1 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 416 | 4.4 | 11.1 | 0.6 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 389 | 4.6 | 11.6 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 365 | 3.3 | 10.2 | 0.4 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ed Orgeron
Pass share
53.4%
567 pass / 494 run
Plays / game
70.7
15 games
Scheme: Balanced.
Player standing · 2019
The trophy is in the case.
Career, closed
Gone at No. 1 overall.
How it ended
Four seasons, at Ohio State and LSU, 8,851 passing yards, the Maxwell Award (2019) — drafted at No. 1 overall by the Cincinnati Bengals.
A stat line in 38 games over four seasons.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
National awards
Maxwell, Walter Camp, Davey O'Brien +2 more
2019 season
ALL-SEC · 1ST TEAM
All-SEC 1st team (2019)
Coaching lineage · 2014–2019
2 coachesPlayed for 2 head coaches at 2 schools: Urban Meyer and Ed Orgeron.
Next stop · NFL
Cincinnati BengalsEntering 7th NFL season
Cincinnati BengalsEntering 7th NFL season
