CFB Zeitgeist Score
47
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 99th percentile.
Jordan Dunbar
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
21 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Missouri State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Cornerback · Missouri State
Returning around him
- Transfer portal: +8 net (19 in / 11 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Missouri State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #129 · 2026 recruiting class #133
CB · MISSOURI STATE · CONFERENCE USA
Jordan Dunbar
- 4
- #12
- 6-0 | 195 lb
- Syracuse, NY
Heisman Heat
#10191
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8007 | No. 2785 recruit | HighSchool | Rice |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Bowling Green -> Missouri State | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Rice -> Kansas State | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Rice
Composite
0.8007
#2785 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jordan Dunbar
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Dunbar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 11g
21Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
25Tackles
1.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 21): needs 29.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 21): needs 39.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jordan Dunbar is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Missouri State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Coverage splash against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
21 61st
SOLO
15 69th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
11 99th
INT
2 87th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 13-73@ USC | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 21-20@ Marshall | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | L 10-28vs SMU | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | Season-high 4 tackles |
| Wk 5 | L 22-27vs Western Kentucky | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 22-20@ Middle Tennessee | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-17@ New Mexico State | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Wk 10 | W 28-21vs Florida International | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 11 | W 21-17@ Liberty | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wk 12 | W 38-24vs UTEP | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | L 34-41@ Kennesaw State | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 14 | L 30-42vs Louisiana Tech | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 21 | 15 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 11 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Rice4-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Run-leaning
2022Rice5-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Run-leaning
2025Missouri State7-6HC: Ryan Beard · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Missouri State | 21 | 15 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | Rice | 24 | 20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Rice | 29 | 22 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 74 | 57 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 26 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 21 | #1929/4942 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 1.0 | #2051/4972 | 59th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 2 | #114/869 | 87th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 11 | #12/2184 | 99th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 15 | #1434/4584 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 4 | #484/578 | 16th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 2.0 | #512/578 | 12th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Road6g | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Losses5g | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort
47Mid-pack
Elite: passes defended (99th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · CB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jordan DunbarMissouri StateDalton JohnsonArizona· 65% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 65% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 64% sim
Passes defended
Interceptions
Solo tackles
Tackles
Tackles for loss
Sacks
QB hurries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Ball Hawk
Reads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away.
CB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kenneth Harris’s 2021 season.
Kenneth Harris
86%match
#2
Christian Gray
76%
#3
Jaylon Jones
NFL Rd 7
55%
#4
Starling Thomas V
All-Conference USA
54%
#5
Kalen King
All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
53%
Matches Kenneth on
Interceptions
Weight
Height
Differs from Kenneth on
Tackle volume (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Michael Dansby's senior season at Arizona (2025).
Michael Dansby
86%match
NFL Rd 7
#2
Colby Dempsey
56%
#3
Khary Crump
34%
#4
Trey Amos
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 29
25%
#5
Quinyon Mitchell
1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 22
27%
Matches Michael on
Class year
PD rate
Tackle volume
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ryan Beard
Pass share
51.9%
433 pass / 401 run
Plays / game
64.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
13.0%
307 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coach2021
—
Missouri State
2022
—
Missouri State
2025era →
Ryan Beard
Missouri State
Played his entire career under Ryan Beard.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSyracuse, NY
Height6'0"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionCB
Jersey12
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMissouri State
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kansas State | CB4 | #10191 | #9920 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Rice | CB4 | #13231 | #13070 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | Rice | CB4 | #14090 | #14317 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2021 | Rice | CB4 | #13240 | #13502 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Missouri State | Conference USA | CB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Syracuse, NY |
| 2024 | Kansas State | Big 12 | CB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Syracuse, NY |
| 2023 | Rice | American Athletic | CB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Syracuse, NY |
| 2022 | Rice | Conference USA | CB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Syracuse, NY |
| 2021 | Rice | Conference USA | CB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Syracuse, NY |