cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Reece Vander Zee /Iowa

Reece Vander Zee

WR · Iowa · So · #15

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

219 REC YDS · 15 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Iowa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Iowa for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Iowa

Returning around him

  • 49% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 7 Iowa players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (15 in / 8 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Iowa · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #42 · 2026 recruiting class #38

WR · IOWA · BIG TEN

Reece Vander Zee

  • 2
  • #15
  • 6-4 | 215 lb
  • Rock Rapids, IA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

33

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 72nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#606

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
1762024
2192025

+24%

Modest growth (24%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1000 national
CFB
College
Iowa
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey15
Measurements6-4 | 215 lb
HometownRock Rapids, IA
Primary teamIowa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1000 recruit
Composite rating 0.8672 HighSchool
Signed with Iowa 2024
Origin Central Lyon Rock Rapids, IA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8672 No. 1000 recruit | HighSchool | Iowa

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#606Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#665Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Iowa

Composite

0.8672

#1000 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Reece Vander Zee

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "WATCH: Iowa Football Defensive Players, Offensive Line, Reece Vander Zee Speak F"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Reece Vander Zee

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
219Rec yards
15Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
27.4Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
355.9Rec yards
24Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 219): needs 96.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 219): needs 156.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 15): needs 9/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 15): needs 13/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.6/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Reece Vander Zee's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Iowa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #606 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 15 2 rec TD | #484/1110 (56th pct)
Receiving yards 219 14.6 per catch | #442/1107 (60th pct)
Scrimmage yards 219 Total offensive yardage | #442/1107 (60th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
15 56th
YDS
219 60th
YPR
14.6 74th
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 7W 37-0@ Wisconsin3299.7013
Wk 8W 25-24vs Penn State11010.0010
Wk 9W 41-3vs Minnesota12929.0129
Wk 11L 16-18vs Oregon11515.0015
Wk 12L 21-26@ USC144.004
Wk 13W 20-17vs Michigan State24623.0029
Wk 14W 40-16@ Nebraska25326.5027Season-high 53 yds
BowlW 34-27@ Vanderbilt4338.3113
Total1521915.7229
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Iowa8-5HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy
2025Iowa9-4HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa1521914.62--
2024Iowa1417612.63--
Career2 loaded seasons2939513.65--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.0% 14.7% pass-game share | #257/1137 (77th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 15 #484/1110 56th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 219 #442/1107 60th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.6 #291/1106 74th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 14.7% #257/1137 77th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 29 #611/1105 45th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 1 #169/243 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.9% #233/1137 80th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.7% #406/1137 64th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.0% #482/1137 58th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.2% #612/1137 46th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.0% #522/1137 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.2% #667/1137 41st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g1.225.019.20.2
Road4g2.529.812.10.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g2.233.317.80.3
Losses2g1.09.59.50.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g3.531.09.00.5
Weeks 8+6g1.326.217.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

33Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (12th).

Yards / catch#154 / 558 · 72nd pct
14.6rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Rec yards#441 / 558 · 21st pct
219rece
Long catch#483 / 558 · 13th pct
29rece
Receptions#484 / 558 · 12th pct
15rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Reece Vander ZeeIowaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 49% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 49% simSean WilsonDelaware· 46% sim
Yards / catch
72
Zee
9
III
40
Walker
49
Wilson
Rec TDs
42
Zee
24
III
42
Walker
57
Wilson
Rec yards
21
Zee
70
III
89
Walker
91
Wilson
Long catch
13
Zee
16
III
39
Walker
58
Wilson
Receptions
12
Zee
92
III
95
Walker
94
Wilson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyler Griffin’s 2025 season.

Tyler Griffin

80%match

UL Monroe · 2025

#2

Leo Blackburn

Georgia State · 2025

78%
#3

Alex Perry

Hawai'i · 2023

77%
#4

Andre Johnson

Arizona State · 2021

72%
#5

Brad Rozner

NC State · 2023

72%

Matches Tyler on

TD rate
Weight
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Tyler on

Class year (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Max Tomczak’s path through Youngstown State.

Max Tomczak

97%match

Youngstown State · 2025

#2

Antwan Davis

Ball State · 2020

96%
#3

Khalil McClain

Troy · 2020

94%
#4

Neno Lemay

Nicholls · 2023

94%
#5

J.J. Sparkman

Texas Tech · 2022

94%

Matches Max on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Brian Thomas Jr.'s sophomore season at LSU (2022).

Brian Thomas Jr.

77%match

LSU · 2022

All-SECNFL Rd 1 · Pk 23
#2

Xavier Gravette

Coastal Carolina · 2022

74%
#3

Tyler Hunt

Michigan State · 2021

73%
#4

Lawson Luckie

Georgia · 2024

72%
#5

Walker Lyons

USC · 2025

72%

Matches Brian on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight

Differs from Brian on

Class year (lower)
Reception volume (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kirk Ferentz

Pass share

36.6%

286 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

60.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.9%

228 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa
2025
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa

Played his entire career under Kirk Ferentz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRock Rapids, IA
Height6'4"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Iowa WR2 #606 #665 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Iowa Big Ten WR 2 No. 15 | 6-4 | 215 lb | Rock Rapids, IA
2024 Iowa Big Ten WR 2 No. 15 | 6-4 | 215 lb | Rock Rapids, IA