cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Raylen Sharpe /Arkansas

Raylen Sharpe

WR · Arkansas · Sr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

592 REC YDS · 41 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arkansas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arkansas for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Arkansas

Returning around him

  • 36% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 4 Arkansas players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (41 in / 43 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #23 · 2026 recruiting class #32

WR · ARKANSAS · SEC

Raylen Sharpe

  • 4
  • #6
  • 5-9 | 165 lb
  • Allen, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 72nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4056

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1800 national
CFB
College
Arkansas
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements5-9 | 165 lb
HometownAllen, TX
Primary teamArkansas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1800 recruit
Composite rating 0.8315 HighSchool
Signed with Houston 2020
Origin Allen Allen, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8315 No. 1800 recruit | HighSchool | Houston

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Arkansas 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 15, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Fresno State -> Arkansas 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate
2024 Missouri State -> Fresno State 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2022 Houston -> -- 2-star | 0.7900 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4056Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4004Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Houston

Composite

0.8315

#1800 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Raylen Sharpe

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Raylen Sharpe

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.4

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #129 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 76th

Why it matters

#129 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.4 yards per reception (41 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.4 (76th)

HIGH · n=41 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#150 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 10 vs Mississippi State — 84 ypr

Result L 35-38

The week the volume broke through — put up 84 yds vs Mississippi State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
592Rec yards
41Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
49.3Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
641.3Rec yards
44Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 592): needs 108/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 592): needs 408/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 41): needs 19/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 41): needs 39/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Raylen Sharpe's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Arkansas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4056 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 3 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 41 3 rec TD | #178/1110 (84th pct)
Receiving yards 592 14.4 per catch | #155/1107 (86th pct)
Scrimmage yards 646 Total offensive yardage | #155/1107 (86th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
41 84th
YDS
592 86th
YPR
14.4 72nd
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
6 82nd
YDS
54 87th
YPC
9.0 84th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 52-7vs Alabama A&M34113.7135
Wk 2W 56-14vs Arkansas State24321.5137
Wk 3L 35-41@ Ole Miss22311.5018
Wk 4L 31-32@ Memphis22412.0017
Wk 5L 13-56vs Notre Dame5428.4020
Wk 7L 31-34@ Tennessee77610.9030
Wk 8L 42-45vs Texas A&M23115.5018
Wk 9L 24-33vs Auburn26331.5158
Wk 10L 35-38vs Mississippi State58416.8038Season-high 84 yds
Wk 12L 22-23@ LSU46516.3024
Wk 13L 37-52@ Texas46516.3021
Wk 14L 17-31vs Missouri33511.7022
Total4159215.5358
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Arkansas2-10HC: Sam Pittman · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas4159214.43--
Career1 loaded season4159214.43--
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas654------
Career1 loaded season654------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.5% 15.1% pass-game share | #240/1137 (79th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 41 #178/1110 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 592 #155/1107 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.4 #309/1106 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 15.1% #240/1137 79th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 54 #53/397 87th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 41 #19/346 95th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 9.0 #64/393 84th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 6 #76/407 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 58 #193/1105 83rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 12.5% #114/1137 90th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.9% #135/1137 88th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.7% #86/1137 93rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.5% #178/1137 84th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.6% #251/1137 78th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.4% #375/1137 67th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.7% #122/1137 89th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g3.148.417.00.4
Road5g3.850.613.40.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g2.542.017.61.0
Losses10g3.650.815.10.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.541.513.00.3
Weeks 8+6g3.357.218.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

64Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (83rd).

Rush yards#47 / 287 · 83rd pct
54rush
Rec yards#155 / 558 · 72nd pct
592rece
Yards / catch#167 / 558 · 70th pct
14.4rece
Long catch#173 / 558 · 69th pct
58rece
Receptions#178 / 558 · 68th pct
41rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Raylen SharpeArkansasAnthony Evans IIIMississippi State· 85% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 84% simSean WilsonDelaware· 84% sim
Rush yards
83
Sharpe
80
III
Rec yards
72
Sharpe
90
III
96
McMillan
91
Wilson
Yards / catch
70
Sharpe
44
III
84
McMillan
49
Wilson
Long catch
69
Sharpe
68
III
65
McMillan
58
Wilson
Receptions
68
Sharpe
95
III
90
McMillan
94
Wilson
Rec TDs
57
Sharpe
68
III
57
McMillan
57
Wilson
Rush TDs
39
Sharpe
39
III
Fumbles lost
36
Sharpe
36
III
36
Wilson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Malik Rutherford’s 2025 season.

Malik Rutherford

83%match

Georgia Tech · 2025

#2

Phillip Brooks III

Kansas State · 2022

78%
#3

Dayton Wade

Ole Miss · 2023

78%
#4

Elijah Metcalf

Middle Tennessee · 2023

All-Conference USA
77%
#5

Dalen Cobb

Georgia Southern · 2023

76%

Matches Malik on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Weight

Differs from Malik on

Recruiting rating (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Derick Eugene’s path through Long Island University.

Derick Eugene

98%match

Long Island University · 2021

#2

Elijah Steward

Lafayette · 2025

98%
#3

Max Tomczak

Youngstown State · 2025

92%
#4

Zack Dobson

Middle Tennessee · 2023

90%
#5

Jaden Barnes

App State · 2025

90%

Matches Derick on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Devin Maddox's junior season at Toledo (2022).

Devin Maddox

83%match

Toledo · 2022

#2

Dante Wright

Temple · 2023

All-AAC
83%
#3

Malik Rutherford

Georgia Tech · 2023

82%
#4

DT Sheffield

Rutgers · 2025

All-AAC
80%
#5

Cam Ross

UConn · 2023

78%

Matches Devin on

Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sam Pittman

Pass share

48.8%

381 pass / 400 run

Plays / game

65.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.3%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Sam Pittman
Arkansas

Played his entire career under Sam Pittman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAllen, TX
Height5'9"
Weight165 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Fresno State WR4 #4056 #4004 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Houston WR4 #3937 #3661 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arkansas SEC WR 4 No. 6 | 5-9 | 165 lb | Allen, TX
2024 Fresno State Mountain West WR 4 No. 6 | 5-9 | 165 lb | Allen, TX
2021 Houston American Athletic WR 4 No. 6 | 5-9 | 165 lb | Allen, TX