cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tar'Varish Dawson Jr. /Florida International

Tar'Varish Dawson Jr.

WR · Florida International · Sr · #2

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Florida International for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Florida International for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Florida International

Returning around him

  • 42% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -5 net (16 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Florida International · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #98 · 2026 recruiting class #90

WR · FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL · CONFERENCE USA

Tar'Varish Dawson Jr.

  • 4
  • #2
  • 5-10 | 160 lb
  • Fort Myers, FL

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#4637

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2023
30.02022
1242023

+313%

Up 313% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#351 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements5-10 | 160 lb
HometownFort Myers, FL
Primary teamFlorida International

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 351 recruit
Composite rating 0.8959 HighSchool
Signed with Auburn 2021
Origin Lehigh Senior Lehigh Acres, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.8959 No. 351 recruit | HighSchool | Auburn

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4637Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5013Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Auburn

Composite

0.8959

#351 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tar'Varish Dawson Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tar'Varish Dawson Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
0Rec yards
0Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
0Rec yards
0Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
0Rec yards
0Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 0): needs 63.6/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 0): needs 90.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 0): needs 5.5/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 0): needs 7.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What we can say about this player

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tar'Varish Dawson Jr.'s page is mostly roster and pedigree right now — there isn't measurable current-season production on file for Florida International yet. As box scores and snaps land, the on-field story fills in here.

Current place #4637 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 351 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions -- -- rec TD
Receiving yards -- -- per catch
Scrimmage yards 0 Total offensive yardage
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2L 0-34@ Penn State
Wk 9L 26-45vs Kennesaw State
Total
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Auburn5-7HC: Cadillac Williams · Run-heavy
2023Colorado4-8HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2025Florida International7-6HC: Willie Simmons · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Florida International----------
2023Colorado141248.91--
2022Auburn23015.00--
Career3 loaded seasons161549.61--
SeasonTeam
2025Florida International----------
2023Colorado18------
2022Auburn210------
Career3 loaded seasons318------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage -- Role share still loading
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
The stat explorer fills in once this player has measured season-level metrics on the board.

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g
Road1g

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Losses2g

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g
Weeks 8+1g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Willie Simmons

Pass share

47.3%

428 pass / 476 run

Plays / game

69.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.9%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Mike MacIntyre
Florida International
2023
Mike MacIntyre
Florida International
2025
Willie Simmons
Florida International
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike MacIntyre → Willie Simmons. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Myers, FL
Height5'10"
Weight160 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Jacksonville State WR4 #4637 #5013 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Colorado WR4 #1992 #2518 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Auburn WR4 #2368 #2651 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida International Conference USA WR 4 No. 2 | 5-10 | 160 lb | Fort Myers, FL
2024 Jacksonville State Conference USA WR 4 No. 2 | 5-10 | 160 lb | Fort Myers, FL
2023 Colorado Pac-12 WR 4 No. 2 | 5-10 | 160 lb | Fort Myers, FL
2022 Auburn SEC WR 4 No. 2 | 5-10 | 160 lb | Fort Myers, FL