cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Stefan Cobbs /Boise State

Stefan Cobbs

WR · Boise State · Sr · #5

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSBoise State 2023 alumnus

WR · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Stefan Cobbs

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-0 | 190 lb
  • Keller, TX

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#1312

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2021

2021

Boise State · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2022

Boise State · WR

2023

Boise State · WR

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2023
4212021
3962022
2412023

-43%

Sharp dropoff (-43%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#670 national
CFB
College
Boise State
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-0 | 190 lb
HometownKeller, TX
Primary teamBoise State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 670 recruit
Composite rating 0.8678 HighSchool
Signed with Boise State 2018
Origin Fossil Ridge Keller, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8678 No. 670 recruit | HighSchool | Boise State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#1312Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1292Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Boise State

Composite

0.8678

#670 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Stefan Cobbs

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Stefan Cobbs

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Stefan Cobbs already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #1312 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 23 1 rec TD | #373/1110 (66th pct)
Receiving yards 241 10.5 per catch | #417/1107 (62nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 231 Total offensive yardage | #417/1107 (62nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
23 66th
YDS
241 62nd
YPR
10.5 37th
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
-10 3rd
YPC
-5.0 6th
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
12 27th
PR AVG
3.0 16th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Boise State7-5HC: Andy Avalos · Balanced
2022Boise State10-4HC: Andy Avalos · Run-leaning
2023Boise State8-6HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2023Boise State2324110.51--
2022Boise State2939613.72--
2021Boise State3442112.45--
Career3 loaded seasons861,05812.38--
SeasonTeam
2023Boise State2-10--12--
2022Boise State174627--
2021Boise State25200811
Career3 loaded seasons522461201
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.6% 11.6% pass-game share | #400/1137 (65th pct)
Return yards 12 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 23 #373/1110 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 241 #417/1107 62nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.5 #700/1106 37th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 12 #165/224 27th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.6% #400/1137 65th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -5.0 #371/393 6th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -10 #388/397 3rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 40 #450/1105 59th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 4 #129/237 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 3.0 #188/222 16th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.1% #297/1137 74th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.1% #366/1137 68th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.1% #229/1137 80th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.6% #307/1137 73rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.5% #455/1137 60th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.5% #336/1137 71st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.4% #146/1137 87th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Spencer Danielson

Pass share

46.6%

472 pass / 540 run

Plays / game

72.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

2 coaches
2021
Andy Avalos
Boise State
2022
Andy Avalos
Boise State
2023
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Andy Avalos → Spencer Danielson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKeller, TX
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2021)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2021 All-Mountain West all_conference Boise State | Mountain West RET

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Boise State WR4 #1312 #1292 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Boise State WR4 #567 #550 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Boise State WR4 #493 #531 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 5 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Keller, TX
2022 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 5 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Keller, TX
2021 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 5 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Keller, TX