Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 27-34@ Oregon | 11 | 39 | 3.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 2 | W 38-20vs Memphis | 17 | 93 | 5.5 | 1 | 18 | Season-high 93 yds |
| Total | 28 | 132 | 4.5 | 1 | 18 |
#26
Sire Gaines
Sophomore running back for Boise State. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
6′0″ · 217 lb · Perris, CA · Orange Vista HS
CFB Index 59 · #86 of 326 RBsHigh confidenceReturning to Boise State for 2026
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
132
rushing yards · 2026
1 TD · 4.7 per carry · 3 catches
2 games into 2026 so far
The play that turned itSwung Boise State from 45% to 78% to win.Boise State at Oregon · 34-27
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
2 running back for Boise State. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
- Signed as a 3-star recruit to Boise State in 2024.
Aura™ · Him Watch
Underrated
-33aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 15th percentile of RBs; the tape says
48th pctl our rushing-value metric (wEPA) RBs · 140 qualified, n=16
— the tape outruns the hype.Aura — fan perception15th pctl
Production — on-field48th pctl
n=16 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = our rushing-value metric (wEPA)
Buzz vs Tape
Attention percentile: 15th · Production percentile: 49th
His production sits in the 49th percentile among qualified RBs this season, well ahead of 15th-percentile attention — a gap of 34 points between tape and volume.
15thattention percentile · vs RBs
49thproduction percentile · vs RBs
Also worth knowing:
Sire Gaines
Does a little of everything without one standout trait. This is his third year in the same backfield at Boise State. He has been named Mountain West Freshman Player of the Week two seasons running, most recently in 2025. The receipt on tape: 93 rush yds, 4 rec yds against Memphis, Week 2, 2026.
132 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 28 CARRIES
Low coverage — composed from the verified record.
- season totals
- positional archetype classification
- seasons on the roster
- recognition record
- game log
His career
He was winning awards before he was old enough to be a story.
20243 games
- Signed with Boise State3-star out of Orange Vista
Career arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Boise State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎓
FRESHMAN HONORS
Freshman recognition (2025)
2 mention(s)
Coaching lineage · 2024–2026
1 coach2024–2026
Boise State
Played his entire career under Spencer Danielson.
2026 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
3 seasons under Spencer Danielson, all run-leaning offenses — 22-8 over that span.
2024Boise State12-2HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
2026Boise State1-1HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Box-score percentiles
High confidence
Concern: rush yards (0th percentile).
Box-score rates (7)
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 66.0 YDS/g, 4.5 YPC, 0.5 TD/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Spencer Danielson
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Backup
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Recognition
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
2026 outlook
In the mix for All-Pac-12
Based on 2025: #8 of 34 Mountain West RBs — his program moves to the Pac-12 for 2026
How the All-Pac-12 estimate is computed
35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player. The base rate was measured on players who stayed in the same conference; this estimate is not adjusted for the move to the Pac-12.
Career stats
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Boise State | 28 | 132 | 4.7 | 1 | -- |
| 2025 | Boise State | 161 | 812 | 5.0 | 8 | -- |
| 2024 | Boise State | 20 | 156 | 7.8 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 209 | 1,100 | 5.3 | 10 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Boise State | 3 | 48 | 16.0 | 1 | -- |
| 2025 | Boise State | 11 | 72 | 6.5 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Boise State | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 17 | 164 | 9.6 | 3 | -- |
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2026
W 38–20
vs Memphis
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 1 · Oregon · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.09Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass complete short left to #26 S.Gaines caught at ORE33, for 38 yards to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:14, 1ST DOWN #48 C.Moore kick attempt good (H: #15 Z.Martinez, LS: #61 C.Kellow)
- Week 2 · Memphis · 2&11 · Q3 · EPA +2.86Sire Gaines 11 Yd Run (Canaan Moore Kick)
- Week 2 · Memphis · 3&5 · Q2 · EPA +1.93(05:06) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MEM41 (#15 E.Kinsler), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Memphis · 2&5 · Q3 · EPA +1.69(11:47) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush left for 16 yards gain to the MEM43 (#9 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Memphis · 3&3 · Q1 · EPA +1.61(11:39) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 18 yards gain to the MEM24 (#3 D.Smith), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Oregon · 3&1 · Q4 · EPA +1.17#26 S.Gaines rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ORE35 (#21 A.Flowers), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Memphis · 3&2 · Q2 · EPA +0.99(14:57) #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MEM37 (#9 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Memphis · 2&1 · Q2 · EPA -0.64(13:11) #26 S.Gaines rush left for 1 yard loss to the MEM02 (#15 E.Kinsler)
- Week 1 · Oregon · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA -0.59Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU26 (#5 D.Benjamin)
- Week 1 · Oregon · 2&4 · Q2 · EPA -0.51#26 S.Gaines rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ORE14 (#11 D.Williams; #10 M.Uiagalelei)
Game log
How he plays
Play style
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
CFB Index positional classification
2026 Outlook
Boise State
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Boise State
Returning around him
- 66% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #74 · 2026 recruiting class #51
DNA match
Player DNA
Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Caleb Komolafe’s 2025 season.
78%match
Matches Caleb on
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Differs from Caleb on
Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (higher)
Height (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Titus Swen's sophomore season at Wyoming (2022).
71%match
Matches Titus on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate
Height
Differs from Titus on
Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (higher)
Player DNA
Players who play like Sire Gaines
Heisman trajectory
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peak #124
Peaked at #124 this season.
Background
CAREER HONORS Pac-12 Preseason Impact List (2026) Athlon Sports Preseason All-Pac-12 First Team (2026) Phil Steele Preseason All-Pac-12 Second Team (2026) Phil Steele All-Mountain West Fourth Team (2025) 3x Mountain West Freshman of the Week (Sept. 2, 2024, Sept. 8, 2025, Nov. 23, 2025) RS FRESHM...
The backfield · Boise State
- Dylan Riley1,125 rushing yards · 2025
- #26Sire Gaines812 rushing yards · 2025
- #22Juelz Goff270 rushing yards · 2025
- #27Harry Stewart III98 rushing yards · 2025
- #23Keilan Chaviesno box-score line yet
2 more on the roster · Boise State team page
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology