CFB Zeitgeist Score
52
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 81st percentile.
John Neider
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
422 REC YDS · 27 REC · 2 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to West Virginia
2025UConn
2026West Virginia
WR · UCONN · FBS INDEPENDENTS
John Neider
- 2
- #80
- 6-2 | 205 lb
- Milford, CT
Heisman Heat
#3051
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
UConn
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UConn -> West Virginia | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on John Neider
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about John Neider
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
15.6
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #83 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 84th
Why it matters
#83 of 531 All FBS WRs at 15.6 yards per reception (27 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 15.6 (84th)
MODERATE · n=27 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#279 / 531
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 8 at Boston College — 69 ypr
Result W 38-23
The week the volume broke through — put up 69 yds at Boston College.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
422Rec yards
27Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
35.2Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
457.2Rec yards
29Receptions
2Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 422): needs 278/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 422): needs 578/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 27): needs 33/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 27): needs 53/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
John Neider's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UConn, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
27 71st
YDS
422 76th
YPR
15.6 80th
TD
2 75th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 59-13vs Central Connecticut | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 2 | L 20-27@ Syracuse | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 3 | L 41-44@ Delaware | 4 | 60 | 15.0 | 0 | 29 | |
| Wk 4 | W 31-25vs Ball State | 1 | 26 | 26.0 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 5 | W 20-17@ Buffalo | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 6 | W 51-10vs Florida International | 3 | 68 | 22.7 | 0 | 45 | |
| Wk 8 | W 38-23@ Boston College | 2 | 69 | 34.5 | 1 | 43 | Season-high 69 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 34-37@ Rice | 2 | 38 | 19.0 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 10 | W 38-19vs UAB | 5 | 55 | 11.0 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 11 | W 37-34vs Duke | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 13 | W 48-45@ Florida Atlantic | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | 1 | 24 | |
| Bowl | L 16-41@ Army | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Total | 27 | 422 | 16.2 | 2 | 45 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Run-leaning
2025UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 27 | #320/1110 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 422 | #270/1107 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 15.6 | #227/1106 | 80th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 9.2% | #523/1137 | 54th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 45 | #344/1105 | 69th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.0% | #296/1137 | 74th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.1% | #586/1137 | 49th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 4.9% | #497/1137 | 56th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.4% | #470/1137 | 59th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.0% | #560/1137 | 51st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.4% | #740/1137 | 35th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 2.2 | 32.2 | 14.3 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 2.3 | 37.3 | 17.7 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 2.2 | 37.1 | 16.9 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 2.2 | 31.2 | 14.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 2.1 | 30.3 | 14.2 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 2.4 | 42.0 | 18.6 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
52Mid-pack
Elite: yards / catch (80th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
John NeiderUConnNik McMillanBuffalo· 69% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 68% simSean WilsonDelaware· 66% sim
Yards / catch
Rec yards
Long catch
Rec TDs
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Noah Rogers’s 2025 season.
Noah Rogers
82%match
#2
Javon Ivory
77%
#3
Bub Means
NFL Rd 5
74%
#4
Austin Watkins
73%
#5
Jalen Wayne
73%
Matches Noah on
Yards / reception
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from Noah on
EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen McDonald’s path through Merrimack.
Jalen McDonald
99%match
#2
Ben Skowronek
NFL Rd 7
99%
#3
Rashee Rice
All-AACNFL Rd 2 · Pk 24
99%
#4
Jevin Frett
98%
#5
Noah Rogers
97%
Matches Jalen on
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Noah Rogers's sophomore season at NC State (2025).
Noah Rogers
87%match
#2
Jaron Tibbs
80%
#3
Joseph Williams
78%
#4
Emmett Mosley V
78%
#5
Jalen McMillan
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 29
74%
Matches Noah on
Yards / reception
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from Noah on
EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jim Mora
Pass share
53.5%
451 pass / 392 run
Plays / game
64.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
314 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Jim Mora
UConn
2025
Jim Mora
UConn
Played his entire career under Jim Mora.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMilford, CT
Height6'2"
Weight205 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey80
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUConn
ConferenceFBS Independents
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.