Lincoln Pare is a running back who has not played this season; the last season with a stat line was 2025, at Texas State.
Pare does a little of everything without one standout trait. The five seasons span two programs and four head coaches: Blake Anderson, Butch Jones, Jake Spavital and G.J. Kinne. The first one came in 2025: All-Sun Belt. On tape: 167 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards against Eastern Michigan, Week 1, 2025.
Play style
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
Boom vs consistent · carry-yardage shape
Steady, not spectacular
Just 20.1% of his season rushing yards came on his 5 best carries — remarkably even — and he's stuffed on 12.2% of his carries. 19 carries for 35 yds vs Marshall; 12 for 167 vs Eastern Michigan.
Counted from the play-by-play, so a carry or two can differ from the box score.
Closer · Q4-with-lead carry share
The closer
39.6% of carries overall (216/545) → 31.5% of Q4-with-lead carries (29/92) — 62.1% of those in competitive (≤16-pt) games.
Counted from the play-by-play, so a carry or two can differ from the box score.
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
22 of 28 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (78.6%). 11 of the team's 21 inside-the-5 carries (52.4%).
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
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| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | 211 | 1,129 | 5.4 | 12 | 63 |
| 2024 | Texas State | 94 | 547 | 5.8 | 8 | 73 |
| 2022 | Texas State | 172 | 760 | 4.4 | 5 | 64 |
| 2021 | Arkansas State | 107 | 448 | 4.2 | 1 | 18 |
| 2020 | Arkansas State | 72 | 450 | 6.2 | 1 | 58 |
| Career | 656 | 3,334 | 5.1 | 27 | 73 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | 37 | 311 | 8.4 | 2 | 32 |
| 2024 | Texas State | 12 | 134 | 11.2 | 0 | 22 |
| 2022 | Texas State | 29 | 229 | 7.9 | 1 | 64 |
| 2021 | Arkansas State | 27 | 283 | 10.5 | 2 | 83 |
| 2020 | Arkansas State | 12 | 85 | 7.1 | 2 | 22 |
| Career | 117 | 1,042 | 8.9 | 7 | 83 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
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| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-27vs Eastern Michigan | 12 | 167 | 13.9 | 1 | 57 | 167-yard day |
| Wk 2 | W 43-36@ UTSA | 21 | 71 | 3.4 | 1 | 28 | |
| Wk 3 | L 15-34@ Arizona State | 13 | 61 | 4.7 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 4 | W 35-3vs Nicholls | 15 | 64 | 4.3 | 1 | 9 | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-31@ Arkansas State | 21 | 105 | 5.0 | 2 | 18 | |
| Wk 7 | L 41-48vs Troy | 22 | 113 | 5.1 | 3 | 62 | 3 rushing TDs |
| Wk 8 | L 37-40@ Marshall | 14 | 27 | 1.9 | 1 | 4 | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-52vs James Madison | 12 | 40 | 3.3 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 11 | L 39-42@ Louisiana | 10 | 89 | 8.9 | 1 | 54 | |
| Wk 12 | W 41-14@ Southern Miss | 21 | 118 | 5.6 | 1 | 20 | |
| Wk 13 | W 31-14vs UL Monroe | 19 | 76 | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 14 | W 49-26vs South Alabama | 20 | 92 | 4.6 | 0 | 12 | |
 Bowl | W 41-10vs Rice | 11 | 106 | 9.6 | 1 | 63 | |
| Total | 211 | 1129 | 5.4 | 12 | 63 |
Week 7 · 2025
L 41-48
vs Troy
113 rush yds (22 car) · 3 TD
With B. Jackson — 248 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 91.4 · 77 rush yds (18 car) · 1 TD · G. Burrell — 136 rush yds (13 car) · 1 TD
The plays that mattered most
Rush profile · Shape, efficiency, and ball security
How he gets his yards, and how often it works
Success rate
48%202 carriesStuffed
0 or fewer ydsGrind
1–3 ydsChunk
4–9 ydsExplosive
10+ yds5.4 yds/carry on 211 carries · 9% explosive (10+ yds) · 48% success rate.
Receiver profile · Targets, catch rate, and throw depth
How often he's targeted, and how well it works
Targets
3914% of team targetsCatch rate
92%36 of 39 targetsBehind LOS · Negative air yds
Short · 0–9 air yds
92% catch rate on 39 targets · 14% of the team's targets.
Situational · Carry shape (PBP, full season)
Yardage DNA
Stuffed (≤0)
Grind (1–3)
Chunk (4–9)
Explosive (10+)
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 92.0 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| Road6g | 78.5 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 98.1 | 6.6 | 1.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 73.7 | 4.7 | 0.5 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
G.J. Kinne
Pass share
39.5%
358 pass / 549 run
Plays / game
69.8
13 games
Team sack rate
7.1%
350 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Player standing · 2025
Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.
Recognition
Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score
Two-star recruit. Now #18 at the position.
2026 outlook
In the mix for All-Pac-12
Based on 2025: #3 of 36 Sun Belt RBs — his program moves to the Pac-12 for 2026
A base rate for the rank, not a forecast of this player: 49% of returning players who ranked #1–3 at their position in their conference made an all-conference team the next season (95% confidence interval 43–54%). It was measured on players who stayed in the same conference and is not adjusted for the move to the Pac-12.
The No. 3,832 recruit in the country is carrying the ball in the Sun Belt as a senior.
Recruited as a two-star, and honored since.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-SUN BELT · 2ND TEAM
All-Sun Belt 2nd team (2025)
Coaching lineage · 2020–2025
4 coachesPlayed for 4 head coaches at 2 schools: Blake Anderson, Butch Jones, Jake Spavital and G.J. Kinne.
