cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Maraad Watson /Texas

Maraad Watson

DL · Texas · So · #98

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

24 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Texas

Returning around him

  • 28% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 6 Texas players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (22 in / 28 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas · Last season: 10-3 (AP #14) · Talent rank #4 · 2026 recruiting class #1

DL · TEXAS · SEC

Maraad Watson

  • 2
  • #98
  • 6-3 | 313 lb
  • Irvington, NJ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10244

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1212 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey98
Measurements6-3 | 313 lb
HometownIrvington, NJ
Primary teamTexas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1212 recruit
Composite rating 0.8600 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2024
Origin Irvington Irvington, NJ, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8600 No. 1212 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Texas 2025
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 22, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Syracuse -> Texas 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10244Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10570Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8600

#1212 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Maraad Watson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Maraad Watson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
24Tackles
2Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
31Tackles
2.6Tackles for loss
2.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 24): needs 18.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 24): needs 25.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 1.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Maraad Watson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Texas's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10244 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 24 6 solo | #1737/4942 (65th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
24 65th
SOLO
6 43rd
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
5 90th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 7-14@ Ohio State100.00.00
Wk 2W 38-7vs San José State411.51.50Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 3W 27-10vs UTEP400.00.00
Wk 4W 55-0vs Sam Houston110.00.00
Wk 6L 21-29@ Florida400.00.00
Wk 7W 23-6vs Oklahoma210.00.00
Wk 9W 45-38@ Mississippi State400.50.50
Wk 13W 52-37vs Arkansas100.00.00
Wk 14W 27-17vs Texas A&M110.00.00
BowlW 41-27vs Michigan220.00.00
Total2462.02.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Syracuse10-3HC: Fran Brown · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2025Texas10-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Texas2462.02.0------
2024Syracuse31151.51.01----
Career2 loaded seasons55213.53.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 24 #1737/4942 65th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 6 #2592/4584 43rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.10.20.20.0
Road3g3.00.20.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g2.40.20.20.0
Losses2g2.50.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.60.20.20.0
Weeks 8+3g2.00.20.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

52Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (92nd). Concern: solo tackles (11th).

QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
Tackles#1737 / 2975 · 40th pct
24defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2560 / 2975 · 12th pct
6defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Maraad WatsonTexasMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 55% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 53% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 53% sim
QB hurries
92
Watson
88
Parker
82
Davey
95
Wesloski
Sacks
80
Watson
80
Parker
63
Davey
74
Wesloski
Tackles for loss
47
Watson
87
Parker
91
Davey
95
Wesloski
Tackles
40
Watson
98
Parker
99
Davey
99
Wesloski
Passes defended
18
Watson
18
Parker
18
Davey
18
Wesloski
Solo tackles
12
Watson
96
Parker
99
Davey
99
Wesloski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Nose Anchor

Two-gap space-eater who occupies blockers and frees the linebackers.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to R.J. Jackson’s 2025 season.

R.J. Jackson

82%match

UCF · 2025

#2

Peter Woods

Clemson · 2025

All-ACCNFL Rd 1 · Pk 29
82%
#3

Mason Graham

Michigan · 2022

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 5
82%
#4

Anthony Britton

Virginia · 2024

81%
#5

Henry Chibueze

Maryland · 2022

81%

Matches R.J. on

Height
Weight
TFL rate

Differs from R.J. on

Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Trevon McAlpine's sophomore season at Texas Tech (2023).

Trevon McAlpine

81%match

Texas Tech · 2023

#2

Marcus Calvin

Kansas · 2025

81%
#3

Chidera Otutu

UTSA · 2025

79%
#4

Brendan Bett

Florida · 2025

79%
#5

R.J. Jackson

Tulsa · 2024

79%

Matches Trevon on

Height
TFL rate
Sack rate

Differs from Trevon on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Steve Sarkisian

Pass share

50.2%

419 pass / 415 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2025
Steve Sarkisian
Texas

Played his entire career under Steve Sarkisian.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownIrvington, NJ
Height6'3"
Weight313 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey98

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Syracuse DL2 #10244 #10570 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas SEC DL 2 No. 98 | 6-3 | 313 lb | Irvington, NJ
2024 Syracuse ACC DL 2 No. 98 | 6-3 | 313 lb | Irvington, NJ