cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Joseph Hagman /Baylor

Joseph Hagman

RB · Baylor · So · #37

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 1 CARRIES

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Baylor)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Baylor
DestinationTBD

RB · BAYLOR · BIG 12

Joseph Hagman

  • 2
  • #37
  • 6-1 | 225 lb
  • Westlake, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

1

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 3rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1879

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
16.02024
1.02025

-94%

Sharp dropoff (-94%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Baylor
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey37
Measurements6-1 | 225 lb
HometownWestlake, TX
Primary teamBaylor

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 2, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Baylor -> -- Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1879Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2122Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Joseph Hagman

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Joseph Hagman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Joseph Hagman's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Baylor, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1879 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1 1 rush | -- rec | #722/735 (2nd pct)
Rush TD 0 1 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 1.0 Per-rush efficiency | #714/735 (3rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
1 5th
YDS
1 2nd
YPC
1.0 3rd
TD
0 40th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 10W 30-3vs UCF111.001Season-high 1 yds
Total111.001
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Baylor8-5HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2025Baylor5-7HC: Dave Aranda · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Baylor111.00--
2024Baylor4164.00--
Career2 loaded seasons5173.40--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 1.2% 2.7% rush share | #731/738 (1st pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 1 #722/735 2nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 1.0 #714/735 3rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 1.2% #731/738 1st pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 1 #701/739 5th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 1 #726/733 1st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 2.9% #655/738 11th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 2.7% #699/738 5th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 1.8% #703/738 5th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 0.0% #696/738 6th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #622/738 16th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.0% #564/738 24th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #648/738 12th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home1g1.01.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins1g1.01.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 8+1g1.01.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

1Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
1rush
Yards / carry#350 / 349 · 0th pct
1.0rush
Long run#350 / 349 · 0th pct
1rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
1rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Joseph HagmanBaylorTae MeadowsTroy· 35% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 35% simRashod DubinionApp State· 35% sim
Rush TDs
3
Hagman
72
Meadows
72
Henderson
50
Dubinion
Rush yards
0
Hagman
74
Meadows
79
Henderson
84
Dubinion
Yards / carry
0
Hagman
29
Meadows
18
Henderson
53
Dubinion
Long run
0
Hagman
53
Meadows
43
Henderson
39
Dubinion
Carries
0
Hagman
84
Meadows
90
Henderson
87
Dubinion

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dave Aranda

Pass share

55.5%

510 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

76.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

417 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2025
Dave Aranda
Baylor

Played his entire career under Dave Aranda.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWestlake, TX
Height6'1"
Weight225 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey37

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Baylor RB2 #1879 #2122 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Baylor Big 12 RB 2 No. 37 | 6-1 | 225 lb | Westlake, TX
2024 Baylor Big 12 RB 2 No. 37 | 6-1 | 225 lb | Westlake, TX