CFB Zeitgeist Score
78
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 98th percentile.
OJ Arnold
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,037 RUSH YDS · 5 RUSH TD · 144 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Georgia Southern for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Georgia Southern
Returning around him
- 92% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -1 net (17 in / 18 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Georgia Southern · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #93 · 2026 recruiting class #80
RB · GEORGIA SOUTHERN · SUN BELT
OJ Arnold
- 4
- #22
- 5-9 | 195 lb
- Quitman, GA
Heisman Heat
#2988
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2022
Georgia Southern · RB
—
2023
Georgia Southern · RB
—
★
2025
Georgia Southern · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+304%
Up 304% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Georgia Southern
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (1037).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on OJ Arnold
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about OJ Arnold
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
1,037Rush yards
144Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
86.4Rush yards
12Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
1,123Rush yards
156Carries
5Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,037.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,037.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 1,037): needs 463/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 10/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 15/game over remaining 1.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. OJ Arnold already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
144 90th
YDS
1,037 96th
YPC
7.2 93rd
TD
5 85th
Receiving
REC
21 88th
YDS
212 92nd
YPR
10.1 78th
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-42@ Fresno State | 9 | 41 | 4.6 | 0 | 11 | 152-yard day |
| Wk 2 | L 20-59@ USC | 8 | 45 | 5.6 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 3 | W 41-34vs Jacksonville State | 16 | 128 | 8.0 | 2 | 41 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-17vs Maine | 13 | 85 | 6.5 | 1 | 22 | |
| Wk 5 | L 10-35@ James Madison | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 7 | L 35-38vs Southern Miss | 13 | 56 | 4.3 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 8 | W 41-24vs Georgia State | 12 | 74 | 6.2 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 9 | L 24-34@ Arkansas State | 14 | 73 | 5.2 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 11 | W 25-23@ App State | 20 | 105 | 5.3 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 12 | W 45-40vs Coastal Carolina | 21 | 267 | 12.7 | 2 | 62 | Season-high 267 yds |
| Wk 13 | L 10-45vs Old Dominion | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 2 | |
| Bowl | W 29-10@ App State | 11 | 152 | 13.8 | 0 | 58 | |
| Total | 144 | 1037 | 6.2 | 5 | 62 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Georgia Southern6-7HC: Clay Helton · Pass-heavy, fast tempo
2023Georgia Southern6-7HC: Clay Helton · Pass-leaning
2025Georgia Southern7-6HC: Clay Helton · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Southern | 144 | 1,037 | 7.2 | 5 | -- |
| 2023 | Georgia Southern | 75 | 411 | 5.5 | 4 | -- |
| 2022 | Georgia Southern | 45 | 257 | 5.7 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 264 | 1,705 | 6.5 | 10 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Southern | 21 | 212 | 10.1 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Georgia Southern | 11 | 124 | 11.3 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Georgia Southern | 10 | 58 | 5.8 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 42 | 394 | 9.4 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 1,037 | #33/735 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #115/739 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 7.2 | #49/735 | 93rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 21 | #68/552 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 212 | #47/548 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.23 | #35/362 | 91st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 128 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 19.8% | #96/738 | 87th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 144 | #75/739 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 62 | #99/733 | 87th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 41 | #66/540 | 88th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.1 | #119/548 | 78th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 35.9% | #83/738 | 89th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 25.2% | #80/738 | 89th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 23.1% | #93/738 | 88th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 17.2% | #136/738 | 82nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 12.3% | #124/738 | 83rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.2% | #138/738 | 81st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.7% | #132/738 | 82nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 102 | 6.3 | 0.8 |
| Road6g | 71.0 | 6.2 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 135 | 8.8 | 0.8 |
| Losses6g | 37.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 73.9 | 6.5 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 104 | 5.9 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
78All-Conference
Elite: yards / carry (97th). Strength: rush yards (90th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.23High (p75–p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
OJ ArnoldGeorgia SouthernMichael WashingtonArkansas· 91% simDaylan SmothersNC State· 90% simBo JacksonOhio State· 86% sim
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Rec yards
Receptions
Carries
Long run
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Speed Merchant
Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kelley Joiner Jr.’s 2021 season.
Kelley Joiner Jr.
74%match
#2
Ayo Adeyi
All-AAC
68%
#3
T.J. Pledger
63%
#4
Robert Henry
65%
#5
Jarquez Hunter
NFL Rd 4
65%
Matches Kelley on
Receiving share
Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Differs from Kelley on
Yards / reception (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Elijah Mitchell’s path through Louisiana.
Elijah Mitchell
91%match
All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 6
#2
Jamarion Wilcox
90%
#3
Raleek Brown
All-Big 12
88%
#4
De'Montre Tuggle
All-MAC
88%
#5
Keilan Robinson
86%
Matches Elijah on
Yards per carry
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Brashard Smith's senior season at SMU (2024).
Brashard Smith
70%match
All-ACCNFL Rd 7
#2
Raleek Brown
All-Big 12
65%
#3
Evan Pryor
63%
#4
Jarquez Hunter
All-SECNFL Rd 4
63%
#5
Ulysses Bentley IV
All-AAC
63%
Matches Brashard on
Height
EPA / carry (adj)
Yards / reception
Differs from Brashard on
Rush TD rate (lower)
Yards / carry (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Clay Helton
Pass share
48.9%
429 pass / 448 run
Plays / game
67.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.6%
325 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Clay Helton
Georgia Southern
2023
Clay Helton
Georgia Southern
2025
Clay Helton
Georgia Southern
Played his entire career under Clay Helton.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownQuitman, GA
Height5'9"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey22
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamGeorgia Southern
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Georgia Southern | RB4 | #2988 | #2988 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Georgia Southern | RB4 | #1022 | #1409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | Georgia Southern | RB4 | #1568 | #1924 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Quitman, GA |
| 2024 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Quitman, GA |
| 2023 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Quitman, GA |
| 2022 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 22 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Quitman, GA |