cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Leon Neal Jr. /Washington State

Leon Neal Jr.

WR · Washington State · Sr · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

110 REC YDS · 13 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Washington State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Washington State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Washington State

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (28 in / 41 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Washington State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #95 · 2026 recruiting class #71

WR · WASHINGTON STATE · PAC-12

Leon Neal Jr.

  • 4
  • #12
  • 5-10 | 188 lb
  • Seattle, WA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

9

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 24th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2704

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Washington State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey12
Measurements5-10 | 188 lb
HometownSeattle, WA
Primary teamWashington State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Withdrawn Jan 24, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Washington State -> -- 3-star | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2704Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2570Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Leon Neal Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Leon Neal Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
110Rec yards
13Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
12.2Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
158.9Rec yards
19Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 110): needs 147.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 110): needs 222.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 13): needs 11.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 13): needs 16.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Leon Neal Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For Washington State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2704 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 13 1 rec TD | #510/1110 (54th pct)
Receiving yards 110 8.5 per catch | #608/1107 (45th pct)
Scrimmage yards 110 Total offensive yardage | #608/1107 (45th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
13 54th
YDS
110 45th
YPR
8.5 20th
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 13-10vs Idaho199.009
Wk 2W 36-13vs San Diego State2199.5118
Wk 3L 10-59@ North Texas2147.0010
Wk 4L 24-59vs Washington11212.0012
Wk 7L 21-24@ Ole Miss22412.0018Season-high 24 yds
Wk 8L 20-22@ Virginia2199.5018
Wk 13L 20-24@ James Madison144.004
Wk 14W 32-8vs Oregon State122.002
BowlW 34-21@ Utah State177.007
Total131108.0118
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Washington State5-7HC: Jake Dickert · Pass-leaning
2025Washington State7-6HC: Jimmy Rogers · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Washington State131108.51--
2023Washington State----------
Career2 loaded seasons131108.51--
SeasonTeam
2025Washington State----------
2023Washington State----7----
Career2 loaded seasons----7----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.3% 4.3% pass-game share | #924/1137 (19th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 13 #510/1110 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 110 #608/1107 45th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 8.5 #881/1106 20th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 4.3% #924/1137 19th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 18 #804/1105 27th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.0% #715/1137 37th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.6% #851/1137 25th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 2.5% #942/1137 17th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.3% #900/1137 21st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.2% #837/1137 26th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.8% #935/1137 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g1.210.58.10.2
Road5g1.613.67.90.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.29.26.90.2
Losses5g1.614.68.90.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.514.29.40.2
Weeks 8+3g1.38.35.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

9Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec yards (2nd).

Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Receptions#510 / 558 · 7th pct
13rece
Yards / catch#523 / 558 · 6th pct
8.5rece
Long catch#543 / 558 · 3rd pct
18rece
Rec yards#546 / 558 · 2nd pct
110rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Leon Neal Jr.Washington StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 51% simAaron TurnerRice· 45% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 44% sim
Rec TDs
24
Jr.
24
III
68
Turner
7
Gibson
Receptions
7
Jr.
92
III
92
Turner
92
Gibson
Yards / catch
6
Jr.
9
III
1
Turner
15
Gibson
Long catch
3
Jr.
16
III
65
Turner
56
Gibson
Rec yards
2
Jr.
70
III
48
Turner
74
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jordan Smart’s 2023 season.

Jordan Smart

87%match

North Texas · 2023

#2

Jaylin Lane

Middle Tennessee · 2020

NFL Rd 4
84%
#3

Jeremiah Knight

UL Monroe · 2022

86%
#4

Jordan Brown

Texas Tech · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 7
84%
#5

Jerjuan Newton

Toledo · 2021

84%

Matches Jordan on

Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jeremiah Knight's junior season at UL Monroe (2022).

Jeremiah Knight

87%match

UL Monroe · 2022

#2

Jaden Nixon

Oklahoma State · 2023

All-MAC
82%
#3

Kaden Wetjen

Iowa · 2025

Consensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 4
82%
#4

Jordan Brown

Texas Tech · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 7
81%
#5

Donny Navarro

Northwestern · 2022

80%

Matches Jeremiah on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jimmy Rogers

Pass share

48.7%

407 pass / 429 run

Plays / game

64.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

327 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jake Dickert
Washington State
2025
Jimmy Rogers
Washington State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jake Dickert → Jimmy Rogers. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSeattle, WA
Height5'10"
Weight188 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Washington State WR4 #2704 #2570 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12
2023 Washington State WR4 #3698 #3652 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Washington State WR4 #3500 #3405 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Washington State WR4 #4154 #4273 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Washington State Pac-12 WR 4 No. 12 | 5-10 | 188 lb | Seattle, WA
2024 Washington State Pac-12 WR 4 No. 12 | 5-10 | 188 lb | Seattle, WA
2023 Washington State Pac-12 WR 4 No. 12 | 5-10 | 188 lb | Seattle, WA
2022 Washington State Pac-12 WR 4 No. 12 | 5-10 | 188 lb | Seattle, WA
2021 Washington State Pac-12 WR 4 No. 12 | 5-10 | 188 lb | Seattle, WA