cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Trenten Howland /Oklahoma State

Trenten Howland

RB · Oklahoma State · Sr · #24

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

243 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 63 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oklahoma State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oklahoma State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Oklahoma State

Returning around him

  • 44% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -10 net (55 in / 65 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oklahoma State · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #49 · 2026 recruiting class #53

RB · OKLAHOMA STATE · BIG 12

Trenten Howland

  • 4
  • #24
  • 6-2 | 247 lb
  • Joliet, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

24

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 38th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1953

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
20.02021
12.02022
3542023
2432025

+1115%

Up 1115% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey24
Measurements6-2 | 247 lb
HometownJoliet, IL
Primary teamOklahoma State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1953Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2011Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Trenten Howland

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Trenten Howland

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
243Rush yards
63Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
27Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
351Rush yards
91Carries
4Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 243): needs 126.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 243): needs 189.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 243): needs 314.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 1.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 3/game over remaining 4.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 4.2/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Trenten Howland's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oklahoma State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1953 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 280 243 rush | 37 rec | #307/735 (58th pct)
Rush TD 3 63 carries | #204/739 (73rd pct)
Yards/carry 3.9 Per-rush efficiency | #516/735 (30th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
63 64th
YDS
243 58th
YPC
3.9 30th
TD
3 73rd

Receiving

REC
6 47th
YDS
37 42nd
YPR
6.2 41st
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2L 3-69@ Oregon6315.208
Wk 5L 27-45vs Baylor16845.3218Season-high 84 yds
Wk 6L 13-41@ Arizona4-8-2.005
Wk 7L 17-39vs Houston111.001
Wk 8L 17-49vs Cincinnati100.000
Wk 9L 0-42@ Texas Tech13584.5012
Wk 10L 21-38@ Kansas441.005
Wk 12L 6-14vs Kansas State4369.0024
Wk 14L 13-20vs Iowa State14372.618
Total632433.0324
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Indiana2-10HC: Tom Allen · Pass-heavy, slow tempo
2022Indiana4-8HC: Tom Allen · Pass-leaning
2023Indiana3-9HC: Tom Allen · Run-leaning
2025Oklahoma State1-11HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma State632433.93--
2023Indiana763544.72--
2022Indiana2126.00--
2021Indiana6203.30--
Career4 loaded seasons1476294.35--
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma State6376.20--
2023Indiana3227.30--
2022Indiana----------
2021Indiana----------
Career4 loaded seasons9596.60--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 6 37 rec yds | #291/552 (47th pct)
Usage 10.6% 17.9% rush share | #299/738 (60th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.10 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #209/362 (43rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 243 #307/735 58th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 3 #204/739 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.9 #516/735 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 6 #291/552 47th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 37 #317/548 42nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.10 #209/362 43rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 62 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 10.6% #299/738 60th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 63 #264/739 64th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 24 #347/733 53rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 11 #395/540 27th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.2 #327/548 41st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 17.9% #296/738 60th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 12.6% #277/738 63rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 12.1% #296/738 60th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.1% #262/738 65th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.6% #309/738 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.1% #338/738 54th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.3% #280/738 62nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g31.63.60.6
Road4g21.22.20.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Losses9g27.03.00.3

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g27.02.40.5
Weeks 8+5g27.03.40.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

24Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: yards / carry (11th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Rush TDs#200 / 349 · 38th pct
3rush
Carries#264 / 349 · 24th pct
63rush
Receptions#253 / 338 · 23rd pct
6rece
Rec yards#264 / 338 · 22nd pct
37rece
Long run#282 / 349 · 19th pct
24rush
Rush yards#306 / 349 · 12th pct
243rush
Yards / carry#303 / 349 · 12th pct
3.9rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.1Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Trenten HowlandOklahoma StateTae MeadowsTroy· 61% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 59% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 57% sim
Fumbles lost
87
Howland
49
Meadows
49
Wright
49
Brunson
Rush TDs
38
Howland
72
Meadows
62
Wright
50
Brunson
Carries
24
Howland
84
Meadows
92
Wright
85
Brunson
Receptions
23
Howland
45
Meadows
32
Wright
2
Brunson
Rec yards
22
Howland
38
Meadows
10
Wright
3
Brunson
Long run
19
Howland
53
Meadows
49
Wright
73
Brunson
Rush yards
12
Howland
74
Meadows
84
Wright
80
Brunson
Yards / carry
12
Howland
29
Meadows
33
Wright
41
Brunson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Anthony Adkins’s 2021 season.

Anthony Adkins

79%match

Army · 2021

#2

Tyson Riley

Army · 2021

73%
#3

Kaden Feagin

Illinois · 2024

78%
#4

Jakobi Buchanan

Army · 2020

66%
#5

Trenten Howland

Indiana · 2023

64%

Matches Anthony on

Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight

Differs from Anthony on

Rush TD rate (lower)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Dedrick Mills’s path through Nebraska.

Dedrick Mills

96%match

Nebraska · 2020

#2

Garrett Groshek

Wisconsin · 2020

96%
#3

Joshua Samuel

Austin Peay · 2022

96%
#4

Greg McCrae

UCF · 2020

96%
#5

Narii Gaither

Gardner-Webb · 2023

93%

Matches Dedrick on

Yards per carry

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Joshua McCray's graduate season at Georgia (2025).

Joshua McCray

58%match

Georgia · 2025

#2

Tucker Gleason

Toledo · 2025

All-MAC
46%
#3

KJ Jefferson

UCF · 2024

All-SEC
45%
#4

Rashad Amos

Georgia State · 2025

All-MAC
33%
#5

Braylon Braxton

Southern Miss · 2025

All-Sun Belt
26%

Matches Joshua on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Receiving share
Height

Differs from Joshua on

Weight (higher)
Yards / carry (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Gundy

Pass share

47.5%

365 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

64.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.9%

223 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2022
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2023
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2025
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State

Played his entire career under Mike Gundy.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJoliet, IL
Height6'2"
Weight247 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey24

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oklahoma State RB4 #1953 #2011 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Indiana RB4 #1129 #1440 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Indiana RB4 #2547 #2953 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Indiana RB4 #2325 #2561 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oklahoma State Big 12 RB 4 No. 24 | 6-2 | 247 lb | Joliet, IL
2024 Oklahoma State Big 12 RB 4 No. 24 | 6-2 | 247 lb | Joliet, IL
2023 Indiana Big Ten RB 4 No. 24 | 6-2 | 247 lb | Joliet, IL
2022 Indiana Big Ten RB 4 No. 24 | 6-2 | 247 lb | Joliet, IL
2021 Indiana Big Ten RB 4 No. 24 | 6-2 | 247 lb | Joliet, IL