cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kobie McKinzie /Oklahoma

Kobie McKinzie

LB · Oklahoma · Jr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

32 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Oklahoma → Northwestern for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Northwestern

2025Oklahoma
2026Northwestern

LB · OKLAHOMA · SEC

Kobie McKinzie

  • 3
  • #11
  • 6-2 | 236 lb
  • Lubbock, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

60

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#6486

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#164 national
CFB
College
Oklahoma
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey11
Measurements6-2 | 236 lb
HometownLubbock, TX
Primary teamOklahoma

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 164 recruit
Composite rating 0.9341 HighSchool
Signed with Oklahoma 2022
Origin Lubbock-Cooper Lubbock, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9341 No. 164 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Northwestern 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Oklahoma -> Northwestern 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#6486Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#7111Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Oklahoma

Composite

0.9341

#164 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kobie McKinzie

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kobie McKinzie

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
32Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
42Tackles
8.5Tackles for loss
1.3Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 32): needs 16/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 32): needs 22.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 1.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kobie McKinzie is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Oklahoma's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 6.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #6486 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 164 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 32 12 solo | #1250/4942 (75th pct)
TFL 6.5 Backfield disruption | #340/4972 (93rd pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
32 75th
SOLO
12 62nd
TFL
6.5 93rd
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
4 85th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 35-3vs Illinois State400.50.00
Wk 2W 24-13vs Michigan510.50.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 3W 42-3@ Temple320.00.00
Wk 4W 24-17vs Auburn321.00.00
Wk 7L 6-23@ Texas432.00.00
Wk 8W 26-7@ South Carolina311.51.00
Wk 9L 26-34vs Ole Miss200.00.00
Wk 12W 23-21@ Alabama420.00.00
Wk 13W 17-6vs Missouri300.00.00
Wk 14W 17-13vs LSU111.00.00
Total32126.51.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Oklahoma10-3HC: Brent Venables · Balanced
2024Oklahoma6-7HC: Brent Venables · Run-leaning
2025Oklahoma10-3HC: Brent Venables · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma32126.51.0------
2024Oklahoma30163.01.51----
2023Oklahoma21121.00.03----
Career3 loaded seasons834010.52.54----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 32 #1250/4942 75th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.5 #340/4972 93rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 12 #1735/4584 62nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.00.50.00.0
Road4g3.50.90.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g3.20.60.10.0
Losses2g3.01.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.80.80.00.0
Weeks 8+5g2.60.50.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

60Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (87th). Strength: tackles for loss (87th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Tackles for loss#340 / 2975 · 87th pct
6.5defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles#1250 / 2975 · 57th pct
32defe
Solo tackles#1735 / 2975 · 40th pct
12defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Kobie McKinzieOklahomaMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 71% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 70% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 70% sim
QB hurries
88
McKinzie
88
Parker
82
Davey
95
Wesloski
Tackles for loss
87
McKinzie
87
Parker
91
Davey
95
Wesloski
Sacks
63
McKinzie
80
Parker
63
Davey
74
Wesloski
Tackles
57
McKinzie
98
Parker
99
Davey
99
Wesloski
Solo tackles
40
McKinzie
96
Parker
99
Davey
99
Wesloski
Passes defended
18
McKinzie
18
Parker
18
Davey
18
Wesloski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Thumper

Downhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jack Powers’s 2021 season.

Jack Powers

81%match

Nevada · 2021

#2

Cooper McDonald

Washington · 2021

77%
#3

Gavin Potter

Arkansas State · 2023

76%
#4

John Lewis

Mississippi State · 2023

76%
#5

Marcus Ross

UL Monroe · 2025

74%

Matches Jack on

Weight
TFL rate
Tackle volume

Differs from Jack on

Sack rate (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Trey Reynolds's junior season at Utah (2025).

Trey Reynolds

84%match

Utah · 2025

#2

Kieran Davis

East Carolina · 2025

80%
#3

Brenton Cox

Florida · 2022

78%
#4

Amar Thomas

James Madison · 2025

77%
#5

Tony Rojas

Penn State · 2025

75%

Matches Trey on

TFL rate
Tackle volume
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Venables

Pass share

50.4%

429 pass / 423 run

Plays / game

65.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

345 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
2024
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
2025
Brent Venables
Oklahoma

Played his entire career under Brent Venables.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLubbock, TX
Height6'2"
Weight236 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oklahoma LB3 #6486 #7111 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Oklahoma LB3 #6842 #6816 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Oklahoma LB3 #11667 #11494 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oklahoma SEC LB 3 No. 11 | 6-2 | 236 lb | Lubbock, TX
2024 Oklahoma SEC LB 3 No. 11 | 6-2 | 236 lb | Lubbock, TX
2023 Oklahoma Big 12 LB 3 No. 11 | 6-2 | 236 lb | Lubbock, TX
2022 Oklahoma Big 12 LB 3 No. 11 | 6-2 | 236 lb | Lubbock, TX