Michael Penix Jr.

Former quarterback at Washington. 2023: 4,903 passing yards, 36 TD, 11 INT.

QB · Washington · Sr. · #9

6′3″ · 213 lb · Tampa, FL

CFB Index 94 · #3 of 140 QBsHigh confidenceAll-AmericanAtlanta — drafted 2024, Rd 1, Pick 8, #8 overall

Recruiting

3★

PRO recruit

No. 548 nationally · Signed with Indiana

Statement game450 yds · 5 TDvs Boise State (FBS) · W 56-19

Top 1% passing yards game since 2021.

Beer: opened Big Penix Energy shirt: on Hype: off the charts Let’s go Dawgs!r/CFB game thread · ▲ 10His career numbers, season by season

The story

Former quarterback at Washington. 2023: 4,903 passing yards, 36 TD, 11 INT.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Indiana in 2018.
Transferred from Indiana to Washington in 2022.
Drafted round 1 by the Atlanta in 2024.

His career, year by year

Career, closed

Gone at #8 overall.

How it ended

Six seasons at Washington, 13,649 passing yards, an All-American season (2023) — drafted at #8 overall by Atlanta.

His career

Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.

2018

Signed with Indiana3-star out of Tampa Bay Tech

20206 games

The role got bigger.

All-Big Tensecond

202213 games

The role got bigger.

Entered the portal
All-Pac-12Second Team

202315 games

All-Americafirst
Maxwellwinner
All-Pac-12Second Team

2024

Drafted by Atlantaround 1, pick 8

Career arc

Recruit

★★★

#548 national

CFB

College

2 teams

2018–2023

NFL

NFL Draft

R1 · #8

Atlanta · 2024

Trophy case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

5 honors · 2 categories

🥇

ALL-AMERICA

Named All-American (2023)

1 selectors honored him

🎖

ALL-PAC-12 · 2ND TEAM

All-Pac-12 2nd team (2023)

Coaching lineage · 2018–2023

3 coaches

2018–2019

Chris Petersen

Washington

2020–2021

Jimmy Lake

Washington

era →

2022–2023

Kalen DeBoer

Washington

era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Chris Petersen, Jimmy Lake, and Kalen DeBoer. Multi-era developmental context.

Where He Ended Up · NFL

AtlantaEntering 3rd NFL season

#8Rd 1 · Pick 8

AtlantaEntering 3rd NFL season

View college career stats ↓

2023 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2018Indiana5-7HC: Tom Allen · Balanced, fast tempo

2019Indiana8-5HC: Tom Allen · Balanced

2020Indiana6-2HC: Tom Allen · Balanced, fast tempo

2021Indiana2-10HC: Tom Allen · Pass-heavy, slow tempo

2022Washington11-2HC: Kalen DeBoer · Pass-leaning

2023Washington14-1HC: Kalen DeBoer · Pass-leaning

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

94All-America level #3 of 140?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: success rate (96th percentile). Strength: sack rate (95th percentile). Concern: interceptions (9th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Success rate#7 / 177 · 96th pct

53.0%

Sack rate#9 / 177 · 95th pct

2.2%

Explosive rate#16 / 177 · 91st pct

14.6%

EPA / dropback#18 / 177 · 90th pct

0.48

Interception rate#122 / 177 · 31st pct

0.9%

Box-score rates (8)

Pass yards#1 / 179 · 100th pct

4903

Pass TDs#3 / 179 · 99th pct

Yards / att#21 / 179 · 88th pct

8.8

Completion %#40 / 179 · 78th pct

65.3%

Fumbles lost#24 / 167 · 71st pct

Rush TDs#72 / 179 · 55th pct

Rush yards#140 / 179 · 22nd pct

Interceptions#159 / 179 · 9th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

91st → 90th percentile

Success rate

93rd → 96th percentile

Explosive rate

57th → 91st percentile

Sack rate

100th → 95th percentile

Interception rate

84th → 31st percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

351/538 (65.2%) · 36 TD · 11 INT

538 of 556 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

8.9020 of 212 QBs

Sack rate

1.9%17 of 212 QBs

Rarely sacked (17 of 212 QBs) and still 20 of 212 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

46%of completions

161 comp5.1 yds avg8 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

34%of completions

118 comp13.9 yds avg6 TD

Deep

20+ yds

21%of completions

72 comp32.2 yds avg15 TD

Overall 65.2% completion on 538 attempts · 72 deep completions averaging 32.2 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline

No situation moves him more than 42 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-15 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 5/213 (2.3%) · league sack rate 4.9% · ~our read

Down 2

-5 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 1/130 (0.8%) · league sack rate 5.2% · ~our read

Down 3+

+42 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 5/94 (5.3%) · league sack rate 9.1% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2023 season · 15 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home9g	336	2.6	9.2	0.8
Road6g	313	2.2	8.6	0.7

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-78g	373	2.9	10.2	0.6
Weeks 8+7g	274	1.9	7.5	0.9

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Jedd Fisch

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2023

All-American

Named to an All-America team by a recognized selector.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

94 · #3 of 140 QBs

Three-star recruit. Now #3 at the position.

