cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / KD Daniels /Florida

KD Daniels

RB · Florida · Fr · #21

One of Usas of 2026-06-22

KD Daniels arrives at Florida with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

120RUSH YDS1RUSH TD28CARRIES

4★ · NATIONAL RECRUIT

No.203

recruiting national rank

Florida fans claim him as family first and a player second.

low confidence1 source

Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.

Read the story so far

KD Daniels arrived as a 4-star prospect, the No.203 recruit nationally. He lines up at RB for Florida.

On the field, the headline is 120 rush yds, with 1 rush td.

Florida fans claim him as family first and a player second.

The number to watch: No.203 — 4★ · national recruit.

Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • recruiting national rank
  • compiled from tagged fan discourse

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Florida → Wake Forest for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Wake Forest

2025Florida
2026Wake Forest

RB · FLORIDA · SEC

KD Daniels

  • 1
  • #21
  • 6-0 | 203 lb
  • West Point, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

12

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 24th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1086

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
77.02024
1202025

+56%

Up 56% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#203 national
CFB
College
Florida
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class1
Jersey21
Measurements6-0 | 203 lb
HometownWest Point, MS
Primary teamFlorida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 203 recruit
Composite rating 0.9211 HighSchool
Signed with Florida 2024
Origin West Point West Point, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9211 No. 203 recruit | HighSchool | Florida

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Wake Forest 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 5, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Florida -> Wake Forest 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1086Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1382Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Florida

Composite

0.9211

#203 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on KD Daniels

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

59

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 29 mentions
Confidence MEDIUM

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 29 mentions · belief +17 · "Florida State football ignites spring buzz as Mike Norvell declares, “The best m"Own fansRivals: 4 mentions · belief -17 · "https://www.tallahassee.com/story/sports/college/fsu/football/2026/01/22/fsu-foo"RivalsNational: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Own fans · n=29
  • Rivals · n=4
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about KD Daniels

Obsession score 3
Rival mentions 4
Weeks on radar 2
Peak moment Week 0 · 3 mentions
Grudging respect 0% Neutral 75% Mockery 25%

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
120Rush yards
28Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
15Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
195Rush yards
46Carries
2Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 120): needs 126/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 120): needs 176/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 120): needs 276/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.8/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

KD Daniels's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Florida, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1086 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 203 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 137 120 rush | 17 rec | #411/735 (44th pct)
Rush TD 1 28 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 4.3 Per-rush efficiency | #435/735 (41st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
28 47th
YDS
120 44th
YPC
4.3 41st
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
3 33rd
YDS
17 27th
YPR
5.7 34th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 55-0vs Long Island University492.305
Wk 7L 17-34@ Texas A&M3289.3016Season-high 28 yds
Wk 8W 23-21vs Mississippi State4153.816
Wk 10L 20-24vs Georgia6203.308
Wk 11L 7-38@ Kentucky4205.006
Wk 12L 24-34@ Ole Miss11212.0012
Wk 13L 11-31vs Tennessee294.507
Wk 14W 40-21vs Florida State471.806
Total281205.2116
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Florida8-5HC: Billy Napier · Run-leaning
2025Florida4-8HC: Billy Napier · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Florida281204.31--
2024Florida11777.01--
Career2 loaded seasons391975.12--
SeasonTeam
2025Florida3175.70--
2024Florida----------
Career2 loaded seasons3175.70--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 3 17 rec yds | #371/552 (33rd pct)
Usage 6.3% 10.9% rush share | #476/738 (36th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 120 #411/735 44th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.3 #435/735 41st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 3 #371/552 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 17 #400/548 27th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 6.3% #476/738 36th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 28 #392/739 47th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 16 #448/733 39th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 11 #395/540 27th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.7 #360/548 34th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 10.9% #455/738 38th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.5% #313/738 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.3% #458/738 38th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 6.8% #481/738 35th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 5.0% #553/738 25th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 5.0% #450/738 39th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 1.7% #433/738 41st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g12.03.10.2
Road3g20.08.80.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g10.32.60.3
Losses5g17.86.80.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-72g18.55.80.0
Weeks 8+6g13.85.10.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

12Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Yards / carry#257 / 349 · 24th pct
4.3rush
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Rec yards#303 / 338 · 11th pct
17rece
Receptions#305 / 338 · 8th pct
3rece
Long run#328 / 349 · 6th pct
16rush
Rush yards#348 / 349 · 1st pct
120rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
28rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
KD DanielsFloridaJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 50% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 50% simTae MeadowsTroy· 50% sim
Fumbles lost
49
Daniels
49
Brunson
49
Wright
49
Meadows
Yards / carry
24
Daniels
41
Brunson
33
Wright
29
Meadows
Rush TDs
13
Daniels
50
Brunson
62
Wright
72
Meadows
Rec yards
11
Daniels
3
Brunson
10
Wright
38
Meadows
Receptions
8
Daniels
2
Brunson
32
Wright
45
Meadows
Long run
6
Daniels
73
Brunson
49
Wright
53
Meadows
Rush yards
1
Daniels
80
Brunson
84
Wright
74
Meadows
Carries
0
Daniels
85
Brunson
92
Wright
84
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Billy Napier

Pass share

49.4%

372 pass / 381 run

Plays / game

62.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.1%

311 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Billy Napier
Florida
2025
Billy Napier
Florida

Played his entire career under Billy Napier.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWest Point, MS
Height6'0"
Weight203 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey21

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Florida RB1 #1086 #1382 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida SEC RB 1 No. 21 | 6-0 | 203 lb | West Point, MS
2024 Florida SEC RB 1 No. 21 | 6-0 | 203 lb | West Point, MS