CFB Zeitgeist Score
64
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 72nd percentile.
Raylen Sharpe
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
592 REC YDS · 41 REC · 3 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Arkansas for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Arkansas
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Arkansas · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #23 · 2026 recruiting class #32
WR · ARKANSAS · SEC
CFB Zeitgeist Score
64
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 72nd percentile.
Heisman Heat
#4056
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterStarter. A locked-in starting role.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8315 | No. 1800 recruit | HighSchool | Houston |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Fresno State -> Arkansas | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Missouri State -> Fresno State | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
| 2022 | Houston -> -- | 2-star | 0.7900 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Houston
Composite
0.8315
#1800 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
14.4
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#129 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.4 yards per reception (41 catches).
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=41 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 10 vs Mississippi State — 84 ypr
Result L 35-38
The week the volume broke through — put up 84 yds vs Mississippi State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 592): needs 108/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 592): needs 408/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 41): needs 19/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 41): needs 39/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Raylen Sharpe's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Arkansas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-7vs Alabama A&M | 3 | 41 | 13.7 | 1 | 35 | |
| Wk 2 | W 56-14vs Arkansas State | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 1 | 37 | |
| Wk 3 | L 35-41@ Ole Miss | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 4 | L 31-32@ Memphis | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 5 | L 13-56vs Notre Dame | 5 | 42 | 8.4 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 7 | L 31-34@ Tennessee | 7 | 76 | 10.9 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 8 | L 42-45vs Texas A&M | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 9 | L 24-33vs Auburn | 2 | 63 | 31.5 | 1 | 58 | |
| Wk 10 | L 35-38vs Mississippi State | 5 | 84 | 16.8 | 0 | 38 | Season-high 84 yds |
| Wk 12 | L 22-23@ LSU | 4 | 65 | 16.3 | 0 | 24 | |
| Wk 13 | L 37-52@ Texas | 4 | 65 | 16.3 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 14 | L 17-31vs Missouri | 3 | 35 | 11.7 | 0 | 22 | |
| Total | 41 | 592 | 15.5 | 3 | 58 |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 41 | #178/1110 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 592 | #155/1107 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #206/1111 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.4 | #309/1106 | 72nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 15.1% | #240/1137 | 79th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 54 | #53/397 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 41 | #19/346 | 95th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 9.0 | #64/393 | 84th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 6 | #76/407 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 58 | #193/1105 | 83rd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 12.5% | #114/1137 | 90th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 11.9% | #135/1137 | 88th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.7% | #86/1137 | 93rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 8.5% | #178/1137 | 84th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.6% | #251/1137 | 78th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.4% | #375/1137 | 67th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 1.7% | #122/1137 | 89th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 3.1 | 48.4 | 17.0 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 3.8 | 50.6 | 13.4 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 2.5 | 42.0 | 17.6 | 1.0 |
| Losses10g | 3.6 | 50.8 | 15.1 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 3.5 | 41.5 | 13.0 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 3.3 | 57.2 | 18.0 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Elite: rush yards (83rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Malik Rutherford’s 2025 season.
Malik Rutherford
Phillip Brooks III
Dayton Wade
Elijah Metcalf
Dalen Cobb
Matches Malik on
Differs from Malik on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Derick Eugene’s path through Long Island University.
Derick Eugene
Elijah Steward
Max Tomczak
Zack Dobson
Jaden Barnes
Matches Derick on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Devin Maddox's junior season at Toledo (2022).
Devin Maddox
Dante Wright
Malik Rutherford
DT Sheffield
Cam Ross
Matches Devin on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sam Pittman
Pass share
48.8%
381 pass / 400 run
Plays / game
65.1
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.3%
324 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Sam Pittman.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Fresno State | WR4 | #4056 | #4004 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | Houston | WR4 | #3937 | #3661 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas | SEC | WR | 4 | No. 6 | 5-9 | 165 lb | Allen, TX |
| 2024 | Fresno State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 6 | 5-9 | 165 lb | Allen, TX |
| 2021 | Houston | American Athletic | WR | 4 | No. 6 | 5-9 | 165 lb | Allen, TX |