Selector Grid · 2023

AP—

FWAA—

AFCA—

WCFF1st

SN—

SI—

Career stats

Season	Team
2023	Washington	363	556	65.3%	4,903	8.8	36	11	156.8	87	--	--
2022	Washington	362	554	65.3%	4,641	8.4	31	8	151.3	82	--	--
2021	Indiana	87	162	53.7%	939	5.8	4	7	101.9	41	--	--
2020	Indiana	123	219	56.2%	1,649	7.5	14	4	136.9	48	--	--
2019	Indiana	110	160	68.8%	1,394	8.7	10	4	157.6	--	--	--
2018	Indiana	13	24	54.2%	123	5.1	0	0	97.2	--	--	--
Career		1,058	1,675	63.2%	13,649	8.1	95	34	146.3	74	--	--

Season	Team
2023	Washington	35	8	0.2	3	--
2022	Washington	35	92	2.6	4	--
2021	Indiana	17	-24	-1.4	2	--
2020	Indiana	18	25	1.4	2	--
2019	Indiana	22	119	5.4	2	--
2018	Indiana	5	37	7.4	0	--
Career		132	257	1.9	13	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 7 · 2023

W 36–33

vs Oregon

302 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT · QBR 89.2 · -5 rush yds (1 car)

Edged out Oregon at home in a shootout.

With G. Bernard — 14 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 97.9 · J. McCallister — 43 AVG · 50 LONG · 3 NO

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 9 · Stanford · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +6.85Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 92 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) (Grady Gross KICK)
Week 1 · Texas · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +5.12Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 77 yds to the TEX 2 for a 1ST down
Week 9 · Stanford · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA -4.40Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 7 yds Rome Odunze fumbled, recovered by STAN Mitch Leigber [SG] PENIX JR., Michael pass short to the left complete for 7 yards to ODUNZE, Rome caught at the STA14, ODUNZE, Rome fumbled at STA10 forced by TAFITI, Tevarua, recovered by STA LEIGBER, Mitch at the STA12, returned 5 yards to the STA17 (CUEVAS, Josh;TAFITI, Tevarua), clock 11:37.
Week 10 · USC · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA -4.37Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted, touchback. Christian Roland-Wallace return for no gain
Week 10 · USC · 3&18 · Q2 · EPA +4.29Devin Culp 22 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)
Week 11 · Utah · 2&15 · Q2 · EPA +4.10Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 34 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
Week 11 · Utah · 3&7 · Q3 · EPA +4.04Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 44 yds to the UTAH 21 for a 1ST down Utah Penalty, Defensive Holding (Levani Damuni) declined for a 1ST down
Week 7 · Oregon · 3&3 · Q1 · EPA +3.80Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 43 yds to the ORE 26 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Washington State · 3&1 · Q2 · EPA +3.80Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 40 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
Week 5 · Arizona · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.59Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 23 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2023 season · 15 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 56-19vs Boise State	29/40	450	5	0	11.3	92.7	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 2	W 43-10vs Tulsa	28/38	409	3	1	10.8	90.4	3 TD passes
Wk 3	W 41-7@ Michigan State	27/35	473	4	0	13.5	98.2	Season-high 473 yds
Wk 4	W 59-32vs California	19/25	304	4	1	12.2	92.9	4 TD passes
Wk 5	W 31-24@ Arizona	30/40	363	0	0	9.1	84.1
Wk 7	W 36-33vs Oregon	22/37	302	4	1	8.2	89.2	4 TD passes
Wk 8	W 15-7vs Arizona State	27/42	275	0	2	6.5	41.4
Wk 9	W 42-33@ Stanford	21/38	369	4	1	9.7	54.4	4 TD passes
Wk 10	W 52-42@ USC	22/30	256	2	1	8.5	90.5
Wk 11	W 35-28vs Utah	24/42	332	2	0	7.9	88.6	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 12	W 22-20@ Oregon State	13/28	162	2	0	5.8	85.6
Wk 13	W 24-21vs Washington State	18/33	204	2	1	6.2	53.1
Wk 14	W 34-31vs Oregon	27/39	319	1	1	8.2	87.8
Bowl	W 37-31vs Texas	29/38	430	2	0	11.3	97.7
Bowl	L 13-34@ Michigan	27/51	255	1	2	5.0	—
Total		363/556	4903	36	11	8.9	81.9

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Michael Penix Jr.

2018

20206 games

202213 games

202315 games

2024

2023 snapshot

Passing profile

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

All-American

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Pocket Surgeon

Players who play like Michael Penix Jr.

Heisman trajectory

#9